REPUBLIKA
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 29 February 2020)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.7% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.2–9.5% | 4.8–9.8% | 4.3–10.4% |
| 25–26 September 2023 | Median | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 22–26 September 2023 | Focus | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 20–26 September 2023 | AKO | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 22–25 September 2023 | Ipsos | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 21–24 September 2023 | NMS | 8.5% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.8–10.6% |
| 16–20 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 6.8% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.6–8.1% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.0–8.9% |
| 15–19 September 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.5–11.0% |
| 6–13 September 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 5–11 September 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 5–9 September 2023 | NMS | 8.3% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.2–9.6% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.6–10.4% |
| 1–6 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia eReport |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–31 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
10.2% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 7.9–12.9% |
| 21–24 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 August 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
6.6% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 9–16 August 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
8.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.4% |
| 10–14 August 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 7–14 August 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| 1–7 August 2023 | NMS | 7.5% | 6.7–8.5% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 5.9–9.5% |
| 26 July–1 August 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 July 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| 22–27 July 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Median RTVS |
9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
8.7% | 7.7–9.9% | 7.4–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 19–21 July 2023 | Median | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 July 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 10–17 July 2023 | AKO | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 4–9 July 2023 | NMS | 10.3% | 9.4–11.4% | 9.1–11.8% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.4–12.6% |
| 21–28 June 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 15 May–20 June 2023 | Median | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.7–10.0% | 6.2–10.6% |
| 12–16 June 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 6–9 June 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 2–8 June 2023 | NMS | 9.4% | 8.5–10.5% | 8.2–10.8% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.6–11.6% |
| 24–31 May 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.3% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 16–19 May 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
| 3–17 May 2023 | NMS | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 May 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 29 April–6 May 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| 1 April–6 May 2023 | Median | 7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
| 19–26 April 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.4% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 10–14 April 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 April 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 March–2 April 2023 | NMS | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 1–31 March 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 14–22 March 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.2% |
| 12 March 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 1 February–5 March 2023 | Median | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.5–8.3% |
| 7–13 February 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 1–8 February 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 9 January–5 February 2023 | Median | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 28 January–1 February 2023 | Polis SITA |
7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 18–20 January 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 10–16 January 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 19–23 December 2022 | Median | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 16–20 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
6.9% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.5–8.5% | 5.2–9.0% |
| 6–12 December 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 30 November–7 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 22–28 November 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 8–12 November 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| 8–11 November 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 18–21 October 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 October 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 21–27 September 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 14–20 September 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 8–18 September 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 15–18 August 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| 29 July–8 August 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.6% |
| 7–14 July 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 20–27 June 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
6.8% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 7–10 June 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 25–31 May 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 May 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 April 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 March–6 April 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 March 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 February–1 March 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–20 February 2022 | Median | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 February 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 27 January–1 February 2022 | Median | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 19–26 January 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
7.8% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 10–17 January 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 7–13 December 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 16–23 November 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
6.8% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| 8–16 November 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 20–27 October 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
5.5% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.6% |
| 17–20 October 2021 | Actly Zoznam/Topky |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 4–7 October 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 6–13 September 2021 | AKO | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 September 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 August 2021 | AKO | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 July 2021 | AKO | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 7–11 June 2021 | AKO | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 2–9 June 2021 | FOCUS | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| 4–7 June 2021 | Actly | 5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–19 May 2021 | FOCUS | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 13–17 May 2021 | AKO | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 12–17 April 2021 | AKO | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 31 March–7 April 2021 | FOCUS | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 27–31 March 2021 | Actly | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 8–12 March 2021 | AKO | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 17–24 February 2021 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 February 2021 | AKO | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–8 February 2021 | Polis SITA |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 January 2021 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 January 2021 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 January 2021 | Median SK RTVS |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 December 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 December 2020 | AKO | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 December 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 December 2020 | Actly | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–25 November 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–25 November 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 November 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–26 October 2020 | Actly | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–23 October 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–15 October 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 October 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–9 October 2020 | AKO | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–18 September 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 September 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–26 August 2020 | Actly | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–27 July 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–17 July 2020 | AKO | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–24 June 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 June 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 May 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–21 May 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 April 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 April 2020 | AKO | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 April 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 March 2020 | FOCUS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for REPUBLIKA.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 13% | 92% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 24% | 79% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 32% | 55% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 18% | 23% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 29 February 2020)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 14 | 10–16 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–19 |
