Opinion Poll by Polis, 20–25 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.2–23.5% | 18.9–23.9% | 18.1–24.7% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 15.8% | 14.4–17.3% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.1% | 13.0–18.9% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.2% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.4% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.7–4.3% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–3.1% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.2–3.5% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 41 | 37–42 | 35–47 | 32–49 | 32–49 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 31 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 24–34 | 24–36 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 28 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 23–31 | 22–31 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 12–20 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 16 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 36 | 3% | 94% | |
| 37 | 5% | 91% | |
| 38 | 6% | 86% | |
| 39 | 10% | 81% | |
| 40 | 19% | 71% | |
| 41 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 18% | |
| 43 | 2% | 10% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 4% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 8% | 92% | |
| 26 | 4% | 85% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 28 | 3% | 79% | |
| 29 | 23% | 76% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 31 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 49% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 34 | 34% | 35% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 2% | 98% | |
| 24 | 5% | 96% | |
| 25 | 19% | 91% | |
| 26 | 11% | 73% | |
| 27 | 8% | 62% | |
| 28 | 43% | 54% | Median |
| 29 | 6% | 10% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 19% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 8% | 81% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 15 | 13% | 72% | |
| 16 | 7% | 59% | |
| 17 | 36% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 18 | 13% | 17% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 7% | 91% | |
| 14 | 26% | 84% | |
| 15 | 3% | 58% | |
| 16 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 14% | 49% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 19 | 34% | 35% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 10 | 25% | 91% | |
| 11 | 44% | 65% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 21% | |
| 13 | 5% | 13% | |
| 14 | 8% | 8% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 47% | |
| 2 | 0% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 47% | |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0% | 47% | |
| 7 | 0% | 47% | |
| 8 | 0% | 47% | |
| 9 | 5% | 47% | |
| 10 | 20% | 42% | |
| 11 | 20% | 22% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 44% | |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 0% | 44% | |
| 7 | 0% | 44% | |
| 8 | 0% | 44% | |
| 9 | 6% | 44% | |
| 10 | 24% | 38% | |
| 11 | 10% | 14% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 5% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 77 | 82% | 72–79 | 71–88 | 71–90 | 68–90 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 60 | 4% | 56–65 | 56–71 | 54–76 | 54–76 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 60 | 0.3% | 57–64 | 54–71 | 54–74 | 51–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 60 | 0.3% | 57–64 | 54–71 | 54–74 | 51–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 57 | 0% | 50–60 | 50–63 | 49–63 | 45–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 42 | 0% | 41–50 | 39–56 | 38–60 | 37–60 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 42 | 0% | 41–50 | 39–56 | 38–60 | 37–60 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 41 | 0% | 37–42 | 35–47 | 32–49 | 32–49 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 36 | 0% | 35–39 | 34–41 | 31–42 | 26–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 19 | 0% | 17–25 | 16–26 | 13–27 | 13–30 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 19 | 0% | 17–25 | 16–26 | 13–27 | 13–30 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 16 | 0% | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 16 | 0% | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 5% | 94% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 74 | 4% | 89% | Median |
| 75 | 2% | 85% | |
| 76 | 23% | 82% | Majority |
| 77 | 49% | 60% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 10% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 90 | 4% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 6% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 58 | 36% | 89% | Median |
| 59 | 1.2% | 54% | |
| 60 | 10% | 52% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 62 | 19% | 41% | |
| 63 | 6% | 22% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 65 | 8% | 15% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 4% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 90% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 90% | |
| 59 | 8% | 86% | |
| 60 | 35% | 77% | |
| 61 | 7% | 42% | |
| 62 | 7% | 35% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 64 | 18% | 27% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 4% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 56 | 4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 90% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 90% | |
| 59 | 8% | 86% | |
| 60 | 35% | 77% | |
| 61 | 7% | 42% | |
| 62 | 7% | 35% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 64 | 18% | 27% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 4% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 50 | 8% | 95% | |
| 51 | 7% | 87% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 79% | |
| 54 | 23% | 78% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 55% | |
| 56 | 4% | 54% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 51% | Median |
| 58 | 2% | 50% | |
| 59 | 8% | 48% | |
| 60 | 35% | 41% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 63 | 4% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 37% | 92% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 55% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 44 | 3% | 46% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 43% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 47 | 3% | 42% | |
| 48 | 5% | 39% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 34% | |
| 50 | 25% | 33% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 4% | |
| 60 | 4% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 37% | 92% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 55% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 44 | 3% | 46% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 43% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 47 | 3% | 42% | |
| 48 | 5% | 39% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 34% | |
| 50 | 25% | 33% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 4% | |
| 60 | 4% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 36 | 3% | 94% | |
| 37 | 5% | 91% | |
| 38 | 6% | 86% | |
| 39 | 10% | 81% | |
| 40 | 19% | 71% | |
| 41 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 18% | |
| 43 | 2% | 10% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 4% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 96% | Median |
| 34 | 5% | 96% | |
| 35 | 8% | 91% | |
| 36 | 54% | 83% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 38 | 10% | 28% | |
| 39 | 9% | 19% | |
| 40 | 2% | 10% | |
| 41 | 5% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 5% | 96% | Median |
| 17 | 9% | 91% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 19 | 34% | 81% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 47% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 46% | |
| 23 | 7% | 46% | |
| 24 | 24% | 38% | |
| 25 | 7% | 15% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 16 | 5% | 96% | Median |
| 17 | 9% | 91% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 19 | 34% | 81% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 47% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 46% | |
| 23 | 7% | 46% | |
| 24 | 24% | 38% | |
| 25 | 7% | 15% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 7% | 91% | |
| 14 | 26% | 84% | |
| 15 | 3% | 58% | |
| 16 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 14% | 49% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 19 | 34% | 35% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 7% | 91% | |
| 14 | 26% | 84% | |
| 15 | 3% | 58% | |
| 16 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 14% | 49% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 19 | 34% | 35% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20–25 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1021
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.66%