Opinion Poll by Polis, 16–20 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0.0% 21.4% 19.9–23.0% 19.4–23.5% 19.1–23.9% 18.4–24.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita 6.2% 15.3% 14.0–16.8% 13.6–17.2% 13.3–17.5% 12.7–18.3%
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 25.0% 15.3% 14.0–16.8% 13.6–17.2% 13.3–17.5% 12.7–18.3%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–10.0% 7.0–10.2% 6.5–10.8%
SMER–sociálna demokracia 18.3% 8.4% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.4–10.7%
SME RODINA 8.2% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 3.9% 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
Za ľudí 5.8% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
Progresívne Slovensko 7.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.0% 3.2–6.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.6% 3.9% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.2% 2.6–5.6%
Dobrá voľba 3.1% 3.1% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.6%
VLASŤ 2.9% 2.1% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4%
Slovenská národná strana 3.2% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%
MOST–HÍD 2.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 7.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia 0 40 35–45 34–45 30–45 30–50
Sloboda a Solidarita 13 28 25–31 25–31 25–31 23–36
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 53 33 25–33 25–33 25–34 22–34
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 17 15 13–16 13–17 13–18 11–19
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 15 14–15 14–17 13–18 12–20
SME RODINA 17 10 9–10 0–12 0–13 0–15
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 9 9–11 0–11 0–11 0–13
Za ľudí 12 0 0–9 0–11 0–11 0–13
Progresívne Slovensko 0 0 0 0–10 0–11 0–12
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 0 0–10 0–10 0–10 0–10
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOST–HÍD 0 0 0 0 0 0
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 0 0 0 0 0

HLAS–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 3% 100%  
31 0.1% 97%  
32 0.1% 97%  
33 0.7% 97%  
34 1.1% 96%  
35 12% 95%  
36 1.2% 83%  
37 2% 82%  
38 0.6% 80%  
39 0.9% 79%  
40 64% 79% Median
41 2% 14%  
42 1.1% 12%  
43 0.6% 11%  
44 0% 11%  
45 8% 10%  
46 0.3% 2%  
47 0% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.7% 1.3%  
50 0.6% 0.6%  
51 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.6% 99.8%  
24 0.9% 99.2%  
25 12% 98%  
26 4% 86%  
27 0.9% 82%  
28 66% 81% Median
29 2% 15%  
30 2% 13%  
31 9% 11%  
32 0.5% 2%  
33 0.1% 2%  
34 0.5% 1.5%  
35 0% 1.0%  
36 1.0% 1.0%  
37 0% 0%  

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.2% 99.8%  
22 0.3% 99.6%  
23 0.2% 99.3%  
24 0.3% 99.2%  
25 9% 98.9%  
26 12% 90%  
27 1.0% 77%  
28 1.3% 76%  
29 2% 75%  
30 3% 73%  
31 0.6% 70%  
32 1.3% 69%  
33 65% 68% Median
34 2% 3%  
35 0% 0.5%  
36 0% 0.4%  
37 0% 0.4%  
38 0.4% 0.4%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0% Last Result

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 0.4% 99.2%  
13 17% 98.8%  
14 4% 82%  
15 67% 78% Median
16 3% 10%  
17 3% 7% Last Result
18 3% 5%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.5%  
13 2% 98.9%  
14 14% 97%  
15 75% 83% Median
16 2% 8%  
17 1.0% 5%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.8%  
21 0% 0.3%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0% 94%  
9 19% 94%  
10 67% 75% Median
11 1.3% 8%  
12 4% 7%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.7% 1.4%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0% 91%  
5 0% 91%  
6 0% 91%  
7 0% 91%  
8 0% 91%  
9 68% 91% Median
10 13% 23%  
11 8% 10%  
12 1.5% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.5%  
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 0% 17%  
5 0% 17%  
6 0% 17%  
7 0% 17%  
8 0% 17%  
9 9% 17%  
10 2% 8%  
11 5% 6%  
12 0.6% 1.2% Last Result
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 0% 7%  
8 0.1% 7%  
9 2% 7%  
10 2% 5%  
11 1.0% 3%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 0% 14%  
5 0% 14%  
6 0% 14%  
7 0% 14%  
8 3% 14%  
9 0.5% 11%  
10 10% 10%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 72 80 79% 71–82 71–82 71–86 67–95
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 34 65 0.8% 57–67 57–67 56–70 51–79
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 65 0.8% 58–68 56–69 56–69 50–79
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 65 0.8% 58–68 56–69 56–69 50–79
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 38 55 0% 49–60 49–60 44–60 44–68
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 55 0% 49–60 49–60 44–60 44–68
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 17 50 0% 44–52 42–54 41–54 35–63
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 17 50 0% 44–52 42–54 41–54 35–63
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 72 40 0% 36–40 33–42 32–46 32–48
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 0 40 0% 35–45 34–45 30–45 30–50
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 0 40 0% 35–45 34–45 30–45 30–50
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 25 0% 23–25 19–26 15–29 14–31
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 25 0% 23–25 19–26 15–29 14–31
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 38 15 0% 14–15 14–17 13–18 12–20
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 15 0% 14–15 14–17 13–18 12–20
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 15 0% 14–15 14–17 13–18 12–20

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.5%  
68 0.4% 99.2%  
69 0.1% 98.8%  
70 0.9% 98.7%  
71 12% 98%  
72 0% 86% Last Result
73 2% 86%  
74 2% 84%  
75 3% 82%  
76 0.5% 79% Majority
77 0.4% 79%  
78 1.1% 79%  
79 0.8% 77%  
80 64% 77% Median
81 0.1% 12%  
82 8% 12%  
83 0.8% 4%  
84 0.2% 3%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 0.5% 3%  
87 0% 2%  
88 0.6% 2%  
89 0% 2%  
90 0.9% 2%  
91 0% 0.8%  
92 0.1% 0.8%  
93 0% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.7%  
95 0.7% 0.7%  
96 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100% Last Result
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.7%  
52 0.8% 99.4%  
53 0.4% 98.6%  
54 0.7% 98%  
55 0% 98%  
56 0% 98%  
57 12% 97%  
58 0.5% 85%  
59 2% 85%  
60 4% 83%  
61 0.9% 79%  
62 0.2% 78%  
63 0.7% 78%  
64 2% 78%  
65 64% 75% Median
66 0.1% 12%  
67 8% 12%  
68 0.5% 4%  
69 0.9% 3%  
70 0.3% 3%  
71 0.4% 2%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0% 0.9%  
74 0.1% 0.9%  
75 0% 0.8%  
76 0% 0.8% Majority
77 0.1% 0.8%  
78 0% 0.7%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.5% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.4%  
52 0.1% 99.0%  
53 0% 98.9%  
54 0.7% 98.9%  
55 0.4% 98% Last Result
56 5% 98%  
57 0.2% 93%  
58 9% 93%  
59 2% 83%  
60 0.5% 81%  
61 2% 81%  
62 0.5% 79%  
63 0.9% 78%  
64 1.3% 77%  
65 64% 76% Median
66 0.1% 12%  
67 1.0% 12%  
68 1.3% 11%  
69 7% 10%  
70 0.6% 2%  
71 0% 2%  
72 0% 2%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.1% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.8% Majority
77 0% 0.7%  
78 0% 0.7%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.5% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.4%  
52 0.1% 99.0%  
53 0% 98.9%  
54 0.7% 98.9%  
55 0.4% 98% Last Result
56 5% 98%  
57 0.2% 93%  
58 9% 93%  
59 2% 83%  
60 0.5% 81%  
61 2% 81%  
62 0.5% 79%  
63 0.9% 78%  
64 1.3% 77%  
65 64% 76% Median
66 0.1% 12%  
67 1.0% 12%  
68 1.3% 11%  
69 7% 10%  
70 0.6% 2%  
71 0% 2%  
72 0% 2%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.1% 1.0%  
75 0% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.8% Majority
77 0% 0.7%  
78 0% 0.7%  
79 0.7% 0.7%  
80 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 3% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 97%  
46 0.2% 97%  
47 0.5% 97%  
48 0.6% 96%  
49 11% 96%  
50 1.2% 85%  
51 0.7% 84%  
52 2% 83%  
53 0.7% 81%  
54 1.0% 80%  
55 64% 79% Median
56 2% 15%  
57 0.3% 13%  
58 0.8% 13%  
59 0.8% 12%  
60 9% 11%  
61 0.2% 2%  
62 0% 2%  
63 0% 2%  
64 0% 2%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 0% 1.4%  
67 0.6% 1.4%  
68 0.7% 0.8%  
69 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 3% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 97%  
46 0.2% 97%  
47 0.5% 97%  
48 0.6% 96%  
49 11% 96%  
50 1.2% 85%  
51 0.7% 84%  
52 2% 83%  
53 0.7% 81%  
54 1.0% 80%  
55 64% 79% Median
56 2% 15%  
57 0.3% 13%  
58 0.8% 13%  
59 0.8% 12%  
60 9% 11%  
61 0.2% 2%  
62 0% 2%  
63 0% 2%  
64 0% 2%  
65 0.8% 2%  
66 0% 1.4%  
67 0.6% 1.4%  
68 0.7% 0.8%  
69 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 100%  
35 1.0% 99.8%  
36 0% 98.8%  
37 0.3% 98.8%  
38 0.6% 98%  
39 0.2% 98%  
40 0.1% 98%  
41 1.5% 98%  
42 3% 96%  
43 0.4% 93%  
44 9% 92%  
45 1.1% 83%  
46 4% 82%  
47 0.3% 78%  
48 1.2% 78%  
49 0.1% 76%  
50 65% 76% Median
51 0.4% 11%  
52 0.5% 10%  
53 0.6% 10%  
54 8% 9%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0% 0.9%  
57 0% 0.8%  
58 0% 0.8%  
59 0% 0.8%  
60 0% 0.8%  
61 0.1% 0.8%  
62 0% 0.7%  
63 0.7% 0.7%  
64 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 100%  
35 1.0% 99.8%  
36 0% 98.8%  
37 0.3% 98.8%  
38 0.6% 98%  
39 0.2% 98%  
40 0.1% 98%  
41 1.5% 98%  
42 3% 96%  
43 0.4% 93%  
44 9% 92%  
45 1.1% 83%  
46 4% 82%  
47 0.3% 78%  
48 1.2% 78%  
49 0.1% 76%  
50 65% 76% Median
51 0.4% 11%  
52 0.5% 10%  
53 0.6% 10%  
54 8% 9%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0% 0.9%  
57 0% 0.8%  
58 0% 0.8%  
59 0% 0.8%  
60 0% 0.8%  
61 0.1% 0.8%  
62 0% 0.7%  
63 0.7% 0.7%  
64 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0% 99.9%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.8%  
31 0.1% 99.7%  
32 2% 99.7%  
33 3% 97%  
34 0% 94%  
35 0.1% 94%  
36 9% 94%  
37 9% 85%  
38 2% 76%  
39 0.4% 74%  
40 66% 74% Median
41 3% 8%  
42 0.7% 5%  
43 0.5% 5%  
44 0.4% 4%  
45 1.2% 4%  
46 0.8% 3%  
47 0.2% 2%  
48 1.4% 2%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 3% 100%  
31 0.1% 97%  
32 0.1% 97%  
33 0.7% 97%  
34 1.1% 96%  
35 12% 95%  
36 1.2% 83%  
37 2% 82%  
38 0.6% 80%  
39 0.9% 79%  
40 64% 79% Median
41 2% 14%  
42 1.1% 12%  
43 0.6% 11%  
44 0% 11%  
45 8% 10%  
46 0.3% 2%  
47 0% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.7% 1.3%  
50 0.6% 0.6%  
51 0% 0%  

HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 3% 100%  
31 0.1% 97%  
32 0.1% 97%  
33 0.7% 97%  
34 1.1% 96%  
35 12% 95%  
36 1.2% 83%  
37 2% 82%  
38 0.6% 80%  
39 0.9% 79%  
40 64% 79% Median
41 2% 14%  
42 1.1% 12%  
43 0.6% 11%  
44 0% 11%  
45 8% 10%  
46 0.3% 2%  
47 0% 2%  
48 0.6% 2%  
49 0.7% 1.3%  
50 0.6% 0.6%  
51 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.8% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.0%  
16 1.1% 97%  
17 0.1% 96%  
18 0.6% 96%  
19 1.0% 95%  
20 0.3% 94%  
21 0.2% 94%  
22 0.7% 94%  
23 10% 93%  
24 10% 83%  
25 65% 73% Median
26 3% 8%  
27 0.8% 5%  
28 0.6% 4%  
29 1.5% 4%  
30 1.0% 2%  
31 0.9% 1.1%  
32 0% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.8% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.0%  
16 1.1% 97%  
17 0.1% 96%  
18 0.6% 96%  
19 1.0% 95%  
20 0.3% 94%  
21 0.2% 94%  
22 0.7% 94%  
23 10% 93%  
24 10% 83%  
25 65% 73% Median
26 3% 8%  
27 0.8% 5%  
28 0.6% 4%  
29 1.5% 4%  
30 1.0% 2%  
31 0.9% 1.1%  
32 0% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.5%  
13 2% 98.9%  
14 14% 97%  
15 75% 83% Median
16 2% 8%  
17 1.0% 5%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.8%  
21 0% 0.3%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.5%  
13 2% 98.9%  
14 14% 97%  
15 75% 83% Median
16 2% 8%  
17 1.0% 5%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.8%  
21 0% 0.3%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.5%  
13 2% 98.9%  
14 14% 97%  
15 75% 83% Median
16 2% 8%  
17 1.0% 5%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.8%  
21 0% 0.3%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations