Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
23.9% |
21.7–26.3% |
21.1–27.0% |
20.6–27.6% |
19.6–28.7% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
22.9% |
20.7–25.2% |
20.1–25.9% |
19.6–26.5% |
18.6–27.6% |
Levica |
9.3% |
9.4% |
8.0–11.2% |
7.6–11.7% |
7.3–12.1% |
6.7–13.0% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
9.4% |
8.0–11.2% |
7.6–11.7% |
7.3–12.1% |
6.7–13.0% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
8.2% |
6.9–9.9% |
6.5–10.3% |
6.2–10.7% |
5.7–11.6% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
5.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.8–6.8% |
3.6–7.2% |
3.1–7.9% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
4.7% |
3.7–6.1% |
3.5–6.4% |
3.3–6.8% |
2.9–7.5% |
Stranka modernega centra |
9.7% |
4.5% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.3–6.2% |
3.1–6.6% |
2.7–7.3% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
4.0% |
3.1–5.3% |
2.9–5.6% |
2.7–6.0% |
2.3–6.6% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka |
2.6% |
2.3% |
1.6–3.3% |
1.5–3.6% |
1.3–3.9% |
1.1–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
20 |
9% |
96% |
|
21 |
11% |
87% |
|
22 |
16% |
76% |
|
23 |
29% |
60% |
Median |
24 |
12% |
31% |
|
25 |
12% |
19% |
|
26 |
3% |
7% |
|
27 |
3% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
7% |
99.3% |
|
19 |
7% |
93% |
|
20 |
14% |
85% |
|
21 |
22% |
71% |
Median |
22 |
14% |
49% |
|
23 |
20% |
35% |
|
24 |
8% |
15% |
|
25 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
26 |
2% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
21% |
98% |
|
8 |
19% |
78% |
|
9 |
31% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
21% |
29% |
|
11 |
6% |
8% |
|
12 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
13% |
96% |
Last Result |
8 |
27% |
82% |
|
9 |
24% |
56% |
Median |
10 |
25% |
31% |
|
11 |
5% |
7% |
|
12 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
16% |
98% |
|
7 |
30% |
82% |
|
8 |
30% |
52% |
Median |
9 |
17% |
22% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
11 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
93% |
|
2 |
0% |
93% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
4 |
45% |
92% |
Median |
5 |
32% |
47% |
Last Result |
6 |
13% |
16% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
86% |
|
2 |
0% |
86% |
|
3 |
11% |
86% |
|
4 |
37% |
75% |
Median |
5 |
30% |
38% |
Last Result |
6 |
7% |
8% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
31% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
69% |
|
2 |
0% |
69% |
|
3 |
5% |
69% |
|
4 |
34% |
64% |
Median |
5 |
26% |
31% |
|
6 |
4% |
5% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
47% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
53% |
|
2 |
0% |
53% |
|
3 |
2% |
53% |
|
4 |
36% |
50% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
13% |
14% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.9% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
4 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
50 |
51 |
95% |
47–53 |
46–55 |
45–56 |
43–56 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
48 |
83% |
44–52 |
43–53 |
43–55 |
42–55 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
45 |
46 |
56% |
43–49 |
41–51 |
40–51 |
39–53 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka |
38 |
44 |
35% |
41–48 |
39–49 |
39–50 |
38–52 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
43 |
15% |
39–46 |
39–47 |
38–48 |
36–51 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
40 |
43 |
11% |
39–46 |
38–47 |
37–48 |
36–49 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
43 |
42 |
8% |
38–45 |
37–46 |
35–47 |
34–48 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati |
30 |
39 |
0.9% |
36–42 |
34–44 |
34–44 |
33–46 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
38 |
38 |
0% |
34–41 |
33–42 |
31–42 |
30–44 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
30–39 |
29–39 |
28–41 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
