Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 21–28 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.0–22.3% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba | 0.0% | 16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.0–16.5% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 32–38 | 31–41 | 30–43 | 28–43 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba | 0 | 30 | 23–35 | 23–35 | 23–35 | 23–37 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 26 | 22–27 | 21–29 | 20–30 | 19–31 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 14 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–21 | 13–23 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 10–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–15 | 0–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 0–13 | 0–15 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 5% | 97% | |
| 32 | 4% | 92% | |
| 33 | 4% | 88% | |
| 34 | 21% | 85% | |
| 35 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 45% | |
| 37 | 19% | 43% | |
| 38 | 18% | 24% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 43 | 4% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia–Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 84% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 26 | 3% | 81% | |
| 27 | 20% | 78% | |
| 28 | 4% | 58% | |
| 29 | 2% | 54% | |
| 30 | 20% | 52% | Median |
| 31 | 8% | 32% | |
| 32 | 5% | 24% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 35 | 16% | 17% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 5% | 97% | |
| 22 | 17% | 92% | |
| 23 | 3% | 75% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 25 | 9% | 71% | |
| 26 | 51% | 62% | Median |
| 27 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 28 | 4% | 9% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 52% | 97% | Median |
| 15 | 4% | 45% | |
| 16 | 6% | 42% | |
| 17 | 4% | 36% | |
| 18 | 19% | 32% | |
| 19 | 8% | 12% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 10 | 7% | 91% | |
| 11 | 36% | 84% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 48% | |
| 13 | 20% | 41% | |
| 14 | 20% | 21% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 74% | |
| 2 | 0% | 74% | |
| 3 | 0% | 74% | |
| 4 | 0% | 74% | |
| 5 | 0% | 74% | |
| 6 | 0% | 74% | |
| 7 | 0% | 74% | |
| 8 | 0% | 74% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 74% | |
| 10 | 3% | 73% | |
| 11 | 19% | 70% | |
| 12 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 30% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 4% | 96% | |
| 10 | 19% | 92% | |
| 11 | 6% | 73% | |
| 12 | 42% | 67% | Median |
| 13 | 23% | 26% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 79% | |
| 2 | 0% | 79% | |
| 3 | 0% | 79% | |
| 4 | 0% | 79% | |
| 5 | 0% | 79% | |
| 6 | 0% | 79% | |
| 7 | 0% | 79% | |
| 8 | 0% | 79% | |
| 9 | 2% | 79% | |
| 10 | 61% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 16% | |
| 12 | 6% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 48% | |
| 2 | 0% | 48% | |
| 3 | 0% | 48% | |
| 4 | 0% | 48% | |
| 5 | 0% | 48% | |
| 6 | 0% | 48% | |
| 7 | 0% | 48% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 48% | |
| 9 | 17% | 48% | |
| 10 | 19% | 31% | |
| 11 | 9% | 13% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 58 | 0% | 46–60 | 46–60 | 42–60 | 42–65 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 58 | 0% | 46–60 | 46–60 | 42–60 | 42–65 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 44 | 0% | 35–48 | 35–49 | 35–55 | 33–55 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 48 | 0% | 42–50 | 37–50 | 31–54 | 31–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 31–41 | 30–43 | 28–43 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 16% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 80% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 79% | |
| 50 | 3% | 78% | |
| 51 | 3% | 75% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 54 | 3% | 70% | |
| 55 | 4% | 67% | |
| 56 | 3% | 63% | Median |
| 57 | 5% | 60% | |
| 58 | 21% | 55% | |
| 59 | 17% | 34% | |
| 60 | 15% | 17% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 16% | 96% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 80% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 79% | |
| 50 | 3% | 78% | |
| 51 | 3% | 75% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 54 | 3% | 70% | |
| 55 | 4% | 67% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 63% | Median |
| 57 | 5% | 60% | |
| 58 | 21% | 55% | |
| 59 | 17% | 34% | |
| 60 | 15% | 17% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 37 | 2% | 84% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 82% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 40 | 2% | 81% | |
| 41 | 2% | 79% | |
| 42 | 6% | 77% | |
| 43 | 4% | 70% | |
| 44 | 20% | 66% | |
| 45 | 2% | 46% | Median |
| 46 | 5% | 45% | |
| 47 | 17% | 40% | |
| 48 | 17% | 22% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 97% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 34 | 0% | 97% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 41 | 2% | 93% | |
| 42 | 2% | 90% | |
| 43 | 4% | 89% | |
| 44 | 4% | 85% | |
| 45 | 2% | 81% | |
| 46 | 18% | 79% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 60% | |
| 48 | 20% | 58% | |
| 49 | 16% | 38% | |
| 50 | 18% | 22% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 5% | 97% | |
| 32 | 4% | 92% | |
| 33 | 4% | 88% | |
| 34 | 21% | 85% | |
| 35 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 45% | |
| 37 | 19% | 43% | |
| 38 | 18% | 24% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 43 | 4% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 21–28 June 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1012
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.06%