Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
29.9% |
27.5–32.5% |
26.8–33.2% |
26.2–33.8% |
25.1–35.1% |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
12.6% |
11.0–14.6% |
10.5–15.1% |
10.1–15.7% |
9.4–16.6% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
12.6% |
11.0–14.6% |
10.5–15.1% |
10.1–15.7% |
9.4–16.6% |
Levica |
9.3% |
8.5% |
7.2–10.2% |
6.8–10.7% |
6.5–11.2% |
5.9–12.0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
6.0% |
4.9–7.5% |
4.6–8.0% |
4.4–8.3% |
3.9–9.1% |
Stranka modernega centra |
9.7% |
3.9% |
3.0–5.2% |
2.8–5.5% |
2.6–5.9% |
2.2–6.5% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
3.9% |
3.0–5.2% |
2.8–5.5% |
2.6–5.9% |
2.2–6.5% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
2.8% |
2.1–4.0% |
1.9–4.3% |
1.8–4.6% |
1.5–5.2% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
2.1% |
1.5–3.2% |
1.4–3.4% |
1.2–3.7% |
1.0–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
3% |
98.5% |
Last Result |
26 |
5% |
95% |
|
27 |
19% |
90% |
|
28 |
18% |
71% |
|
29 |
17% |
53% |
Median |
30 |
14% |
36% |
|
31 |
12% |
22% |
|
32 |
6% |
10% |
|
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
11% |
97% |
|
11 |
25% |
86% |
|
12 |
22% |
61% |
Median |
13 |
24% |
39% |
Last Result |
14 |
11% |
15% |
|
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
12% |
97% |
Last Result |
11 |
15% |
85% |
|
12 |
33% |
70% |
Median |
13 |
22% |
37% |
|
14 |
9% |
15% |
|
15 |
5% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
7 |
22% |
94% |
|
8 |
27% |
72% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
45% |
Last Result |
10 |
19% |
22% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
4 |
10% |
99.1% |
|
5 |
32% |
89% |
|
6 |
27% |
57% |
Median |
7 |
26% |
30% |
Last Result |
8 |
4% |
4% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
60% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
40% |
|
2 |
0% |
40% |
|
3 |
2% |
40% |
|
4 |
30% |
37% |
|
5 |
6% |
8% |
|
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
54% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
46% |
|
2 |
0% |
46% |
|
3 |
3% |
46% |
|
4 |
29% |
42% |
|
5 |
12% |
13% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
8% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
4 |
6% |
7% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.1% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
42 |
17% |
40–46 |
39–47 |
39–48 |
37–49 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca |
38 |
41 |
5% |
38–44 |
37–46 |
36–46 |
35–48 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
50 |
34 |
0% |
30–37 |
29–38 |
28–39 |
26–40 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
45 |
34 |
0% |
30–37 |
29–38 |
28–39 |
26–40 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
31 |
0% |
29–35 |
28–36 |
27–37 |
26–38 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
40 |
31 |
0% |
29–34 |
28–35 |
27–36 |
25–38 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
30 |
30 |
0% |
27–32 |
26–33 |
25–34 |
24–35 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
43 |
28 |
0% |
23–31 |
23–32 |
23–33 |
22–35 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
38 |
28 |
0% |
23–31 |
23–32 |
23–33 |
22–35 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
25 |
0% |
23–30 |
23–30 |
22–31 |
21–32 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
33 |
25 |
0% |
23–29 |
23–30 |
22–31 |
21–32 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati |
23 |
24 |
0% |
22–26 |
21–27 |
20–28 |
19–29 |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
25 |
16 |
0% |
12–19 |
11–21 |
11–22 |
10–23 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
4% |
98% |
|
40 |
13% |
94% |
|
41 |
12% |
81% |
Median |
42 |
20% |
69% |
|
43 |
14% |
49% |
Last Result |
44 |
9% |
35% |
|
45 |
8% |
25% |
|
46 |
12% |
17% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
6% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
5% |
97% |
|
38 |
9% |
92% |
Last Result |
39 |
13% |
83% |
|
40 |
15% |
70% |
|
41 |
18% |
55% |
Median |
42 |
17% |
37% |
|
43 |
8% |
20% |
|
44 |
5% |
12% |
|
45 |
2% |
7% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
Majority |
47 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
29 |
4% |
97% |
|
30 |
10% |
93% |
Median |
31 |
9% |
84% |
|
32 |
11% |
75% |
|
33 |
8% |
64% |
|
34 |
19% |
55% |
|
35 |
14% |
37% |
|
36 |
7% |
23% |
|
37 |
10% |
16% |
|
38 |
3% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
1.5% |
98.5% |
|
29 |
4% |
97% |
|
30 |
10% |
93% |
Median |
31 |
9% |
84% |
|
32 |
11% |
75% |
|
33 |
8% |
63% |
|
34 |
19% |
55% |
|
35 |
14% |
36% |
|
36 |
7% |
23% |
|
37 |
9% |
15% |
|
38 |
3% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
28 |
4% |
97% |
|
29 |
8% |
92% |
|
30 |
20% |
85% |
Median |
31 |
15% |
65% |
|
32 |
13% |
49% |
|
33 |
9% |
37% |
|
34 |
10% |
27% |
|
35 |
8% |
17% |
Last Result |
36 |
4% |
9% |
|
37 |
4% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
3% |
98% |
|
28 |
4% |
96% |
|
29 |
9% |
91% |
|
30 |
14% |
82% |
Median |
31 |
19% |
68% |
|
32 |
16% |
48% |
|
33 |
10% |
33% |
|
34 |
14% |
23% |
|
35 |
4% |
9% |
|
36 |
2% |
4% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
26 |
3% |
97% |
|
27 |
9% |
94% |
|
28 |
9% |
85% |
|
29 |
14% |
76% |
|
30 |
23% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
31 |
17% |
39% |
|
32 |
12% |
21% |
|
33 |
6% |
10% |
|
34 |
3% |
4% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
9% |
98.5% |
|
24 |
4% |
90% |
Median |
25 |
12% |
86% |
|
26 |
5% |
74% |
|
27 |
13% |
69% |
|
28 |
12% |
56% |
|
29 |
16% |
44% |
|
30 |
13% |
28% |
|
31 |
6% |
15% |
|
32 |
5% |
9% |
|
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
9% |
98% |
|
24 |
4% |
90% |
Median |
25 |
12% |
86% |
|
26 |
6% |
74% |
|
27 |
13% |
68% |
|
28 |
12% |
55% |
|
29 |
16% |
43% |
|
30 |
13% |
27% |
|
31 |
6% |
15% |
|
32 |
5% |
8% |
|
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
23 |
15% |
95% |
|
24 |
8% |
80% |
Median |
25 |
22% |
72% |
|
26 |
8% |
50% |
|
27 |
11% |
42% |
|
28 |
11% |
31% |
Last Result |
29 |
8% |
20% |
|
30 |
9% |
12% |
|
31 |
2% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
2% |
98% |
|
23 |
13% |
96% |
|
24 |
13% |
83% |
Median |
25 |
21% |
70% |
|
26 |
15% |
49% |
|
27 |
12% |
34% |
|
28 |
6% |
21% |
|
29 |
10% |
15% |
|
30 |
3% |
5% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
32 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
2% |
98% |
|
21 |
6% |
97% |
|
22 |
8% |
90% |
|
23 |
19% |
82% |
Last Result |
24 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
25 |
26% |
46% |
|
26 |
10% |
20% |
|
27 |
7% |
10% |
|
28 |
2% |
3% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
7% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
14% |
92% |
Median |
13 |
7% |
79% |
|
14 |
8% |
72% |
|
15 |
7% |
64% |
|
16 |
12% |
57% |
|
17 |
17% |
46% |
|
18 |
12% |
28% |
|
19 |
7% |
16% |
|
20 |
3% |
9% |
|
21 |
3% |
6% |
|
22 |
2% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija
- Fieldwork period: 13–15 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 562
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%