Opinion Poll by Actly, 21–26 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 14.7% | 13.3–16.2% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.6–17.0% | 12.0–17.8% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 10.8% | 9.6–12.2% | 9.3–12.5% | 9.0–12.9% | 8.5–13.6% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 45 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 41–56 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 27 | 24–29 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 22–32 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–24 | 17–25 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 21 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–26 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 0–16 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 0–14 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 86% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 45 | 43% | 84% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 42% | |
| 47 | 5% | 35% | |
| 48 | 2% | 30% | |
| 49 | 2% | 27% | |
| 50 | 5% | 26% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 52 | 4% | 21% | |
| 53 | 15% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 3% | 91% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 26 | 27% | 87% | |
| 27 | 48% | 59% | Median |
| 28 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 29 | 3% | 11% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 31 | 5% | 6% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 10% | 98% | |
| 20 | 11% | 88% | |
| 21 | 53% | 76% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 24% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 7% | 93% | |
| 19 | 5% | 86% | |
| 20 | 10% | 82% | |
| 21 | 53% | 72% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 19% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 14% | 91% | |
| 12 | 4% | 76% | |
| 13 | 45% | 72% | Median |
| 14 | 12% | 27% | |
| 15 | 3% | 15% | |
| 16 | 12% | 12% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 13% | 98.8% | |
| 10 | 10% | 85% | |
| 11 | 59% | 76% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 17% | |
| 13 | 6% | 9% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 35% | |
| 3 | 0% | 35% | |
| 4 | 0% | 35% | |
| 5 | 0% | 35% | |
| 6 | 0% | 35% | |
| 7 | 0% | 35% | |
| 8 | 0% | 35% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 35% | |
| 10 | 8% | 34% | |
| 11 | 19% | 25% | |
| 12 | 2% | 6% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 71% | |
| 2 | 0% | 71% | |
| 3 | 0% | 71% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0% | 71% | |
| 7 | 0% | 71% | |
| 8 | 0% | 71% | |
| 9 | 24% | 71% | Median |
| 10 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 11 | 6% | 46% | |
| 12 | 38% | 40% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 90 | 100% | 83–102 | 83–102 | 83–102 | 82–102 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 79 | 80% | 74–91 | 72–91 | 72–91 | 71–91 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 79 | 81% | 74–91 | 72–91 | 72–91 | 71–91 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 69 | 20% | 62–80 | 62–80 | 62–80 | 62–80 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 66 | 1.3% | 63–75 | 62–75 | 62–75 | 61–76 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 66 | 1.3% | 63–75 | 62–75 | 62–75 | 61–76 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 58 | 0% | 53–69 | 53–69 | 53–69 | 53–69 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 58 | 0% | 53–69 | 53–69 | 53–69 | 53–69 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 0 | 45 | 0% | 42–53 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 41–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 45 | 0% | 42–53 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 41–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 45 | 0% | 41–49 | 38–49 | 37–49 | 32–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 34 | 0% | 30–38 | 27–38 | 27–38 | 23–39 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 34 | 0% | 30–38 | 27–38 | 27–38 | 23–39 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 21 | 0% | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–26 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 21 | 0% | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–26 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 21 | 0% | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–26 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 17% | 98.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 82% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 82% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 88 | 7% | 79% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 90 | 38% | 71% | Median |
| 91 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 32% | |
| 93 | 4% | 31% | |
| 94 | 7% | 28% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 97 | 4% | 20% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 99 | 3% | 16% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 102 | 12% | 12% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 13% | 94% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 76 | 2% | 80% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 78 | 7% | 78% | |
| 79 | 38% | 72% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 33% | |
| 81 | 3% | 30% | |
| 82 | 3% | 27% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 84 | 2% | 23% | |
| 85 | 4% | 21% | |
| 86 | 3% | 17% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 90 | 0% | 12% | |
| 91 | 11% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 13% | 94% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 76 | 2% | 81% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 78 | 7% | 78% | |
| 79 | 38% | 72% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 33% | |
| 81 | 3% | 30% | |
| 82 | 3% | 27% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 84 | 2% | 23% | |
| 85 | 4% | 21% | |
| 86 | 3% | 17% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 90 | 0% | 12% | |
| 91 | 11% | 12% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 87% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 65 | 2% | 86% | |
| 66 | 6% | 84% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 69 | 38% | 77% | Median |
| 70 | 6% | 39% | |
| 71 | 4% | 33% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 29% | |
| 73 | 3% | 29% | |
| 74 | 5% | 26% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 20% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 78 | 5% | 19% | |
| 79 | 3% | 14% | |
| 80 | 12% | 12% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 14% | 94% | |
| 64 | 6% | 80% | |
| 65 | 2% | 74% | |
| 66 | 38% | 72% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 34% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 69 | 5% | 31% | |
| 70 | 4% | 27% | |
| 71 | 4% | 23% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 73 | 4% | 18% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 75 | 12% | 13% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 14% | 94% | |
| 64 | 6% | 80% | |
| 65 | 2% | 74% | |
| 66 | 38% | 72% | Median |
| 67 | 2% | 34% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 69 | 5% | 31% | |
| 70 | 4% | 27% | |
| 71 | 4% | 23% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 73 | 4% | 18% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 75 | 12% | 13% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 55 | 7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 58 | 38% | 78% | Median |
| 59 | 0.4% | 40% | |
| 60 | 12% | 39% | |
| 61 | 3% | 27% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 24% | |
| 63 | 2% | 23% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 66 | 8% | 20% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 69 | 12% | 12% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 55 | 7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 58 | 38% | 78% | Median |
| 59 | 0.4% | 40% | |
| 60 | 12% | 39% | |
| 61 | 3% | 27% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 24% | |
| 63 | 2% | 23% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 66 | 8% | 20% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 69 | 12% | 12% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 86% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 45 | 43% | 84% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 42% | |
| 47 | 5% | 35% | |
| 48 | 2% | 30% | |
| 49 | 2% | 28% | |
| 50 | 5% | 26% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 52 | 4% | 21% | |
| 53 | 15% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 86% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 45 | 43% | 84% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 42% | |
| 47 | 5% | 35% | |
| 48 | 2% | 30% | |
| 49 | 2% | 28% | |
| 50 | 5% | 26% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 52 | 4% | 21% | |
| 53 | 15% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 38 | 4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 41 | 14% | 92% | |
| 42 | 7% | 78% | |
| 43 | 2% | 71% | |
| 44 | 4% | 69% | |
| 45 | 42% | 66% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 24% | |
| 47 | 2% | 16% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 49 | 12% | 13% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 4% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 30 | 4% | 93% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 32 | 21% | 88% | |
| 33 | 8% | 67% | |
| 34 | 40% | 59% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 19% | |
| 36 | 2% | 16% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 38 | 13% | 13% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 30 | 4% | 93% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 32 | 21% | 88% | |
| 33 | 8% | 67% | |
| 34 | 40% | 59% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 19% | |
| 36 | 2% | 16% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 38 | 13% | 14% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 7% | 93% | |
| 19 | 5% | 86% | |
| 20 | 10% | 82% | |
| 21 | 53% | 72% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 19% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 7% | 93% | |
| 19 | 5% | 86% | |
| 20 | 10% | 82% | |
| 21 | 53% | 72% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 19% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 7% | 93% | |
| 19 | 5% | 86% | |
| 20 | 10% | 82% | |
| 21 | 53% | 72% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 19% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Actly
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–26 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.17%