Opinion Poll by Polis for SITA, 31 January–8 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 21.4% | 19.9–23.0% | 19.5–23.5% | 19.1–23.9% | 18.4–24.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 12.5% | 11.3–13.8% | 10.9–14.2% | 10.7–14.5% | 10.1–15.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 12.2% | 11.0–13.5% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.4–14.3% | 9.9–14.9% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 8.9% | 7.9–10.1% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.0–11.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.6–8.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 3.9–7.5% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 3.9–7.5% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.2–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.7–7.2% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.3% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.4–5.3% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.3–3.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.4% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.4% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 40 | 37–42 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 32–48 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 24 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 22 | 21–23 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–29 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 16 | 16–20 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 11–20 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 10–15 | 10–17 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 13 | 11–14 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 0–15 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 10 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 5% | 94% | |
| 38 | 4% | 90% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 86% | |
| 40 | 41% | 84% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 43% | |
| 42 | 38% | 41% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 20 | 2% | 97% | |
| 21 | 4% | 96% | |
| 22 | 41% | 92% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 51% | |
| 24 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 25 | 6% | 46% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 40% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 39% | |
| 28 | 38% | 39% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 21 | 4% | 92% | |
| 22 | 77% | 89% | Median |
| 23 | 3% | 11% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 25 | 4% | 8% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 2% | 93% | |
| 16 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 48% | |
| 18 | 4% | 46% | |
| 19 | 2% | 42% | |
| 20 | 40% | 40% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 12 | 7% | 96% | |
| 13 | 44% | 89% | Median |
| 14 | 5% | 45% | |
| 15 | 39% | 40% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 9 | 4% | 97% | |
| 10 | 2% | 94% | |
| 11 | 4% | 92% | |
| 12 | 7% | 87% | |
| 13 | 41% | 81% | Median |
| 14 | 38% | 40% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 59% | |
| 2 | 0% | 59% | |
| 3 | 0% | 59% | |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0% | 59% | |
| 6 | 0% | 59% | |
| 7 | 0% | 59% | |
| 8 | 0% | 59% | |
| 9 | 7% | 59% | |
| 10 | 42% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 10% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 46% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 54% | |
| 2 | 0% | 54% | |
| 3 | 0% | 54% | |
| 4 | 0% | 54% | |
| 5 | 0% | 54% | |
| 6 | 0% | 54% | |
| 7 | 0% | 54% | |
| 8 | 0% | 54% | |
| 9 | 3% | 54% | |
| 10 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 46% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 40% | Last Result |
| 13 | 38% | 39% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 16% | |
| 2 | 0% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0% | 16% | |
| 7 | 0% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0% | 16% | |
| 9 | 3% | 16% | |
| 10 | 7% | 12% | |
| 11 | 2% | 6% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 46% | |
| 2 | 0% | 46% | |
| 3 | 0% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0% | 46% | |
| 5 | 0% | 46% | |
| 6 | 0% | 46% | |
| 7 | 0% | 46% | |
| 8 | 0% | 46% | |
| 9 | 4% | 46% | |
| 10 | 41% | 42% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 73 | 9% | 72–75 | 69–80 | 65–81 | 65–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 59 | 0.3% | 58–62 | 57–68 | 53–70 | 53–73 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 59 | 0.3% | 58–62 | 57–68 | 53–70 | 53–73 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 57 | 0% | 53–61 | 53–61 | 49–63 | 48–71 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 58 | 0% | 53–60 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 46–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 58 | 0% | 53–60 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 46–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 42 | 0% | 40–48 | 40–50 | 37–51 | 35–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 42 | 0% | 40–48 | 40–50 | 37–51 | 35–58 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 0 | 40 | 0% | 37–42 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 32–48 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 40 | 0% | 37–42 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 32–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 33 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–41 | 28–42 | 27–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 20 | 0% | 16–24 | 16–28 | 16–31 | 14–32 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 20 | 0% | 16–24 | 16–28 | 16–31 | 14–32 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 16 | 0% | 16–20 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 11–20 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 16 | 0% | 16–20 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 11–20 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 16 | 0% | 16–20 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 11–20 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 96% | Median |
| 70 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 73 | 79% | 89% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.4% | 95% | Median |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 39% | 93% | |
| 59 | 5% | 55% | |
| 60 | 39% | 50% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.4% | 95% | Median |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 39% | 93% | |
| 59 | 5% | 55% | |
| 60 | 39% | 50% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 53 | 39% | 96% | Median |
| 54 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 55 | 3% | 56% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 53% | |
| 57 | 38% | 53% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 59 | 3% | 14% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 61 | 6% | 11% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 53 | 3% | 93% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 55 | 2% | 88% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 86% | Median |
| 57 | 3% | 86% | |
| 58 | 41% | 83% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 60 | 39% | 41% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 53 | 3% | 93% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 55 | 2% | 88% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 86% | Median |
| 57 | 3% | 86% | |
| 58 | 41% | 83% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 60 | 39% | 41% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 40 | 39% | 95% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 57% | |
| 42 | 38% | 54% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 45 | 3% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 47 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 40 | 39% | 95% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 57% | |
| 42 | 38% | 54% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 45 | 3% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 47 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 5% | 94% | |
| 38 | 4% | 90% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 86% | |
| 40 | 41% | 84% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 43% | |
| 42 | 38% | 41% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 5% | 94% | |
| 38 | 4% | 90% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 86% | |
| 40 | 41% | 84% | Median |
| 41 | 2% | 43% | |
| 42 | 38% | 41% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 96% | Median |
| 30 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 31 | 40% | 95% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 56% | |
| 33 | 39% | 55% | |
| 34 | 3% | 16% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 37 | 4% | 12% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 41% | 98.7% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 58% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 20 | 39% | 55% | |
| 21 | 2% | 16% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 23 | 2% | 14% | |
| 24 | 2% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 10% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 41% | 98.7% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 58% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 20 | 39% | 55% | |
| 21 | 2% | 16% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 23 | 2% | 14% | |
| 24 | 2% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 10% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 6% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 2% | 93% | |
| 16 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 48% | |
| 18 | 4% | 46% | |
| 19 | 2% | 42% | |
| 20 | 40% | 40% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 2% | 93% | |
| 16 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 48% | |
| 18 | 4% | 46% | |
| 19 | 2% | 42% | |
| 20 | 40% | 40% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 2% | 93% | |
| 16 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 48% | |
| 18 | 4% | 46% | |
| 19 | 2% | 42% | |
| 20 | 40% | 40% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): SITA
- Fieldwork period: 31 January–8 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1131
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.47%