| 25–26 September 2023 | Median | 13 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| 22–26 September 2023 | Focus | 13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 10–18 |
| 20–26 September 2023 | AKO | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 22–25 September 2023 | Ipsos | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 0–17 |
| 21–24 September 2023 | NMS | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14–18 |
| 16–20 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–17 |
| 15–19 September 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–19 | 11–20 |
| 6–13 September 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–19 |
| 5–11 September 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
9 | 9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 5–9 September 2023 | NMS | 14 | 13–15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 1–6 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia eReport |
|||||
| 25–31 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| 21–24 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
|||||
| 11–16 August 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 9–16 August 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
17 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| 10–14 August 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 10–20 |
| 7–14 August 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–14 |
| 1–7 August 2023 | NMS | 14 | 13–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 26 July–1 August 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
|||||
| 24–28 July 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 0–16 |
| 22–27 July 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
16 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Median RTVS |
17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
16 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–21 |
| 19–21 July 2023 | Median | |||||
| 17–21 July 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
17 | 16–17 | 15–18 | 13–19 | 12–22 |
| 10–17 July 2023 | AKO | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 0–16 |
| 4–9 July 2023 | NMS | 20 | 18–25 | 16–26 | 16–26 | 16–27 |
| 21–28 June 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
14 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–21 | 13–23 |
| 15 May–20 June 2023 | Median | 16 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 10–18 | 10–19 |
| 12–16 June 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
15 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| 6–9 June 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| 2–8 June 2023 | NMS | 22 | 18–22 | 14–22 | 14–22 | 14–22 |
| 24–31 May 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 14–23 |
| 16–19 May 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–21 | 13–23 |
| 3–17 May 2023 | NMS | |||||
| 4–10 May 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
11 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| 29 April–6 May 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| 1 April–6 May 2023 | Median | 14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| 19–26 April 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
18 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 10–14 April 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
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| 4–11 April 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 28 March–2 April 2023 | NMS | 21 | 17–23 | 15–27 | 15–27 | 15–27 |
| 1–31 March 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
16 | 15–17 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–23 |
| 14–22 March 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
18 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 14–22 | 14–23 |
| 12 March 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| 1 February–5 March 2023 | Median | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 7–13 February 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 1–8 February 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 9 January–5 February 2023 | Median | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 28 January–1 February 2023 | Polis SITA |
13 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 18–20 January 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
14 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 10–16 January 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| 19–23 December 2022 | Median | 16 | 16–19 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 16–20 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
11 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 6–12 December 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 30 November–7 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 22–28 November 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
11 | 9–13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| 8–12 November 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| 8–11 November 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| 18–21 October 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
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| 12–19 October 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 0–15 |
| 21–27 September 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| 14–20 September 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
10 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–17 |
| 8–18 September 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| 15–18 August 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 29 July–8 August 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
13 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 7–14 July 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 20–27 June 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
12 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 0–17 |
| 7–10 June 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 25–31 May 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
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| 10–16 May 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 5–11 April 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 30 March–6 April 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
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| 8–11 March 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 22 February–1 March 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
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| 9–20 February 2022 | Median | |||||
| 8–14 February 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–15 |
| 27 January–1 February 2022 | Median | 13 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| 19–26 January 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
13 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–19 | 9–20 |
| 10–17 January 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 7–13 December 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 16–23 November 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 0–17 |
| 8–16 November 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
11 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 20–27 October 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 17–20 October 2021 | Actly Zoznam/Topky |
10 | 10 | 9–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| 4–7 October 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| 6–13 September 2021 | AKO | |||||
| 1–7 September 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
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| 10–15 August 2021 | AKO | |||||
| 6–12 July 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–11 |
| 7–11 June 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–9 June 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 4–7 June 2021 | Actly | |||||
| 11–19 May 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 13–17 May 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–17 April 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 March–7 April 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 27–31 March 2021 | Actly | 10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 8–12 March 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–24 February 2021 | FOCUS | |||||
| 8–11 February 2021 | AKO | |||||
| 31 January–8 February 2021 | Polis SITA |
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| 16–20 January 2021 | Polis | |||||
| 12–19 January 2021 | FOCUS | |||||
| 7–13 January 2021 | Median SK RTVS |
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| 19–22 December 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 17–19 December 2020 | AKO | |||||
| 8–14 December 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 6–11 December 2020 | Actly | |||||
| 20–25 November 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 18–25 November 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 6–11 November 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
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| 21–26 October 2020 | Actly | |||||
| 15–23 October 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 7–15 October 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 7–12 October 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 1–9 October 2020 | AKO | |||||
| 14–18 September 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
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| 4–9 September 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 21–26 August 2020 | Actly | |||||
| 22–27 July 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 7–17 July 2020 | AKO | |||||
| 17–24 June 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 5–10 June 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 23–27 May 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 14–21 May 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 15–19 April 2020 | FOCUS | |||||
| 14–17 April 2020 | AKO | |||||
| 4–8 April 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 18–21 March 2020 | FOCUS |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for REPUBLIKA.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 0% | 94% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 9 | 3% | 93% | |
| 10 | 8% | 91% | |
| 11 | 6% | 83% | |
| 12 | 14% | 77% | |
| 13 | 12% | 63% | |
| 14 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 31% | |
| 16 | 9% | 13% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |