Opinion Poll by AKO, 8–11 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 48 | 44–48 | 43–53 | 41–54 | 38–56 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 28 | 27–30 | 26–31 | 24–32 | 24–33 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 21 | 21–28 | 21–28 | 21–28 | 21–31 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 17 | 14–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 13 | 13–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 0–17 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 16% | 92% | |
| 45 | 5% | 76% | |
| 46 | 6% | 72% | |
| 47 | 9% | 65% | |
| 48 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 54 | 4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 26 | 7% | 97% | |
| 27 | 25% | 91% | |
| 28 | 50% | 66% | Median |
| 29 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 30 | 5% | 15% | |
| 31 | 7% | 10% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 51% | 99.6% | Median |
| 22 | 1.3% | 49% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 48% | |
| 24 | 8% | 46% | |
| 25 | 8% | 39% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 27 | 9% | 30% | |
| 28 | 21% | 22% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 14 | 3% | 93% | |
| 15 | 15% | 90% | |
| 16 | 14% | 75% | |
| 17 | 51% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 12 | 2% | 95% | |
| 13 | 48% | 93% | Median |
| 14 | 14% | 45% | |
| 15 | 21% | 31% | |
| 16 | 8% | 9% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 53% | |
| 2 | 0% | 53% | |
| 3 | 0% | 53% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0% | 53% | |
| 6 | 0% | 53% | |
| 7 | 0% | 53% | |
| 8 | 0% | 53% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 10 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 23% | 40% | |
| 12 | 16% | 17% | Last Result |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 83% | |
| 2 | 0% | 83% | |
| 3 | 0% | 83% | |
| 4 | 0% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0% | 83% | |
| 6 | 0% | 83% | |
| 7 | 0% | 83% | |
| 8 | 0% | 83% | |
| 9 | 6% | 83% | |
| 10 | 19% | 77% | |
| 11 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 46% | 46% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 42% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 58% | |
| 2 | 0% | 58% | |
| 3 | 0% | 58% | |
| 4 | 0% | 58% | |
| 5 | 0% | 58% | |
| 6 | 0% | 58% | |
| 7 | 0% | 58% | |
| 8 | 0% | 58% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 58% | |
| 10 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 48% | 48% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 73 | 47% | 65–77 | 62–77 | 61–77 | 60–79 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 73 | 46% | 65–77 | 62–77 | 61–77 | 60–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 73 | 46% | 65–77 | 62–77 | 61–77 | 60–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 65 | 0% | 59–65 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 65 | 0% | 59–65 | 58–70 | 56–72 | 54–74 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 57 | 0% | 48–60 | 45–60 | 45–60 | 43–65 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 57 | 0% | 48–60 | 45–60 | 45–60 | 43–60 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 57 | 0% | 48–60 | 45–60 | 45–60 | 43–60 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 0 | 48 | 0% | 44–48 | 43–53 | 41–54 | 38–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 48 | 0% | 44–48 | 43–53 | 41–54 | 38–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 27 | 0% | 18–29 | 16–29 | 16–29 | 16–31 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 27 | 0% | 18–29 | 16–29 | 16–29 | 15–29 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 27 | 0% | 18–29 | 16–29 | 16–29 | 15–29 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 17 | 0% | 14–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 17 | 0% | 14–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 17 | 0% | 14–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 2% | 95% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 2% | 93% | |
| 65 | 2% | 91% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 67 | 2% | 89% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 20% | 86% | |
| 70 | 4% | 66% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 61% | |
| 72 | 4% | 60% | Last Result |
| 73 | 7% | 56% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 48% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 76 | 0% | 47% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 46% | 47% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 2% | 95% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 2% | 93% | |
| 65 | 2% | 91% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 67 | 2% | 89% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 20% | 85% | |
| 70 | 4% | 65% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 61% | |
| 72 | 5% | 60% | |
| 73 | 7% | 55% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 76 | 0% | 46% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 46% | 46% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 2% | 95% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 2% | 93% | |
| 65 | 2% | 91% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 67 | 2% | 89% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 20% | 85% | |
| 70 | 4% | 65% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 61% | |
| 72 | 5% | 60% | |
| 73 | 7% | 55% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 76 | 0% | 46% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 46% | 46% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 58 | 6% | 97% | |
| 59 | 18% | 91% | |
| 60 | 2% | 73% | |
| 61 | 4% | 70% | |
| 62 | 2% | 66% | |
| 63 | 3% | 64% | |
| 64 | 7% | 61% | |
| 65 | 46% | 54% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 5% | |
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 58 | 6% | 97% | |
| 59 | 18% | 91% | |
| 60 | 2% | 73% | |
| 61 | 4% | 70% | |
| 62 | 2% | 66% | |
| 63 | 3% | 64% | |
| 64 | 7% | 61% | |
| 65 | 46% | 54% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 5% | |
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 47 | 0% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 2% | 90% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 86% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 54 | 23% | 86% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 56 | 5% | 62% | |
| 57 | 8% | 57% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 49% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 47% | Median |
| 60 | 46% | 47% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 47 | 0% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 2% | 89% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 54 | 23% | 86% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 56 | 5% | 62% | |
| 57 | 8% | 57% | |
| 58 | 2% | 48% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 47% | Median |
| 60 | 46% | 46% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 4% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 47 | 0% | 93% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 2% | 89% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 88% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 54 | 23% | 86% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 56 | 5% | 62% | |
| 57 | 8% | 57% | |
| 58 | 2% | 48% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 47% | Median |
| 60 | 46% | 46% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 16% | 92% | |
| 45 | 5% | 76% | |
| 46 | 6% | 72% | |
| 47 | 9% | 65% | |
| 48 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 54 | 4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 16% | 92% | |
| 45 | 5% | 76% | |
| 46 | 6% | 72% | |
| 47 | 9% | 65% | |
| 48 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 54 | 4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 18 | 6% | 93% | |
| 19 | 3% | 86% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 21 | 0% | 84% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 23 | 6% | 83% | |
| 24 | 3% | 78% | |
| 25 | 16% | 75% | |
| 26 | 8% | 59% | |
| 27 | 5% | 52% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 47% | Median |
| 29 | 46% | 47% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 18 | 6% | 93% | |
| 19 | 3% | 86% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 21 | 0% | 83% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 23 | 6% | 83% | |
| 24 | 3% | 77% | |
| 25 | 16% | 75% | |
| 26 | 8% | 59% | |
| 27 | 5% | 51% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 47% | Median |
| 29 | 46% | 46% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 18 | 6% | 93% | |
| 19 | 3% | 86% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 21 | 0% | 83% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 23 | 6% | 83% | |
| 24 | 3% | 77% | |
| 25 | 16% | 75% | |
| 26 | 8% | 59% | |
| 27 | 5% | 51% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 47% | Median |
| 29 | 46% | 46% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 14 | 3% | 93% | |
| 15 | 15% | 90% | |
| 16 | 14% | 75% | |
| 17 | 51% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 14 | 3% | 93% | |
| 15 | 15% | 90% | |
| 16 | 14% | 75% | |
| 17 | 51% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 14 | 3% | 93% | |
| 15 | 15% | 90% | |
| 16 | 14% | 75% | |
| 17 | 51% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–11 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.04%