Lista Marjana Šarca
Voting Intentions
Last result: 12.6% (General Election of 3 June 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.5% | 2.4–5.4% | 2.2–5.8% | 2.0–6.1% | 1.7–6.7% |
| 10–12 May 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
2.9% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.9–4.4% | 1.6–4.9% |
| 3–5 May 2022 | Mediana Delo |
3.0% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.7–5.0% |
| 20–22 April 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.9–6.4% |
| 19–21 April 2022 | Mediana Delo, POP TV |
2.8% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 14–19 April 2022 | Parsifal TS media |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| 13–15 April 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 April 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 4–7 April 2022 | Mediana Delo, POP TV |
5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 1–5 April 2022 | Parsifal Nova24TV |
2.8% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.7–4.6% |
| 30–31 March 2022 | Mediana RTV SLO |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 22–24 March 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 21–24 March 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| 7–10 March 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 March 2022 | Mediana Delo |
4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–3 March 2022 | Mediana RTV SLO |
7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 23–25 February 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
7.2% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.4–9.4% | 4.9–10.1% |
| 21–24 February 2022 | Mediana POP TV |
5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.2–7.8% | 3.8–8.5% |
| 21–23 February 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 14 March–17 February 2022 | Parsifal Nova24TV |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 February 2022 | Parsifal Nova24TV |
6.0% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.1–8.7% |
| 7–10 February 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 February 2022 | Mediana Delo |
4.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.4–6.6% | 3.1–7.2% |
| 31 January–3 February 2022 | Mediana RTV SLO |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 January 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
4.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.1–7.3% |
| 25–27 January 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 17–19 January 2022 | Mediana POP TV |
10.5% | 9.1–12.2% | 8.7–12.7% | 8.4–13.1% | 7.7–13.9% |
| 11–14 January 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.1–7.8% |
| 11–13 January 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 January 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 December 2021 | Mediana RTV SLO |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 December 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 December 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 December 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
11.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2021 | Mediana Delo |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 December 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 November–2 December 2021 | Mediana RTV SLO |
8.9% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 1–28 November 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
8.6% | 7.4–10.1% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.7–10.9% | 6.2–11.6% |
| 9–11 November 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
11.6% | 10.2–13.3% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.4–14.2% | 8.8–15.0% |
| 20 September–4 November 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
9.2% | 8.7–9.8% | 8.5–9.9% | 8.4–10.0% | 8.2–10.3% |
| 2–4 November 2021 | Mediana Delo |
9.4% | 8.2–11.0% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.5–11.8% | 6.9–12.6% |
| 1–24 October 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 October 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 October 2021 | Mediana Delo |
13.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–26 September 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 September 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2021 | Mediana Delo |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 August–2 September 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
11.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–22 August 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 August 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 August 2021 | Mediana Delo |
11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–25 July 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
12.0% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.9–14.6% | 9.2–15.5% |
| 13–15 July 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
14.6% | 13.0–16.4% | 12.5–16.9% | 12.1–17.4% | 11.4–18.3% |
| 5–7 July 2021 | Mediana Delo |
11.4% | 10.0–13.1% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.3–14.0% | 8.6–14.8% |
| 1–28 June 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
12.7% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.4–15.3% | 9.7–16.2% |
| 15–17 June 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
14.7% | 13.1–16.6% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.3–17.5% | 11.6–18.5% |
| 10–15 June 2021 | Episcenter Domovina |
22.3% | 20.1–24.6% | 19.5–25.3% | 19.0–25.9% | 18.0–27.0% |
| 7–10 June 2021 | Mediana Delo |
14.5% | 12.9–16.3% | 12.5–16.8% | 12.1–17.3% | 11.4–18.2% |
| 24–26 May 2021 | Parsifal Planet TV |
15.7% | 14.1–17.5% | 13.6–18.0% | 13.3–18.5% | 12.5–19.4% |
| 1–23 May 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
13.4% | 11.8–15.1% | 11.4–15.6% | 11.1–16.1% | 10.4–16.9% |
