Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija, 12–14 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 12.6% | 41.2% | 38.5–44.0% | 37.7–44.8% | 37.1–45.5% | 35.8–46.8% |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 24.9% | 15.3% | 13.5–17.5% | 12.9–18.1% | 12.5–18.6% | 11.6–19.7% |
| Socialni demokrati | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.1–13.7% | 9.6–14.3% | 9.3–14.8% | 8.5–15.7% |
| Levica | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8–9.9% | 6.4–10.3% | 6.1–10.8% | 5.5–11.7% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.0% | 3.5–7.3% | 3.1–8.1% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.5–5.8% | 2.1–6.5% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.5–5.8% | 2.1–6.5% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 9.7% | 3.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.3–5.5% | 2.0–6.2% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.2–4.8% | 2.0–5.1% | 1.7–5.7% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.2–4.8% | 2.0–5.1% | 1.7–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 13 | 44 | 39–47 | 37–47 | 37–49 | 35–50 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 25 | 16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Socialni demokrati | 10 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Levica | 9 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 7 | 4 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 5 | 4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 5 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 10 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 3% | 94% | |
| 39 | 5% | 91% | |
| 40 | 7% | 86% | |
| 41 | 12% | 79% | |
| 42 | 10% | 66% | |
| 43 | 4% | 56% | |
| 44 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 45 | 30% | 49% | |
| 46 | 8% | 19% | Majority |
| 47 | 8% | 11% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 9% | 95% | |
| 14 | 18% | 86% | |
| 15 | 17% | 68% | |
| 16 | 36% | 51% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 15% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98% | |
| 10 | 12% | 94% | Last Result |
| 11 | 25% | 82% | |
| 12 | 36% | 56% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 20% | |
| 14 | 7% | 9% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 14% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 46% | 84% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 39% | |
| 9 | 8% | 12% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 90% | |
| 2 | 0% | 90% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 4 | 44% | 90% | Median |
| 5 | 33% | 45% | |
| 6 | 10% | 12% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 52% | |
| 2 | 0% | 52% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 52% | |
| 4 | 43% | 51% | Median |
| 5 | 7% | 8% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 40% | |
| 2 | 0% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 40% | |
| 4 | 22% | 40% | |
| 5 | 15% | 17% | Last Result |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 24% | |
| 2 | 0% | 24% | |
| 3 | 2% | 24% | |
| 4 | 17% | 22% | |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 18% | |
| 2 | 0% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 4 | 17% | 18% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 20% | |
| 2 | 0% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 4 | 16% | 19% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra | 50 | 65 | 100% | 60–66 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 56–70 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 43 | 61 | 100% | 55–65 | 54–66 | 52–67 | 51–67 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 45 | 62 | 100% | 58–66 | 57–66 | 56–66 | 54–68 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 35 | 61 | 100% | 56–65 | 55–66 | 54–66 | 51–66 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 40 | 61 | 100% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 53–66 | 51–66 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 30 | 59 | 100% | 54–62 | 53–65 | 51–66 | 48–66 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka | 38 | 59 | 100% | 53–62 | 52–63 | 51–65 | 49–65 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra | 43 | 61 | 100% | 56–63 | 54–63 | 53–64 | 51–65 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 38 | 57 | 100% | 54–62 | 52–62 | 51–63 | 49–64 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 28 | 57 | 99.9% | 52–61 | 50–62 | 49–63 | 47–63 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 33 | 57 | 99.9% | 52–59 | 51–60 | 49–61 | 48–61 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 23 | 55 | 99.5% | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–60 | 45–61 |
| Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 25 | 14 | 0% | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–21 | 9–23 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 6% | 94% | |
| 61 | 5% | 89% | |
| 62 | 12% | 84% | |
| 63 | 12% | 73% | |
| 64 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 65 | 28% | 52% | |
| 66 | 16% | 24% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 5% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 3% | 93% | |
| 56 | 6% | 89% | |
| 57 | 4% | 83% | |
| 58 | 8% | 80% | |
| 59 | 3% | 72% | |
| 60 | 8% | 69% | Median |
| 61 | 41% | 60% | |
| 62 | 3% | 19% | |
| 63 | 1.5% | 17% | |
| 64 | 2% | 15% | |
| 65 | 7% | 13% | |
| 66 | 2% | 5% | |
| 67 | 4% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 3% | 92% | |
| 59 | 3% | 88% | |
| 60 | 7% | 85% | Median |
| 61 | 28% | 78% | |
| 62 | 16% | 51% | |
| 63 | 13% | 34% | |
| 64 | 7% | 21% | |
| 65 | 4% | 15% | |
| 66 | 9% | 11% | |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 7% | 95% | |
| 57 | 6% | 88% | |
| 58 | 4% | 83% | |
| 59 | 7% | 78% | |
| 60 | 7% | 71% | Median |
| 61 | 24% | 64% | |
| 62 | 15% | 39% | |
| 63 | 9% | 24% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 8% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 6% | 94% | |
| 57 | 12% | 88% | |
| 58 | 8% | 76% | |
| 59 | 8% | 68% | |
| 60 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 61 | 25% | 53% | |
| 62 | 13% | 28% | |
| 63 | 4% | 14% | |
| 64 | 4% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 93% | |
| 55 | 3% | 89% | |
| 56 | 11% | 87% | |
| 57 | 11% | 76% | |
| 58 | 8% | 65% | |
| 59 | 9% | 56% | |
| 60 | 5% | 47% | Median |
| 61 | 22% | 42% | |
| 62 | 12% | 20% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 96% | |
| 53 | 4% | 93% | |
| 54 | 7% | 89% | |
| 55 | 4% | 83% | |
| 56 | 16% | 79% | |
| 57 | 4% | 62% | |
| 58 | 6% | 59% | |
| 59 | 2% | 52% | |
| 60 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 61 | 33% | 44% | |
| 62 | 2% | 11% | |
| 63 | 5% | 9% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 95% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 11% | 88% | |
| 58 | 4% | 77% | |
| 59 | 12% | 73% | |
| 60 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 61 | 32% | 51% | |
| 62 | 9% | 19% | |
| 63 | 8% | 11% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 3% | 91% | |
| 55 | 5% | 87% | |
| 56 | 6% | 83% | Median |
| 57 | 38% | 77% | |
| 58 | 7% | 39% | |
| 59 | 10% | 32% | |
| 60 | 7% | 22% | |
| 61 | 4% | 15% | |
| 62 | 7% | 11% | |
| 63 | 4% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 4% | 95% | |
| 52 | 5% | 91% | |
| 53 | 6% | 86% | |
| 54 | 3% | 80% | |
| 55 | 8% | 77% | |
| 56 | 4% | 68% | Median |
| 57 | 36% | 64% | |
| 58 | 4% | 28% | |
| 59 | 6% | 24% | |
| 60 | 5% | 18% | |
| 61 | 3% | 12% | |
| 62 | 5% | 9% | |
| 63 | 4% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 3% | 96% | |
| 52 | 12% | 92% | |
| 53 | 5% | 81% | |
| 54 | 8% | 75% | |
| 55 | 7% | 67% | |
| 56 | 6% | 61% | Median |
| 57 | 30% | 54% | |
| 58 | 9% | 24% | |
| 59 | 8% | 16% | |
| 60 | 4% | 7% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 95% | |
| 50 | 4% | 92% | |
| 51 | 8% | 88% | |
| 52 | 13% | 80% | |
| 53 | 5% | 68% | |
| 54 | 7% | 63% | |
| 55 | 8% | 56% | |
| 56 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 57 | 29% | 46% | |
| 58 | 7% | 17% | |
| 59 | 4% | 10% | |
| 60 | 4% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 7% | 97% | |
| 12 | 30% | 90% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 60% | |
| 14 | 9% | 57% | |
| 15 | 13% | 48% | |
| 16 | 8% | 35% | |
| 17 | 14% | 27% | |
| 18 | 6% | 13% | |
| 19 | 3% | 7% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija
- Fieldwork period: 12–14 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 529
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%