Opinion Poll by AKO, 17–19 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 22.8% | 21.2–24.6% | 20.7–25.1% | 20.3–25.5% | 19.5–26.4% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 45 | 45 | 39–45 | 35–45 | 35–46 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 28 | 28 | 28–29 | 28–30 | 26–33 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25–27 | 22–28 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 17 | 17 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 13–19 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–14 | 9–14 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 12 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 0–14 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 0–12 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 45 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 46 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 94% | 98.8% | Median |
| 29 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 92% | 96% | Median |
| 27 | 3% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 18 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 93% | 98.7% | Median |
| 12 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 5% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 93% | 94% | Median |
| 13 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 93% | 94% | Median |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 5% | |
| 9 | 3% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 85 | 95% | 85 | 77–85 | 72–85 | 66–85 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 73 | 0.1% | 73 | 66–73 | 60–73 | 59–73 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 73 | 0.1% | 73 | 66–73 | 60–73 | 59–73 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 68 | 0% | 68 | 60–68 | 57–68 | 49–68 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 62 | 0% | 62 | 55–62 | 50–62 | 50–62 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 62 | 0% | 62 | 55–62 | 50–62 | 50–62 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 49–56 | 45–56 | 43–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 49–56 | 45–56 | 43–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 0 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 39–45 | 35–45 | 35–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 39–45 | 35–45 | 35–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 40 | 0% | 40 | 37–40 | 37–40 | 25–40 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 28 | 0% | 28 | 26–28 | 25–28 | 16–29 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 28 | 0% | 28 | 26–28 | 25–28 | 16–29 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 17 | 0% | 17 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 13–19 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 17 | 0% | 17 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 13–19 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 17 | 0% | 17 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 13–19 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 95% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 79 | 2% | 93% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 83 | 0% | 91% | |
| 84 | 0% | 91% | |
| 85 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 71 | 0% | 91% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 73 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 71 | 0% | 91% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 73 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 60 | 3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 63 | 0% | 92% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 67 | 0% | 91% | |
| 68 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 58 | 2% | 94% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 62 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 63 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 58 | 2% | 94% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 62 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 63 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 55 | 0% | 91% | |
| 56 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 55 | 0% | 91% | |
| 56 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 45 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 46 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 45 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 46 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 98% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 39 | 2% | 95% | |
| 40 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 28 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 28 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 29 | 2% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 18 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 18 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 2% | 96% | |
| 17 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 18 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–19 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.54%