| 10–13 May 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
12.1% | 10.7–13.8% | 10.3–14.3% | 9.9–14.7% | 9.3–15.5% |
| 11–13 May 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13.1% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.8–15.9% | 10.2–16.7% |
| 3–6 May 2021 | Mediana Delo |
10.7% | 9.3–12.3% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.6–13.2% | 8.0–14.0% |
| 1–25 April 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
13.2% | 11.7–14.9% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.9–15.9% | 10.2–16.7% |
| 13–15 April 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15.7% | 14.1–17.6% | 13.6–18.1% | 13.2–18.6% | 12.5–19.5% |
| 12–14 April 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
16.9% | 15.3–18.8% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.4–19.8% | 13.7–20.7% |
| 1–28 March 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
14.0% | 12.5–15.8% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.7–16.8% | 11.0–17.7% |
| 8–12 March 2021 | Mediana Delo |
13.8% | 12.3–15.6% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.4–16.6% | 10.7–17.5% |
| 9–11 March 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13.9% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.5–16.6% | 10.8–17.5% |
| 1–4 March 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
12.4% | 11.0–14.1% | 10.5–14.6% | 10.2–15.0% | 9.5–15.9% |
| 1–28 February 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
12.0% | 10.5–13.7% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.8–14.6% | 9.1–15.4% |
| 9–11 February 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15.9% | 14.2–17.8% | 13.7–18.3% | 13.3–18.8% | 12.6–19.7% |
| 9–11 February 2021 | Mediana Delo |
11.1% | 9.7–12.7% | 9.3–13.2% | 9.0–13.6% | 8.4–14.4% |
| 25–28 January 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
12.0% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.9–14.6% | 9.2–15.4% |
| 8–25 January 2021 | Mediana Delo |
13.7% | 12.1–15.4% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.3–16.4% | 10.6–17.3% |
| 12–14 January 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
15.9% | 14.2–17.8% | 13.7–18.3% | 13.3–18.8% | 12.6–19.7% |
| 4–7 January 2021 | Mediana Delo |
12.5% | 11.0–14.2% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.3–15.1% | 9.6–16.0% |
| 1–30 December 2020 | CRJM Delo |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.4–22.7% | 18.0–23.2% | 17.3–24.0% |
| 1–28 December 2020 | Mediana Delo |
11.8% | 10.4–13.5% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.6–14.4% | 9.0–15.2% |
| 21–23 December 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
15.3% | 13.7–17.1% | 13.3–17.6% | 12.9–18.1% | 12.2–19.0% |
| 15–17 December 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
17.1% | 15.4–19.1% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.5–20.1% | 13.7–21.1% |
| 7–9 December 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
17.3% | 15.6–19.2% | 15.2–19.8% | 14.8–20.3% | 14.0–21.2% |
| 7–9 December 2020 | Mediana Delo |
15.9% | 14.3–17.8% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.4–18.8% | 12.6–19.7% |
| 1–23 November 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
16.2% | 14.5–18.1% | 14.1–18.6% | 13.6–19.1% | 12.9–20.0% |
| 10–12 November 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
18.3% | 16.5–20.3% | 16.0–20.8% | 15.6–21.3% | 14.8–22.3% |
| 2–5 November 2020 | Mediana Delo |
14.2% | 12.6–16.0% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.8–16.9% | 11.1–17.8% |
| 2–4 November 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
15.3% | 13.7–17.2% | 13.3–17.7% | 12.9–18.2% | 12.1–19.1% |
| 1–25 October 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
13.7% | 12.2–15.5% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.4–16.5% | 10.7–17.3% |
| 13–15 October 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
18.3% | 16.5–20.3% | 16.0–20.8% | 15.6–21.3% | 14.8–22.3% |
| 1–8 October 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
16.3% | 14.6–18.2% | 14.2–18.7% | 13.8–19.2% | 13.0–20.1% |
| 1–27 September 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
18.9% | 17.1–20.9% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.2–22.0% | 15.4–23.0% |
| 1 June–18 September 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
15.3% | 13.6–17.1% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.8–18.1% | 12.0–19.1% |
| 15–17 September 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13.7% | 12.2–15.5% | 11.7–16.0% | 11.4–16.5% | 10.7–17.4% |
| 7–10 September 2020 | Mediana Delo |
13.0% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.1–16.5% |
| 1–31 August 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
14.6% | 13.0–16.4% | 12.5–16.9% | 12.2–17.3% | 11.4–18.3% |
| 11–13 August 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
14.6% | 13.0–16.4% | 12.5–16.9% | 12.1–17.4% | 11.4–18.3% |
| 3–6 August 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
14.8% | 13.5–16.9% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.7–17.9% | 11.9–18.8% |
| 1–26 July 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
12.3% | 10.8–14.0% | 10.4–14.5% | 10.1–14.9% | 9.4–15.7% |
| 6–9 July 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
18.3% | 16.6–20.3% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.7–21.3% | 14.9–22.3% |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
20.7% | 18.9–22.7% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.9–23.8% | 17.0–24.8% |
| 1–28 June 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
16.3% | 14.7–18.2% | 14.2–18.7% | 13.8–19.2% | 13.0–20.1% |
| 15–17 June 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
18.0% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.3–21.0% | 14.6–21.9% |
