Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 25 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 26.9% 24.5–29.5% 23.8–30.2% 23.2–30.8% 22.1–32.1%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 13.1% 11.3–15.1% 10.8–15.7% 10.4–16.2% 9.6–17.3%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 10.2% 8.6–12.1% 8.2–12.6% 7.9–13.1% 7.2–14.0%
Levica 9.3% 9.0% 7.6–10.8% 7.2–11.3% 6.8–11.8% 6.2–12.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 8.1% 6.7–9.8% 6.3–10.3% 6.0–10.7% 5.4–11.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 5.6% 4.5–7.1% 4.2–7.5% 3.9–7.9% 3.4–8.7%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 5.6% 4.5–7.1% 4.2–7.5% 3.9–7.9% 3.4–8.7%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 5.4% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.3% 3.7–7.7% 3.3–8.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 5.0% 4.0–6.4% 3.7–6.9% 3.4–7.2% 3.0–8.0%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.6% 3.6–6.0% 3.3–6.4% 3.1–6.8% 2.7–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 25 22–28 22–28 21–28 20–30
Socialni demokrati 10 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 9–16
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 9 8–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Levica 9 8 7–10 6–10 6–10 5–12
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 6–9 5–9 5–10 5–10
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 5 4–6 3–7 0–7 0–7
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 5 4–6 3–6 0–7 0–8
Stranka modernega centra 10 5 3–6 3–6 0–7 0–7
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.8% 99.8%  
21 4% 99.0%  
22 6% 96%  
23 14% 90%  
24 16% 76%  
25 24% 60% Last Result, Median
26 13% 36%  
27 13% 23%  
28 8% 10%  
29 1.1% 2%  
30 0.5% 1.0%  
31 0.4% 0.4%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.3% 99.9%  
9 4% 99.6%  
10 22% 95% Last Result
11 19% 73%  
12 23% 54% Median
13 20% 31%  
14 7% 11%  
15 4% 5%  
16 0.8% 1.0%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9%  
7 7% 98%  
8 24% 92%  
9 33% 68% Median
10 20% 35%  
11 12% 15%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.6% 100%  
6 8% 99.4%  
7 28% 91%  
8 32% 64% Median
9 18% 32% Last Result
10 12% 14%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 6% 99.7%  
6 17% 93%  
7 45% 76% Last Result, Median
8 20% 31%  
9 8% 11%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 4% 95%  
4 34% 91% Last Result
5 31% 57% Median
6 21% 26%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 2% 96%  
4 28% 94%  
5 41% 66% Median
6 21% 26%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0.8% 0.9%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 7% 95%  
4 35% 88%  
5 36% 53% Median
6 13% 16%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 11% 88%  
4 39% 77% Median
5 29% 38% Last Result
6 7% 9%  
7 1.4% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 5% 77%  
4 50% 72% Median
5 17% 22% Last Result
6 4% 5%  
7 0.4% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 50 39 1.4% 37–43 36–44 36–44 33–46
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 38 0.1% 34–41 33–42 33–43 32–44
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 45 36 0% 33–39 33–40 32–41 30–43
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 34 0% 31–37 30–37 30–38 28–41
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 43 32 0% 30–36 28–37 28–38 26–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 32 0% 30–35 29–37 28–37 27–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 32 0% 29–35 28–36 27–37 26–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 38 29 0% 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–36
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 28 0% 26–31 25–32 24–32 23–34
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 25 0% 23–28 22–29 22–30 19–31
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 25 0% 22–28 21–28 20–30 19–31
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 21 0% 19–23 18–24 18–25 17–26
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 25 20 0% 17–23 16–24 15–24 14–26

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.3% 99.9%  
33 0.3% 99.6%  
34 0.8% 99.3%  
35 0.9% 98%  
36 4% 98%  
37 12% 94%  
38 19% 82%  
39 15% 62%  
40 16% 48%  
41 6% 32% Median
42 12% 26%  
43 7% 14%  
44 4% 6%  
45 1.0% 2%  
46 1.0% 1.4% Majority
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.8%  
32 0.8% 99.6%  
33 5% 98.8%  
34 4% 94%  
35 5% 89%  
36 10% 85%  
37 15% 74%  
38 17% 60% Median
39 19% 43%  
40 6% 24%  
41 12% 18%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 3% Last Result
44 0.6% 0.9%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0.4% 99.7%  
31 0.7% 99.4%  
32 3% 98.7%  
33 7% 95%  
34 16% 88%  
35 13% 72%  
36 10% 59%  
37 15% 48% Median
38 12% 34%  
39 12% 21%  
40 5% 9%  
41 2% 4%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 1.2% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
46 0% 0% Majority

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.9%  
29 1.4% 99.5%  
30 5% 98%  
31 8% 93%  
32 7% 85%  
33 20% 78%  
34 16% 59% Median
35 11% 43%  
36 21% 31%  
37 6% 10%  
38 2% 4% Last Result
39 1.4% 2%  
40 0.4% 1.0%  
41 0.4% 0.5%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.7%  
27 1.0% 99.2%  
28 5% 98%  
29 2% 94%  
30 9% 92%  
31 19% 82%  
32 20% 63%  
33 10% 43%  
34 12% 33% Median
35 10% 22%  
36 6% 12%  
37 3% 6%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.7% 0.8%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.8%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 2% 99.3%  
29 6% 97%  
30 7% 91%  
31 21% 84%  
32 18% 63%  
33 14% 45% Median
34 14% 31%  
35 8% 17%  
36 4% 9%  
37 4% 5%  
38 1.3% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.8%  
26 0.5% 99.7%  
27 3% 99.2%  
28 3% 96%  
29 14% 93%  
30 8% 79%  
31 13% 71%  
32 21% 58% Median
33 12% 37%  
34 8% 24%  
35 10% 16% Last Result
36 3% 7%  
37 2% 3%  
38 1.1% 1.4%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.8%  
23 0.4% 99.7%  
24 3% 99.3%  
25 2% 97%  
26 5% 95%  
27 14% 89%  
28 20% 75%  
29 11% 55%  
30 12% 43% Median
31 13% 32%  
32 10% 19%  
33 5% 9%  
34 1.1% 3%  
35 1.2% 2%  
36 0.8% 0.9%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1% Last Result
39 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.8% 99.7%  
24 3% 98.9%  
25 4% 96%  
26 18% 92%  
27 18% 73%  
28 21% 56% Median
29 9% 35%  
30 14% 26% Last Result
31 6% 12%  
32 4% 6%  
33 2% 2%  
34 0.4% 0.6%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.4% 99.8%  
20 0.3% 99.4%  
21 1.5% 99.0%  
22 3% 98%  
23 10% 95%  
24 27% 85%  
25 16% 58%  
26 16% 42% Median
27 11% 26%  
28 9% 16%  
29 4% 7%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.6% 0.8%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
34 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.7%  
20 2% 98%  
21 3% 96%  
22 16% 93%  
23 7% 78%  
24 14% 71%  
25 22% 57% Median
26 13% 35%  
27 9% 23%  
28 9% 13% Last Result
29 2% 5%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.4% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.3% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.6%  
18 6% 98%  
19 19% 92%  
20 17% 73%  
21 24% 56% Median
22 11% 32%  
23 12% 21% Last Result
24 6% 9%  
25 1.5% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.1%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 0.1% 99.8%  
14 0.3% 99.7%  
15 2% 99.3%  
16 6% 97%  
17 3% 91%  
18 16% 89%  
19 12% 72%  
20 20% 60%  
21 8% 40% Median
22 15% 32%  
23 10% 17%  
24 5% 7%  
25 1.4% 2% Last Result
26 0.4% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations