Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 18–25 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–16.0% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.1% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 12.1% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.1–11.1% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.1% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 38 | 35–41 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–44 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 28 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 21–32 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 22 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 18–27 | 18–28 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 19 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 14–22 | 13–22 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–24 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–16 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–15 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 3% | 97% | |
| 34 | 2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 14% | 92% | |
| 36 | 13% | 78% | |
| 37 | 4% | 65% | |
| 38 | 21% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 41% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 30% | |
| 41 | 28% | 29% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 16% | 93% | |
| 25 | 8% | 77% | |
| 26 | 6% | 69% | |
| 27 | 5% | 63% | |
| 28 | 47% | 58% | Median |
| 29 | 8% | 11% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 4% | 93% | |
| 20 | 2% | 89% | |
| 21 | 22% | 87% | |
| 22 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 23 | 8% | 45% | |
| 24 | 4% | 37% | |
| 25 | 28% | 33% | |
| 26 | 2% | 5% | |
| 27 | 3% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 17% | 97% | |
| 16 | 7% | 80% | |
| 17 | 14% | 74% | Last Result |
| 18 | 3% | 60% | |
| 19 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 20 | 19% | 48% | |
| 21 | 2% | 29% | |
| 22 | 27% | 27% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 7% | 94% | |
| 17 | 27% | 87% | |
| 18 | 7% | 60% | |
| 19 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 6% | 34% | |
| 21 | 26% | 27% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 72% | |
| 2 | 0% | 72% | |
| 3 | 0% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0% | 72% | |
| 7 | 0% | 72% | |
| 8 | 0% | 72% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 72% | |
| 10 | 15% | 72% | |
| 11 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 44% | |
| 13 | 30% | 37% | |
| 14 | 4% | 7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 79% | |
| 2 | 0% | 79% | |
| 3 | 0% | 79% | |
| 4 | 0% | 79% | |
| 5 | 0% | 79% | |
| 6 | 0% | 79% | |
| 7 | 0% | 79% | |
| 8 | 0% | 79% | |
| 9 | 5% | 79% | |
| 10 | 2% | 73% | |
| 11 | 14% | 71% | |
| 12 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 13 | 43% | 47% | |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 58% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 42% | |
| 2 | 0% | 42% | |
| 3 | 0% | 42% | |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0% | 42% | |
| 7 | 0% | 42% | |
| 8 | 0% | 42% | |
| 9 | 2% | 42% | |
| 10 | 14% | 39% | |
| 11 | 10% | 25% | |
| 12 | 14% | 15% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0% | 25% | |
| 6 | 0% | 25% | |
| 7 | 0% | 25% | |
| 8 | 0% | 25% | |
| 9 | 4% | 25% | |
| 10 | 20% | 21% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 84 | 98% | 80–90 | 76–90 | 76–94 | 69–96 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 64 | 0.6% | 63–71 | 61–71 | 58–74 | 52–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 65 | 0.9% | 62–70 | 61–70 | 58–72 | 52–79 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 65 | 0.9% | 62–70 | 61–70 | 58–72 | 52–79 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 57 | 0% | 52–62 | 50–62 | 49–62 | 48–67 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 48 | 0% | 41–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 36–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 48 | 0% | 41–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 36–57 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 45 | 0% | 41–52 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 33–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 38 | 0% | 35–41 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 28 | 0% | 21–32 | 21–32 | 21–33 | 16–37 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 28 | 0% | 21–32 | 21–32 | 21–33 | 16–37 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 19 | 0% | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–24 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 19 | 0% | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–24 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 4% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 78 | 2% | 94% | |
| 79 | 2% | 92% | |
| 80 | 16% | 90% | |
| 81 | 11% | 75% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 63% | |
| 83 | 2% | 63% | |
| 84 | 30% | 60% | |
| 85 | 4% | 31% | |
| 86 | 3% | 27% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 24% | Median |
| 88 | 1.0% | 24% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 90 | 18% | 22% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 63 | 39% | 91% | |
| 64 | 14% | 52% | |
| 65 | 3% | 38% | |
| 66 | 2% | 36% | |
| 67 | 6% | 33% | |
| 68 | 3% | 28% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 25% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 71 | 17% | 22% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 5% | 97% | |
| 62 | 26% | 92% | |
| 63 | 3% | 66% | |
| 64 | 11% | 63% | |
| 65 | 15% | 51% | |
| 66 | 4% | 37% | |
| 67 | 6% | 33% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 27% | Median |
| 69 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 70 | 19% | 24% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 61 | 5% | 97% | |
| 62 | 26% | 92% | |
| 63 | 3% | 66% | |
| 64 | 11% | 63% | |
| 65 | 15% | 51% | |
| 66 | 4% | 37% | |
| 67 | 6% | 33% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 27% | Median |
| 69 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 70 | 19% | 24% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 3% | 93% | |
| 52 | 12% | 91% | |
| 53 | 8% | 78% | |
| 54 | 6% | 70% | |
| 55 | 8% | 64% | |
| 56 | 5% | 56% | |
| 57 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 58 | 3% | 32% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 29% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 61 | 2% | 28% | |
| 62 | 25% | 26% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 25% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 43 | 2% | 72% | |
| 44 | 3% | 71% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 67% | |
| 46 | 6% | 67% | |
| 47 | 9% | 60% | |
| 48 | 12% | 52% | |
| 49 | 11% | 40% | Median |
| 50 | 4% | 29% | |
| 51 | 18% | 25% | |
| 52 | 2% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 25% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 43 | 2% | 72% | |
| 44 | 3% | 71% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 67% | |
| 46 | 6% | 67% | |
| 47 | 9% | 60% | |
| 48 | 12% | 52% | |
| 49 | 11% | 40% | Median |
| 50 | 4% | 29% | |
| 51 | 18% | 25% | |
| 52 | 2% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 9% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 43 | 26% | 87% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 61% | |
| 45 | 23% | 61% | |
| 46 | 3% | 38% | |
| 47 | 2% | 35% | |
| 48 | 5% | 34% | |
| 49 | 2% | 28% | Median |
| 50 | 4% | 26% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 52 | 18% | 22% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 3% | 97% | |
| 34 | 2% | 94% | |
| 35 | 14% | 92% | |
| 36 | 13% | 78% | |
| 37 | 4% | 65% | |
| 38 | 21% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 41% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 30% | |
| 41 | 28% | 29% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 21 | 25% | 98% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 25 | 2% | 72% | |
| 26 | 6% | 70% | |
| 27 | 2% | 63% | |
| 28 | 16% | 62% | |
| 29 | 5% | 45% | |
| 30 | 11% | 41% | Median |
| 31 | 6% | 30% | |
| 32 | 19% | 23% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 21 | 25% | 98% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 73% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 25 | 2% | 72% | |
| 26 | 6% | 70% | |
| 27 | 2% | 63% | |
| 28 | 16% | 62% | |
| 29 | 5% | 45% | |
| 30 | 11% | 41% | Median |
| 31 | 6% | 30% | |
| 32 | 19% | 23% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 7% | 94% | |
| 17 | 27% | 87% | |
| 18 | 7% | 60% | |
| 19 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 6% | 34% | |
| 21 | 26% | 27% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 16 | 7% | 94% | |
| 17 | 27% | 87% | |
| 18 | 7% | 60% | |
| 19 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 6% | 34% | |
| 21 | 26% | 28% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 18–25 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.15%