| 9–11 June 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15.9% | 14.2–17.8% | 13.7–18.3% | 13.3–18.8% | 12.6–19.7% |
| 18–21 May 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
23.3% | 21.3–25.4% | 20.8–26.0% | 20.3–26.5% | 19.4–27.5% |
| 12–13 May 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
19.6% | 17.8–21.6% | 17.2–22.2% | 16.8–22.7% | 16.0–23.7% |
| 6–8 May 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
17.9% | 16.2–19.8% | 15.8–20.3% | 15.4–20.8% | 14.6–21.7% |
| 4–8 May 2020 | Mediana Delo |
21.8% | 19.9–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.9–25.0% | 18.0–26.0% |
| 26 April 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
18.8% | 17.0–20.7% | 16.5–21.2% | 16.1–21.7% | 15.3–22.7% |
| 14–16 April 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
16.1% | 14.5–18.0% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.6–19.1% | 12.8–20.0% |
| 6–9 April 2020 | Mediana Delo |
18.4% | 16.6–20.3% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.7–21.4% | 14.9–22.3% |
| 10–12 March 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
21.9% | 20.0–24.0% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.9–25.1% | 18.1–26.1% |
| 25 February–4 March 2020 | Mediana Delo |
21.8% | 19.9–23.7% | 19.4–24.3% | 19.0–24.8% | 18.2–25.8% |
| 19–20 February 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
23.6% | 21.7–25.7% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.7–26.9% | 19.8–27.9% |
| 14 January–16 February 2020 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
29.1% | 27.0–31.4% | 26.4–32.1% | 25.9–32.6% | 24.9–33.7% |
| 12–13 February 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24 |
19.6% | 17.8–21.6% | 17.3–22.2% | 16.9–22.7% | 16.1–23.7% |
| 11–13 February 2020 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
25.6% | 23.5–27.8% | 23.0–28.4% | 22.5–28.9% | 21.5–30.0% |
| 3–5 February 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24 |
24.5% | 22.5–26.7% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.5–27.8% | 20.5–28.9% |
| 28 January–3 February 2020 | Mediana Delo |
22.3% | 20.4–24.3% | 19.9–24.8% | 19.5–25.3% | 18.6–26.3% |
| 27–29 January 2020 | Parsifal | 27.1% | 25.3–29.0% | 24.8–29.6% | 24.4–30.0% | 23.5–30.9% |
| 1–26 January 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
24.6% | 22.7–26.7% | 22.2–27.3% | 21.7–27.8% | 20.8–28.8% |
| 3–9 January 2020 | Mediana Delo |
22.3% | 20.4–24.4% | 19.8–24.9% | 19.4–25.5% | 18.5–26.5% |
| 10–12 December 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
29.6% | 27.4–31.9% | 26.8–32.5% | 26.3–33.1% | 25.3–34.2% |
| 1–26 November 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
22.5% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| 12–14 November 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
33.1% | 30.9–35.5% | 30.3–36.2% | 29.8–36.7% | 28.7–37.9% |
| 28 October–7 November 2019 | Mediana Delo |
22.9% | 21.0–24.9% | 20.4–25.5% | 20.0–26.0% | 19.1–27.1% |
| 15–17 October 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
30.9% | 28.7–33.2% | 28.1–33.8% | 27.5–34.4% | 26.5–35.5% |
| 1–22 September 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
26.4% | 24.4–28.6% | 23.8–29.2% | 23.3–29.8% | 22.4–30.9% |
| 10–12 September 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
32.3% | 30.1–34.6% | 29.5–35.3% | 28.9–35.8% | 27.9–37.0% |
| 28 August–5 September 2019 | Mediana Delo |
30.4% | 28.2–32.6% | 27.6–33.2% | 27.1–33.8% | 26.1–34.9% |
| 1–25 August 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
28.5% | 26.4–30.8% | 25.9–31.4% | 25.3–31.9% | 24.4–33.0% |
| 12–14 August 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO and Dnevnik |
32.9% | 30.6–35.2% | 30.0–35.8% | 29.5–36.4% | 28.4–37.6% |
| 31 July–8 August 2019 | Mediana Delo |
24.5% | 22.5–26.6% | 22.0–27.2% | 21.5–27.7% | 20.6–28.7% |
| 11–13 July 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO and Dnevnik |
29.9% | 27.7–32.1% | 27.1–32.8% | 26.6–33.4% | 25.6–34.5% |
| 1–23 June 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
26.9% | 24.8–29.1% | 24.2–29.7% | 23.8–30.3% | 22.8–31.3% |
| 11–13 June 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
29.6% | 27.4–31.9% | 26.8–32.5% | 26.3–33.1% | 25.3–34.2% |
| 28 May–6 June 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
28.6% | 26.5–30.8% | 26.0–31.4% | 25.5–31.9% | 24.5–33.0% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
32.0% | 29.8–34.3% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.6–35.6% | 27.6–36.7% |
| 8–15 May 2019 | Mediana POP TV and Delo |
24.0% | 22.1–26.2% | 21.6–26.7% | 21.1–27.3% | 20.2–28.3% |
| 28 April 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
27.1% | 24.8–29.6% | 24.2–30.3% | 23.6–30.9% | 22.6–32.1% |
| 9–11 April 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
36.5% | 33.8–39.4% | 33.1–40.1% | 32.4–40.8% | 31.2–42.2% |
| 1–4 April 2019 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
24.6% | 22.2–27.2% | 21.5–28.0% | 20.9–28.6% | 19.8–29.9% |
| 24 March 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
23.9% | 21.7–26.3% | 21.1–27.0% | 20.6–27.6% | 19.6–28.7% |
| 12–14 March 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
37.5% | 34.9–40.3% | 34.1–41.1% | 33.5–41.8% | 32.2–43.1% |
| 26 February–7 March 2019 | Mediana Delo |
28.2% | 25.8–30.9% | 25.1–31.6% | 24.5–32.3% | 23.4–33.6% |
| 24 February 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
29.3% | 26.8–31.9% | 26.1–32.7% | 25.5–33.3% | 24.3–34.6% |
| 12–14 February 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
41.2% | 38.5–44.0% | 37.7–44.8% | 37.1–45.5% | 35.8–46.8% |
| 29 January–6 February 2019 | Ninamedia MMC and RTV Slovenija |
22.4% | 20.4–24.7% | 19.8–25.3% | 19.3–25.8% | 18.4–26.9% |
| 8–10 January 2019 | Ninamedia MMC and RTV Slovenija |
25.3% | 22.9–27.9% | 22.3–28.7% | 21.7–29.3% | 20.6–30.6% |
