Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
21.7% |
20.1–23.4% |
19.6–23.9% |
19.2–24.3% |
18.5–25.2% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
14.9% |
13.5–16.4% |
13.1–16.9% |
12.8–17.2% |
12.2–18.0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
11.8% |
10.6–13.2% |
10.2–13.6% |
9.9–13.9% |
9.4–14.6% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.5% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.1–11.8% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
6.5% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.3–7.9% |
5.1–8.2% |
4.7–8.8% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.3% |
3.5–5.6% |
3.3–5.9% |
3.0–6.3% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
VLASŤ |
2.9% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
MOST–HÍD |
2.0% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.8–2.9% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
9% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
89% |
|
38 |
58% |
87% |
Median |
39 |
2% |
29% |
|
40 |
2% |
27% |
|
41 |
2% |
25% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
23% |
|
43 |
2% |
22% |
|
44 |
5% |
20% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
15% |
|
46 |
3% |
15% |
|
47 |
8% |
12% |
|
48 |
4% |
5% |
|
49 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
25 |
8% |
97% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
27 |
3% |
89% |
|
28 |
4% |
86% |
|
29 |
62% |
82% |
Median |
30 |
3% |
20% |
|
31 |
5% |
17% |
|
32 |
9% |
12% |
|
33 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
20 |
3% |
97% |
|
21 |
15% |
94% |
|
22 |
7% |
79% |
|
23 |
58% |
72% |
Median |
24 |
6% |
13% |
|
25 |
4% |
7% |
|
26 |
2% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
14 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
15 |
4% |
94% |
|
16 |
5% |
90% |
|
17 |
5% |
85% |
Last Result |
18 |
13% |
80% |
|
19 |
62% |
68% |
Median |
20 |
2% |
6% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
22 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
24 |
2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
13% |
97% |
|
15 |
3% |
84% |
|
16 |
60% |
81% |
Median |
17 |
3% |
20% |
|
18 |
10% |
17% |
|
19 |
6% |
8% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
5% |
93% |
|
12 |
13% |
88% |
|
13 |
6% |
75% |
|
14 |
58% |
70% |
Median |
15 |
9% |
12% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
91% |
|
2 |
0% |
91% |
|
3 |
0% |
91% |
|
4 |
0% |
91% |
|
5 |
0% |
91% |
|
6 |
0% |
91% |
|
7 |
0% |
91% |
|
8 |
0% |
91% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
10 |
11% |
89% |
|
11 |
65% |
78% |
Median |
12 |
4% |
13% |
|
13 |
7% |
9% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
0% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
0% |
6% |
|
7 |
0% |
6% |
|
8 |
0% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
10 |
2% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
3% |
|
8 |
0% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
10 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
84 |
97% |
82–89 |
78–90 |
75–91 |
71–91 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
65 |
5% |
62–71 |
60–73 |
59–76 |
54–76 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
65 |
5% |
62–71 |
60–73 |
59–76 |
54–76 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
34 |
68 |
1.2% |
65–73 |
62–75 |
60–75 |
55–77 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
54 |
0% |
54–61 |
52–63 |
49–64 |
48–70 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
54 |
0% |
54–61 |
52–63 |
49–64 |
48–70 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
49 |
0% |
47–57 |
46–57 |
44–57 |
38–58 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
49 |
0% |
47–57 |
46–57 |
44–57 |
38–58 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
38 |
0% |
36–47 |
36–47 |
36–48 |
35–51 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
38 |
0% |
36–47 |
36–47 |
36–48 |
35–51 |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
46 |
0% |
39–46 |
35–48 |
34–48 |
30–51 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
27 |
0% |
23–30 |
16–31 |
14–32 |
13–32 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
27 |
0% |
23–30 |
16–31 |
14–32 |
13–32 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
16 |
0% |
14–18 |
14–19 |
13–19 |
11–20 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
16 |
0% |
14–18 |
14–19 |
13–19 |
11–20 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
16 |
0% |
14–18 |
14–19 |
13–19 |
11–20 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
2% |
95% |
|
79 |
2% |
93% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
92% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
82 |
6% |
90% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
84 |
63% |
83% |
Median |
85 |
1.1% |
20% |
|
86 |
1.4% |
18% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
17% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
15% |
|
89 |
7% |
15% |
|
90 |
5% |
8% |
|
91 |
3% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
4% |
96% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
63 |
2% |
90% |
|
64 |
4% |
88% |
|
65 |
61% |
84% |
Median |
66 |
2% |
24% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
22% |
|
68 |
2% |
21% |
|
69 |
3% |
19% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
16% |
|
71 |
8% |
15% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
0% |
5% |
|
75 |
0% |
5% |
|
76 |
5% |
5% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
4% |
96% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
63 |
2% |
90% |
|
64 |
4% |
88% |
|
65 |
61% |
84% |
Median |
66 |
2% |
24% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
22% |
|
68 |
2% |
21% |
|
69 |
3% |
19% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
16% |
|
71 |
8% |
15% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
0% |
5% |
|
75 |
0% |
5% |
|
76 |
5% |
5% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
98% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
64 |
2% |
93% |
|
65 |
3% |
91% |
|
66 |
9% |
88% |
|
67 |
2% |
79% |
|
68 |
56% |
77% |
Median |
69 |
1.1% |
21% |
|
70 |
3% |
20% |
|
71 |
5% |
17% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
12% |
|
73 |
2% |
11% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
75 |
7% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
95% |
|
53 |
2% |
94% |
|
54 |
62% |
92% |
Median |
55 |
1.3% |
30% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
28% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
27% |
|
58 |
4% |
26% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
23% |
|
60 |
3% |
21% |
|
61 |
9% |
19% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
63 |
5% |
9% |
|
64 |
3% |
4% |
|
65 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
66 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
95% |
|
53 |
2% |
94% |
|
54 |
62% |
92% |
Median |
55 |
1.3% |
30% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
28% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
27% |
|
58 |
4% |
26% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
23% |
|
60 |
3% |
21% |
|
61 |
9% |
19% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
63 |
5% |
9% |
|
64 |
3% |
4% |
|
65 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
66 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
45 |
2% |
97% |
|
46 |
3% |
95% |
|
47 |
6% |
92% |
|
48 |
7% |
86% |
|
49 |
57% |
79% |
Median |
50 |
2% |
22% |
|
51 |
3% |
20% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
17% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
55 |
2% |
15% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
57 |
12% |
13% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
45 |
2% |
97% |
|
46 |
3% |
95% |
|
47 |
6% |
92% |
|
48 |
7% |
86% |
|
49 |
57% |
79% |
Median |
50 |
2% |
22% |
|
51 |
3% |
20% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
17% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
55 |
2% |
15% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
57 |
12% |
13% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
9% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
89% |
|
38 |
58% |
87% |
Median |
39 |
2% |
29% |
|
40 |
2% |
27% |
|
41 |
2% |
25% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
23% |
|
43 |
2% |
22% |
|
44 |
5% |
20% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
15% |
|
46 |
3% |
15% |
|
47 |
8% |
12% |
|
48 |
4% |
5% |
|
49 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
9% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
89% |
|
38 |
58% |
87% |
Median |
39 |
2% |
29% |
|
40 |
2% |
27% |
|
41 |
2% |
25% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
23% |
|
43 |
2% |
22% |
|
44 |
5% |
20% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
15% |
|
46 |
3% |
15% |
|
47 |
8% |
12% |
|
48 |
4% |
5% |
|
49 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
3% |
98% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
38 |
3% |
93% |
|
39 |
2% |
91% |
|
40 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
41 |
2% |
87% |
|
42 |
7% |
86% |
|
43 |
3% |
79% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
76% |
|
45 |
4% |
75% |
|
46 |
63% |
72% |
Median |
47 |
0.7% |
8% |
|
48 |
6% |
8% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
16 |
3% |
97% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
90% |
|
24 |
11% |
90% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
79% |
|
26 |
2% |
78% |
|
27 |
58% |
76% |
Median |
28 |
0.9% |
18% |
|
29 |
7% |
17% |
|
30 |
5% |
10% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
32 |
5% |
5% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
16 |
3% |
97% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
91% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
90% |
|
24 |
11% |
90% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
79% |
|
26 |
2% |
78% |
|
27 |
58% |
76% |
Median |
28 |
0.9% |
18% |
|
29 |
7% |
17% |
|
30 |
5% |
10% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
32 |
5% |
5% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
13% |
97% |
|
15 |
3% |
84% |
|
16 |
60% |
81% |
Median |
17 |
3% |
20% |
|
18 |
10% |
17% |
|
19 |
6% |
8% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
13% |
97% |
|
15 |
3% |
84% |
|
16 |
60% |
81% |
Median |
17 |
3% |
20% |
|
18 |
10% |
17% |
|
19 |
6% |
8% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
13% |
97% |
|
15 |
3% |
84% |
|
16 |
60% |
81% |
Median |
17 |
3% |
20% |
|
18 |
10% |
17% |
|
19 |
6% |
8% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Median SK
- Commissioner(s): RTVS
- Fieldwork period: 7–13 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.68%