Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
17.0% |
15.5–18.6% |
15.1–19.0% |
14.8–19.4% |
14.1–20.2% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
16.9% |
15.4–18.5% |
15.0–18.9% |
14.7–19.3% |
14.0–20.1% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
11.9% |
10.7–13.3% |
10.3–13.7% |
10.1–14.1% |
9.5–14.8% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
9.1% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.1% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.8% |
6.8–11.4% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.7% |
6.7–11.3% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.8% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.1% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.5–4.0% |
VLASŤ |
2.9% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.6% |
1.5–4.0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
7.0% |
1.3% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.1% |
0.7–2.2% |
0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
16% |
98% |
|
29 |
6% |
82% |
|
30 |
5% |
76% |
|
31 |
45% |
71% |
Median |
32 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
33 |
14% |
25% |
|
34 |
3% |
12% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
36 |
5% |
8% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
28 |
8% |
97% |
|
29 |
2% |
89% |
|
30 |
24% |
87% |
|
31 |
45% |
62% |
Median |
32 |
3% |
17% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
14% |
|
34 |
3% |
14% |
|
35 |
9% |
10% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
18 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
19 |
2% |
98% |
|
20 |
5% |
96% |
|
21 |
17% |
91% |
|
22 |
47% |
73% |
Median |
23 |
4% |
27% |
|
24 |
12% |
23% |
|
25 |
9% |
11% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
14 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
13% |
95% |
|
16 |
12% |
81% |
|
17 |
14% |
69% |
|
18 |
35% |
55% |
Median |
19 |
11% |
20% |
|
20 |
7% |
8% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
5% |
98% |
|
15 |
5% |
93% |
|
16 |
3% |
89% |
|
17 |
34% |
85% |
Last Result |
18 |
42% |
51% |
Median |
19 |
8% |
9% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
14 |
10% |
97% |
|
15 |
13% |
88% |
|
16 |
12% |
75% |
|
17 |
18% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
18 |
6% |
45% |
|
19 |
37% |
39% |
|
20 |
2% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
11 |
45% |
97% |
|
12 |
21% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
6% |
32% |
|
14 |
7% |
25% |
|
15 |
5% |
18% |
|
16 |
2% |
13% |
|
17 |
11% |
11% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
17% |
|
3 |
0% |
17% |
|
4 |
0% |
17% |
|
5 |
0% |
17% |
|
6 |
0% |
17% |
|
7 |
0% |
17% |
|
8 |
0% |
17% |
|
9 |
2% |
17% |
|
10 |
10% |
15% |
|
11 |
5% |
5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
83 |
99.6% |
78–86 |
77–86 |
77–87 |
76–90 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
67 |
0% |
60–68 |
59–69 |
59–71 |
59–74 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
67 |
0% |
60–68 |
59–69 |
59–71 |
59–74 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
34 |
66 |
0% |
61–68 |
60–69 |
58–69 |
58–71 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
52 |
0% |
47–55 |
46–55 |
46–55 |
44–56 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
49 |
0% |
45–51 |
45–53 |
45–54 |
42–55 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
49 |
0% |
43–50 |
42–52 |
42–52 |
42–54 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
49 |
0% |
43–50 |
42–52 |
42–52 |
42–54 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
35 |
0% |
31–37 |
29–37 |
29–37 |
28–40 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
35 |
0% |
31–37 |
29–37 |
29–37 |
28–40 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
31 |
0% |
28–35 |
28–35 |
26–35 |
26–36 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
18 |
0% |
15–19 |
14–20 |
14–20 |
14–21 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
18 |
0% |
15–19 |
14–20 |
14–20 |
14–21 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
78 |
15% |
93% |
|
79 |
12% |
77% |
|
80 |
2% |
65% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
63% |
|
82 |
11% |
62% |
|
83 |
4% |
52% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
47% |
Median |
85 |
4% |
47% |
|
86 |
40% |
43% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
89 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
5% |
92% |
|
61 |
5% |
87% |
|
62 |
14% |
82% |
|
63 |
4% |
67% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
64% |
|
65 |
6% |
63% |
|
66 |
4% |
57% |
Median |
67 |
4% |
53% |
|
68 |
43% |
49% |
|
69 |
3% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
71 |
2% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
5% |
92% |
|
61 |
5% |
87% |
|
62 |
14% |
82% |
|
63 |
4% |
67% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
64% |
|
65 |
6% |
63% |
|
66 |
4% |
57% |
Median |
67 |
4% |
53% |
|
68 |
43% |
49% |
|
69 |
3% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
71 |
2% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
60 |
3% |
97% |
|
61 |
8% |
94% |
|
62 |
9% |
86% |
|
63 |
8% |
78% |
|
64 |
14% |
69% |
|
65 |
2% |
55% |
|
66 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
67 |
7% |
47% |
|
68 |
33% |
39% |
|
69 |
4% |
6% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
8% |
98.9% |
|
47 |
3% |
91% |
|
48 |
7% |
88% |
|
49 |
12% |
81% |
|
50 |
12% |
69% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
57% |
|
52 |
13% |
56% |
|
53 |
2% |
43% |
Median |
54 |
3% |
42% |
|
55 |
38% |
39% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
45 |
23% |
98% |
|
46 |
8% |
76% |
|
47 |
3% |
68% |
|
48 |
6% |
65% |
|
49 |
39% |
59% |
Median |
50 |
8% |
20% |
|
51 |
5% |
13% |
|
52 |
3% |
8% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
44 |
3% |
90% |
|
45 |
6% |
87% |
|
46 |
11% |
81% |
|
47 |
13% |
70% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
58% |
Median |
49 |
12% |
57% |
|
50 |
35% |
44% |
|
51 |
2% |
9% |
|
52 |
5% |
7% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
44 |
3% |
90% |
|
45 |
6% |
87% |
|
46 |
11% |
81% |
|
47 |
13% |
70% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
58% |
Median |
49 |
12% |
57% |
|
50 |
35% |
44% |
|
51 |
2% |
9% |
|
52 |
5% |
7% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
5% |
98% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
31 |
14% |
92% |
|
32 |
14% |
78% |
|
33 |
6% |
64% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
58% |
|
35 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
36 |
5% |
49% |
|
37 |
43% |
44% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
5% |
98% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
31 |
14% |
92% |
|
32 |
14% |
78% |
|
33 |
6% |
64% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
58% |
|
35 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
36 |
5% |
49% |
|
37 |
43% |
44% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
26 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
28 |
8% |
97% |
|
29 |
2% |
89% |
|
30 |
24% |
87% |
|
31 |
45% |
62% |
Median |
32 |
3% |
17% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
14% |
|
34 |
3% |
14% |
|
35 |
9% |
10% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
14 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
13% |
95% |
|
16 |
12% |
81% |
|
17 |
14% |
69% |
|
18 |
35% |
55% |
Median |
19 |
11% |
20% |
|
20 |
7% |
8% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
14 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
13% |
95% |
|
16 |
12% |
81% |
|
17 |
14% |
69% |
|
18 |
35% |
55% |
Median |
19 |
11% |
20% |
|
20 |
7% |
8% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Median SK
- Commissioner(s): RTVS
- Fieldwork period: 14–18 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1007
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.42%