33 |
34 |
0% |
30–37 |
30–38 |
29–39 |
27–40 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati |
23 |
31 |
0% |
27–33 |
26–34 |
26–35 |
25–37 |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
25 |
15 |
0% |
11–18 |
10–18 |
8–19 |
7–20 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
45 |
3% |
98% |
|
46 |
4% |
95% |
Majority |
47 |
4% |
91% |
|
48 |
9% |
87% |
|
49 |
11% |
79% |
|
50 |
17% |
68% |
Last Result |
51 |
20% |
51% |
|
52 |
11% |
31% |
Median |
53 |
12% |
20% |
|
54 |
2% |
9% |
|
55 |
3% |
6% |
|
56 |
3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
5% |
98.5% |
Last Result |
44 |
4% |
93% |
|
45 |
5% |
89% |
|
46 |
7% |
83% |
Majority |
47 |
21% |
76% |
|
48 |
15% |
55% |
Median |
49 |
9% |
40% |
|
50 |
7% |
31% |
|
51 |
12% |
24% |
|
52 |
5% |
11% |
|
53 |
2% |
7% |
|
54 |
2% |
5% |
|
55 |
3% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
41 |
2% |
97% |
|
42 |
4% |
94% |
|
43 |
5% |
90% |
|
44 |
14% |
86% |
|
45 |
15% |
72% |
Last Result |
46 |
8% |
56% |
Majority |
47 |
23% |
48% |
|
48 |
9% |
25% |
Median |
49 |
7% |
16% |
|
50 |
3% |
9% |
|
51 |
4% |
6% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
39 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
2% |
94% |
|
41 |
5% |
92% |
|
42 |
12% |
87% |
|
43 |
9% |
75% |
|
44 |
22% |
66% |
Median |
45 |
8% |
44% |
|
46 |
16% |
35% |
Majority |
47 |
6% |
19% |
|
48 |
6% |
13% |
|
49 |
3% |
7% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
6% |
95% |
|
40 |
8% |
89% |
|
41 |
11% |
81% |
|
42 |
15% |
71% |
|
43 |
16% |
55% |
|
44 |
9% |
39% |
Median |
45 |
15% |
30% |
|
46 |
6% |
15% |
Majority |
47 |
5% |
9% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
38 |
5% |
97% |
|
39 |
8% |
92% |
|
40 |
15% |
84% |
Last Result |
41 |
11% |
69% |
|
42 |
7% |
58% |
|
43 |
13% |
50% |
|
44 |
21% |
37% |
Median |
45 |
5% |
16% |
|
46 |
5% |
11% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
2% |
97% |
|
37 |
3% |
96% |
|
38 |
3% |
93% |
|
39 |
11% |
90% |
|
40 |
15% |
78% |
|
41 |
6% |
63% |
|
42 |
15% |
57% |
|
43 |
22% |
42% |
Last Result, Median |
44 |
8% |
21% |
|
45 |
5% |
13% |
|
46 |
4% |
8% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
35 |
4% |
95% |
|
36 |
5% |
91% |
|
37 |
8% |
86% |
|
38 |
9% |
77% |
|
39 |
24% |
68% |
|
40 |
18% |
44% |
Median |
41 |
14% |
26% |
|
42 |
4% |
12% |
|
43 |
2% |
8% |
|
44 |
3% |
5% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
Majority |
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
2% |
97% |
|
33 |
3% |
95% |
|
34 |
5% |
92% |
|
35 |
17% |
87% |
|
36 |
10% |
70% |
|
37 |
9% |
59% |
|
38 |
13% |
50% |
Last Result |
39 |
18% |
37% |
Median |
40 |
6% |
18% |
|
41 |
6% |
12% |
|
42 |
4% |
6% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
29 |
1.1% |
98.5% |
|
30 |
5% |
97% |
|
31 |
11% |
93% |
|
32 |
6% |
82% |
|
33 |
10% |
76% |
|
34 |
22% |
66% |
|
35 |
17% |
44% |
Median |
36 |
11% |
27% |
|
37 |
7% |
16% |
|
38 |
4% |
9% |
|
39 |
4% |
5% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
3% |
98% |
|
30 |
13% |
95% |
|
31 |
10% |
82% |
|
32 |
12% |
72% |
|
33 |
6% |
60% |
Last Result |
34 |
14% |
54% |
|
35 |
13% |
40% |
Median |
36 |
16% |
27% |
|
37 |
4% |
10% |
|
38 |
4% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
24 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
4% |
98% |
|
27 |
6% |
94% |
|
28 |
7% |
88% |
|
29 |
8% |
81% |
|
30 |
21% |
73% |
|
31 |
26% |
52% |
Median |
32 |
13% |
26% |
|
33 |
5% |
13% |
|
34 |
4% |
8% |
|
35 |
3% |
4% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
9 |
2% |
97% |
|
10 |
2% |
95% |
|
11 |
5% |
94% |
|
12 |
13% |
89% |
|
13 |
12% |
76% |
|
14 |
12% |
64% |
|
15 |
11% |
52% |
|
16 |
17% |
41% |
Median |
17 |
14% |
24% |
|
18 |
6% |
10% |
|
19 |
3% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): POP TV
- Fieldwork period: 24 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 573
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.94%