Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for MMC and RTV Slovenija, 8–10 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 12.6% | 25.3% | 22.9–27.9% | 22.3–28.7% | 21.7–29.3% | 20.6–30.6% |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 24.9% | 23.7% | 21.4–26.3% | 20.7–27.0% | 20.2–27.6% | 19.1–28.9% |
| Socialni demokrati | 9.9% | 16.5% | 14.5–18.8% | 13.9–19.4% | 13.5–20.0% | 12.6–21.1% |
| Levica | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5–12.0% | 8.1–12.5% | 7.7–13.0% | 7.0–14.0% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7–7.4% | 4.4–7.8% | 4.1–8.2% | 3.6–9.1% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 9.7% | 4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.2% | 2.9–6.6% | 2.5–7.3% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.2% | 2.9–6.6% | 2.5–7.3% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.8–5.8% | 2.6–6.1% | 2.2–6.9% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.3–5.1% | 2.1–5.4% | 1.8–6.1% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% | 1.4–4.2% | 1.1–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 13 | 25 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 25 | 23 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| Socialni demokrati | 10 | 15 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 11–20 |
| Levica | 9 | 11 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–13 | 6–14 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 7 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 0–8 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 10 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 3 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 5 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 5 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 4% | 96% | |
| 22 | 8% | 92% | |
| 23 | 20% | 85% | |
| 24 | 9% | 65% | |
| 25 | 33% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 9% | 23% | |
| 27 | 4% | 14% | |
| 28 | 8% | 11% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 20 | 6% | 97% | |
| 21 | 17% | 91% | |
| 22 | 21% | 75% | |
| 23 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 24 | 13% | 40% | |
| 25 | 8% | 26% | Last Result |
| 26 | 14% | 18% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 10% | 98% | |
| 14 | 9% | 88% | |
| 15 | 30% | 79% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 49% | |
| 17 | 6% | 36% | |
| 18 | 24% | 30% | |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 8% | 96% | |
| 8 | 7% | 89% | |
| 9 | 5% | 81% | Last Result |
| 10 | 11% | 77% | |
| 11 | 41% | 65% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 24% | |
| 13 | 7% | 8% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 4 | 27% | 98% | |
| 5 | 38% | 71% | Median |
| 6 | 20% | 33% | |
| 7 | 11% | 13% | Last Result |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 52% | |
| 2 | 0% | 52% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 52% | |
| 4 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 5 | 16% | 22% | |
| 6 | 5% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 56% | |
| 2 | 0% | 56% | |
| 3 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 4 | 20% | 45% | |
| 5 | 15% | 24% | |
| 6 | 8% | 9% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 53% | |
| 2 | 0% | 53% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 4 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 5 | 11% | 18% | Last Result |
| 6 | 5% | 7% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 40% | |
| 2 | 0% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 4 | 28% | 39% | |
| 5 | 10% | 11% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 50 | 52 | 99.4% | 48–55 | 48–56 | 46–57 | 45–60 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 43 | 50 | 93% | 46–55 | 45–56 | 44–57 | 42–59 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 45 | 50 | 93% | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–58 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 40 | 48 | 82% | 44–52 | 43–52 | 42–54 | 41–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 35 | 48 | 81% | 44–51 | 42–53 | 40–54 | 40–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka | 38 | 47 | 73% | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 43 | 47 | 71% | 43–50 | 42–51 | 40–52 | 40–55 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 38 | 45 | 43% | 41–48 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 30 | 46 | 55% | 41–48 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 38–52 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 33 | 43 | 14% | 40–46 | 38–47 | 38–49 | 36–50 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 28 | 43 | 12% | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–49 | 36–51 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 23 | 40 | 1.0% | 36–43 | 35–44 | 35–45 | 34–47 |
| Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 25 | 21 | 0% | 16–25 | 15–25 | 15–27 | 14–27 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 47 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 9% | 95% | |
| 49 | 5% | 87% | |
| 50 | 7% | 81% | Last Result |
| 51 | 18% | 74% | |
| 52 | 11% | 56% | |
| 53 | 18% | 45% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 27% | |
| 55 | 12% | 19% | |
| 56 | 3% | 7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | |
| 46 | 5% | 93% | Majority |
| 47 | 14% | 89% | |
| 48 | 5% | 74% | |
| 49 | 15% | 70% | |
| 50 | 14% | 55% | |
| 51 | 20% | 41% | |
| 52 | 5% | 21% | Median |
| 53 | 4% | 16% | |
| 54 | 2% | 12% | |
| 55 | 2% | 10% | |
| 56 | 4% | 8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 46 | 5% | 93% | Majority |
| 47 | 12% | 88% | |
| 48 | 9% | 76% | |
| 49 | 6% | 66% | |
| 50 | 13% | 60% | |
| 51 | 8% | 47% | |
| 52 | 8% | 39% | |
| 53 | 17% | 31% | Median |
| 54 | 7% | 15% | |
| 55 | 4% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 5% | 94% | |
| 45 | 7% | 89% | |
| 46 | 14% | 82% | Majority |
| 47 | 16% | 68% | |
| 48 | 12% | 53% | |
| 49 | 15% | 41% | Median |
| 50 | 10% | 26% | |
| 51 | 5% | 16% | |
| 52 | 6% | 11% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 6% | 93% | |
| 45 | 5% | 87% | |
| 46 | 7% | 81% | Majority |
| 47 | 19% | 74% | |
| 48 | 10% | 56% | |
| 49 | 16% | 46% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 30% | |
| 51 | 6% | 13% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 6% | 92% | |
| 45 | 13% | 86% | |
| 46 | 16% | 73% | Majority |
| 47 | 16% | 57% | |
| 48 | 4% | 41% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 37% | |
| 50 | 7% | 33% | |
| 51 | 18% | 26% | |
| 52 | 5% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 42 | 2% | 97% | |
| 43 | 6% | 94% | Last Result |
| 44 | 8% | 88% | |
| 45 | 9% | 80% | |
| 46 | 12% | 71% | Majority |
| 47 | 18% | 60% | |
| 48 | 21% | 42% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 21% | |
| 50 | 11% | 17% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 6% | 98% | |
| 41 | 5% | 92% | |
| 42 | 5% | 87% | |
| 43 | 17% | 83% | |
| 44 | 8% | 66% | |
| 45 | 14% | 58% | |
| 46 | 9% | 43% | Majority |
| 47 | 8% | 35% | |
| 48 | 17% | 27% | Median |
| 49 | 3% | 10% | |
| 50 | 3% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 5% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 93% | |
| 42 | 3% | 89% | |
| 43 | 6% | 86% | |
| 44 | 7% | 80% | |
| 45 | 18% | 74% | Median |
| 46 | 18% | 55% | Majority |
| 47 | 19% | 37% | |
| 48 | 9% | 18% | |
| 49 | 4% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 95% | |
| 40 | 10% | 90% | |
| 41 | 13% | 80% | |
| 42 | 8% | 67% | |
| 43 | 21% | 59% | |
| 44 | 19% | 38% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 19% | |
| 46 | 7% | 14% | Majority |
| 47 | 2% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 3% | 96% | |
| 38 | 4% | 94% | |
| 39 | 3% | 90% | |
| 40 | 9% | 87% | |
| 41 | 9% | 78% | |
| 42 | 6% | 69% | |
| 43 | 22% | 63% | |
| 44 | 16% | 42% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 25% | |
| 46 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 6% | 95% | |
| 37 | 5% | 89% | |
| 38 | 7% | 83% | |
| 39 | 7% | 77% | |
| 40 | 20% | 70% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 50% | |
| 42 | 8% | 34% | |
| 43 | 17% | 26% | |
| 44 | 5% | 8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 3% | 93% | |
| 17 | 7% | 90% | |
| 18 | 14% | 83% | |
| 19 | 7% | 69% | |
| 20 | 5% | 62% | |
| 21 | 11% | 57% | |
| 22 | 12% | 45% | |
| 23 | 20% | 34% | Median |
| 24 | 4% | 14% | |
| 25 | 6% | 10% | Last Result |
| 26 | 2% | 5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): MMC and RTV Slovenija
- Fieldwork period: 8–10 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 498
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%