Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija, 12–14 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 12.6% | 37.5% | 34.9–40.3% | 34.1–41.1% | 33.5–41.8% | 32.2–43.1% |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 24.9% | 18.4% | 16.4–20.7% | 15.8–21.4% | 15.3–21.9% | 14.4–23.1% |
| Socialni demokrati | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3–12.9% | 8.9–13.4% | 8.5–13.9% | 7.8–14.9% |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 7.2% | 10.9% | 9.3–12.9% | 8.9–13.4% | 8.5–13.9% | 7.8–14.9% |
| Levica | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9–10.0% | 6.5–10.5% | 6.2–10.9% | 5.6–11.8% |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.0–6.0% | 2.8–6.3% | 2.4–7.0% |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.2–4.8% | 2.0–5.2% | 1.7–5.8% |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.5–4.2% | 1.2–4.8% |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.3–4.0% | 1.1–4.6% |
| Stranka modernega centra | 9.7% | 0.6% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% | 0.2–1.7% | 0.1–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca | 13 | 37 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–43 |
| Slovenska demokratska stranka | 25 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 14–22 |
| Socialni demokrati | 10 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati | 7 | 10 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Levica | 9 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 5 | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| Slovenska nacionalna stranka | 4 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Stranka Alenke Bratušek | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Slovenska ljudska stranka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Stranka modernega centra | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 95% | |
| 35 | 20% | 91% | |
| 36 | 18% | 71% | |
| 37 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 39% | |
| 39 | 9% | 22% | |
| 40 | 8% | 12% | |
| 41 | 2% | 5% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 13% | 93% | |
| 17 | 22% | 80% | |
| 18 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 18% | 40% | |
| 20 | 9% | 22% | |
| 21 | 7% | 12% | |
| 22 | 5% | 6% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 20% | 95% | |
| 10 | 19% | 76% | Last Result |
| 11 | 35% | 56% | Median |
| 12 | 15% | 21% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 17% | 94% | |
| 10 | 34% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 43% | |
| 12 | 12% | 23% | |
| 13 | 9% | 12% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 16% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 20% | 83% | |
| 8 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 28% | 37% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 64% | |
| 2 | 0% | 64% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 64% | |
| 4 | 46% | 63% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 17% | Last Result |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 26% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 4 | 23% | 25% | Last Result |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra | 50 | 61 | 100% | 58–64 | 57–65 | 57–65 | 55–67 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 35 | 61 | 100% | 58–64 | 57–64 | 56–65 | 55–67 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 45 | 61 | 100% | 58–64 | 57–64 | 56–65 | 55–67 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati | 30 | 58 | 100% | 56–61 | 54–63 | 53–64 | 52–64 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 40 | 58 | 100% | 56–61 | 54–63 | 53–64 | 52–64 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 43 | 58 | 100% | 54–61 | 53–62 | 53–63 | 51–65 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka | 38 | 55 | 100% | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 48–61 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra | 43 | 51 | 97% | 46–53 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 44–57 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije | 28 | 51 | 97% | 46–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 38 | 51 | 97% | 46–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati | 23 | 47 | 86% | 45–51 | 44–51 | 43–53 | 41–54 |
| Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra | 33 | 47 | 86% | 45–51 | 44–51 | 43–53 | 41–54 |
| Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra | 25 | 14 | 0% | 10–16 | 9–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 12% | 94% | |
| 59 | 9% | 83% | |
| 60 | 17% | 74% | |
| 61 | 18% | 56% | |
| 62 | 15% | 39% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 24% | |
| 64 | 8% | 13% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 12% | 94% | |
| 59 | 10% | 82% | |
| 60 | 18% | 72% | |
| 61 | 18% | 54% | |
| 62 | 15% | 37% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 22% | |
| 64 | 7% | 11% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 12% | 94% | |
| 59 | 10% | 82% | |
| 60 | 18% | 72% | |
| 61 | 18% | 54% | |
| 62 | 15% | 37% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 22% | |
| 64 | 7% | 11% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 16% | 90% | |
| 57 | 17% | 74% | |
| 58 | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 34% | |
| 60 | 5% | 20% | |
| 61 | 6% | 15% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 6% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 16% | 90% | |
| 57 | 17% | 74% | |
| 58 | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 34% | |
| 60 | 5% | 20% | |
| 61 | 6% | 15% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 6% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 4% | 93% | |
| 55 | 9% | 90% | |
| 56 | 11% | 80% | |
| 57 | 17% | 70% | |
| 58 | 14% | 52% | |
| 59 | 8% | 38% | Median |
| 60 | 17% | 30% | |
| 61 | 6% | 12% | |
| 62 | 4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 4% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 93% | |
| 53 | 19% | 88% | |
| 54 | 17% | 69% | |
| 55 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 56 | 18% | 40% | |
| 57 | 5% | 22% | |
| 58 | 5% | 17% | |
| 59 | 3% | 11% | |
| 60 | 5% | 8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 8% | 97% | Majority |
| 47 | 6% | 90% | |
| 48 | 8% | 84% | |
| 49 | 8% | 76% | |
| 50 | 16% | 68% | |
| 51 | 24% | 52% | |
| 52 | 7% | 28% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 21% | |
| 54 | 5% | 10% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 8% | 97% | Majority |
| 47 | 6% | 89% | |
| 48 | 9% | 83% | |
| 49 | 8% | 74% | |
| 50 | 16% | 67% | |
| 51 | 24% | 51% | |
| 52 | 7% | 27% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 19% | |
| 54 | 4% | 8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 8% | 97% | Majority |
| 47 | 6% | 89% | |
| 48 | 9% | 83% | |
| 49 | 8% | 74% | |
| 50 | 16% | 67% | |
| 51 | 24% | 51% | |
| 52 | 7% | 27% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 19% | |
| 54 | 4% | 8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 6% | 93% | |
| 46 | 21% | 86% | Majority |
| 47 | 24% | 65% | |
| 48 | 10% | 41% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 31% | |
| 50 | 6% | 16% | |
| 51 | 6% | 11% | |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 6% | 93% | |
| 46 | 21% | 86% | Majority |
| 47 | 24% | 65% | |
| 48 | 10% | 41% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 31% | |
| 50 | 6% | 16% | |
| 51 | 6% | 11% | |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 8% | 92% | |
| 11 | 10% | 84% | |
| 12 | 9% | 74% | |
| 13 | 12% | 65% | |
| 14 | 12% | 53% | |
| 15 | 23% | 41% | Median |
| 16 | 13% | 17% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik and RTV Slovenija
- Fieldwork period: 12–14 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 522
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.24%