| 11–13 December 2018 | Ninamedia | 18.0% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.3–21.0% | 14.5–22.0% |
| 4–7 December 2018 | Parsifal SC | 16.0% | 14.4–17.9% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.5–18.9% | 12.7–19.8% |
| 25 November 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
10.2% | 8.6–12.1% | 8.2–12.6% | 7.9–13.1% | 7.2–14.0% |
| 19–20 November 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
16.0% | 14.2–18.2% | 13.6–18.9% | 13.2–19.4% | 12.3–20.5% |
| 7 November 2018 | Parsifal SC | 18.0% | 16.2–20.0% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.3–21.0% | 14.5–22.0% |
| 1 November 2018 | Mediana | 13.0% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.0–16.5% |
| 9–11 October 2018 | Ninamedia | 19.0% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.3–22.1% | 15.4–23.1% |
| 3–11 October 2018 | Mediana Delo |
14.1% | 12.5–15.9% | 12.1–16.4% | 11.7–16.8% | 11.0–17.7% |
| 11–13 September 2018 | Ninamedia | 13.9% | 12.2–15.9% | 11.7–16.5% | 11.3–17.0% | 10.5–18.0% |
| 30 August–6 September 2018 | Mediana Delo |
10.7% | 9.1–12.7% | 8.6–13.3% | 8.2–13.8% | 7.5–14.8% |
| 26 August 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
13.3% | 11.5–15.5% | 11.1–16.1% | 10.6–16.6% | 9.8–17.7% |
| 13–15 August 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
12.6% | 11.0–14.6% | 10.5–15.1% | 10.1–15.7% | 9.4–16.6% |
| 29 July 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
15.1% | 13.3–17.3% | 12.8–17.9% | 12.3–18.4% | 11.5–19.5% |
| 10–12 July 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
12.4% | 10.8–14.3% | 10.4–14.8% | 10.0–15.3% | 9.3–16.2% |
| 1–23 June 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
13.1% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.0–15.5% | 10.6–16.0% | 9.9–17.0% |
| 12–14 June 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
13.5% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.4–16.0% | 11.0–16.5% | 10.2–17.5% |
| 5–6 June 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
16.6% | 14.6–18.9% | 14.1–19.5% | 13.6–20.1% | 12.7–21.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lista Marjana Šarca.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 15% | 99.8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 38% | 85% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 20% | 47% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 27% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 13 seats (General Election of 3 June 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
| 10–12 May 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 3–5 May 2022 | Mediana Delo |
0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 20–22 April 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 19–21 April 2022 | Mediana Delo, POP TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| 14–19 April 2022 | Parsifal TS media |
5 | 5–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 13–15 April 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 4–7 April 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 4–7 April 2022 | Mediana Delo, POP TV |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| 1–5 April 2022 | Parsifal Nova24TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| 30–31 March 2022 | Mediana RTV SLO |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 22–24 March 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
9 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| 21–24 March 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| 7–10 March 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 7–10 March 2022 | Mediana Delo |
|||||
| 28 February–3 March 2022 | Mediana RTV SLO |
8 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 23–25 February 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| 21–24 February 2022 | Mediana POP TV |
6 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| 21–23 February 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
8 | 8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 14 March–17 February 2022 | Parsifal Nova24TV |
|||||
| 14–16 February 2022 | Parsifal Nova24TV |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–9 |
| 7–10 February 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
|||||
| 7–10 February 2022 | Mediana Delo |
5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 31 January–3 February 2022 | Mediana RTV SLO |
|||||
| 1–30 January 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 25–27 January 2022 | Ninamedia Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24 |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 17–19 January 2022 | Mediana POP TV |
10 | 9–12 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–14 |
| 11–14 January 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 |
| 11–13 January 2022 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 4–6 January 2022 | Parsifal Planet TV |
|||||
| 27–29 December 2021 | Mediana RTV SLO |
|||||
| 20–23 December 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
|||||
| 13–16 December 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
|||||
| 14–16 December 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 6–9 December 2021 | Mediana Delo |
|||||
| 2–7 December 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 29 November–2 December 2021 | Mediana RTV SLO |
12 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 1–28 November 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| 9–11 November 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 20 September–4 November 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
9 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 2–4 November 2021 | Mediana Delo |
9 | 9–11 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| 1–24 October 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
|||||
| 12–14 October 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 4–7 October 2021 | Mediana Delo |
|||||
| 1–26 September 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
|||||
| 14–16 September 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 6–9 September 2021 | Mediana Delo |
|||||
| 30 August–2 September 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
|||||
| 1–22 August 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
|||||
| 10–12 August 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
|||||
| 2–5 August 2021 | Mediana Delo |
|||||
| 1–25 July 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
12 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 13–15 July 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 5–7 July 2021 | Mediana Delo |
11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 |
| 1–28 June 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
13 | 12–14 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| 15–17 June 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
| 10–15 June 2021 | Episcenter Domovina |
21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–26 |
| 7–10 June 2021 | Mediana Delo |
17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–17 |
| 24–26 May 2021 | Parsifal Planet TV |
15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–19 |
| 1–23 May 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| 10–13 May 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 11–13 May 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 3–6 May 2021 | Mediana Delo |
11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| 1–25 April 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
13 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| 13–15 April 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| 12–14 April 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–22 |
| 1–28 March 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 8–12 March 2021 | Mediana Delo |
16 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 11–18 |
| 9–11 March 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 1–4 March 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
12 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| 1–28 February 2021 | Mediana POP TV |
14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 8–16 |
| 9–11 February 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 9–11 February 2021 | Mediana Delo |
10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 25–28 January 2021 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 8–25 January 2021 | Mediana Delo |
13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 12–14 January 2021 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 4–7 January 2021 | Mediana Delo |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 1–30 December 2020 | CRJM Delo |
19 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 |
| 1–28 December 2020 | Mediana Delo |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 21–23 December 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 15–17 December 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
16 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–20 |
| 7–9 December 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
17 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 14–20 |
| 7–9 December 2020 | Mediana Delo |
15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 1–23 November 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
15 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 10–12 November 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 2–5 November 2020 | Mediana Delo |
14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 2–4 November 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 1–25 October 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 13–15 October 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 1–8 October 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–20 |
| 1–27 September 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–22 |
| 1 June–18 September 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 15–17 September 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| 7–10 September 2020 | Mediana Delo |
12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 1–31 August 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| 11–13 August 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 10–17 |
| 3–6 August 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 1–26 July 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| 6–9 July 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
| 1–28 June 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–20 |
| 15–17 June 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
17 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–22 |
| 9–11 June 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 18–21 May 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
22 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 12–13 May 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
19 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
| 6–8 May 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 |
| 4–8 May 2020 | Mediana Delo |
20 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| 26 April 2020 | Mediana POPTV |
18 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 |
| 14–16 April 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
15 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| 6–9 April 2020 | Mediana Delo |
17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–22 |
| 10–12 March 2020 | Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer |
20 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| 25 February–4 March 2020 | Mediana Delo |
22 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
| 19–20 February 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24TV |
23 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 14 January–16 February 2020 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
28 | 27–31 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| 12–13 February 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24 |
19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
| 11–13 February 2020 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
26 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 21–31 |
| 3–5 February 2020 | Parsifal Nova 24 |
24 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 |
| 28 January–3 February 2020 | Mediana Delo |
22 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–27 |
| 27–29 January 2020 | Parsifal | 27 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–31 |
| 1–26 January 2020 | Mediana POP TV |
24 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–28 |
| 3–9 January 2020 | Mediana Delo |
21 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 |
| 10–12 December 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
28 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 25–32 | 24–34 |
| 1–26 November 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| 12–14 November 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
32 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 28–37 |
| 28 October–7 November 2019 | Mediana Delo |
23 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 19–28 |
| 15–17 October 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
30 | 28–31 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 |
| 1–22 September 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
26 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 21–31 |
| 10–12 September 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO |
32 | 30–34 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–37 |
| 28 August–5 September 2019 | Mediana Delo |
28 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| 1–25 August 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
29 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| 12–14 August 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO and Dnevnik |
32 | 30–34 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–37 |
| 31 July–8 August 2019 | Mediana Delo |
24 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 21–27 | 20–29 |
| 11–13 July 2019 | Ninamedia RTV SLO and Dnevnik |
30 | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| 1–23 June 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
27 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–32 |
| 11–13 June 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 24–33 |
| 28 May–6 June 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
29 | 26–30 | 25–31 | 25–31 | 23–32 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
32 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 |
| 8–15 May 2019 | Mediana POP TV and Delo |
23 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 28 April 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
27 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–31 |
| 9–11 April 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 |
| 1–4 April 2019 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
24 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 19–29 |
| 24 March 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
23 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–29 |
| 12–14 March 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
37 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–43 |
| 26 February–7 March 2019 | Mediana Delo |
27 | 25–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 23–34 |
| 24 February 2019 | Mediana POP TV |
28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–35 |
| 12–14 February 2019 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
44 | 39–47 | 37–47 | 37–49 | 35–50 |
| 29 January–6 February 2019 | Ninamedia MMC and RTV Slovenija |
22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 8–10 January 2019 | Ninamedia MMC and RTV Slovenija |
25 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| 11–13 December 2018 | Ninamedia | 17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–22 |
| 4–7 December 2018 | Parsifal SC | 15 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–19 |
| 25 November 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| 19–20 November 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 7 November 2018 | Parsifal SC | 17 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 1 November 2018 | Mediana | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 9–11 October 2018 | Ninamedia | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 |
| 3–11 October 2018 | Mediana Delo |
12 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 11–13 September 2018 | Ninamedia | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 30 August–6 September 2018 | Mediana Delo |
9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| 26 August 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 13–15 August 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| 29 July 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 |
| 10–12 July 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 1–23 June 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 12–14 June 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija |
13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 5–6 June 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lista Marjana Šarca.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 35% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 35% | |
| 4 | 4% | 35% | |
| 5 | 27% | 31% | |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |