Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 28 May–6 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 28.6% 26.5–30.8% 26.0–31.4% 25.5–31.9% 24.5–33.0%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 23.1% 21.2–25.2% 20.7–25.7% 20.2–26.3% 19.3–27.3%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 12.6% 11.2–14.3% 10.8–14.8% 10.4–15.2% 9.8–16.0%
Levica 9.3% 9.5% 8.3–11.1% 7.9–11.5% 7.6–11.9% 7.1–12.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 7.5% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.3% 5.8–9.6% 5.3–10.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 5.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.3–7.1% 4.1–7.4% 3.7–8.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 4.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.2–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.1%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.0% 1.4–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 29 26–30 25–31 25–31 23–32
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 22 20–24 20–25 19–26 18–27
Socialni demokrati 10 12 10–13 10–14 10–15 9–16
Levica 9 9 8–11 7–11 7–11 7–12
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 5 4–6 4–6 3–7 0–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0–3 0–4

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.7% 100%  
24 1.3% 99.2%  
25 5% 98%  
26 4% 93%  
27 13% 89%  
28 18% 76%  
29 27% 58% Median
30 23% 31%  
31 6% 8%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.5% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.4%  
20 13% 97%  
21 24% 85%  
22 25% 61% Median
23 12% 35%  
24 18% 24%  
25 2% 5% Last Result
26 2% 3%  
27 1.2% 1.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.9%  
10 10% 98.9% Last Result
11 35% 89%  
12 21% 54% Median
13 25% 33%  
14 6% 8%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.6% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 8% 99.5%  
8 27% 92%  
9 18% 65% Last Result, Median
10 25% 47%  
11 20% 21%  
12 1.1% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 27% 98%  
7 50% 71% Last Result, Median
8 12% 21%  
9 8% 9%  
10 1.1% 1.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 3% 98%  
4 42% 95% Last Result
5 34% 54% Median
6 15% 20%  
7 4% 5%  
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0.7% 74%  
4 60% 73% Median
5 8% 13% Last Result
6 5% 5%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 1.4% 18%  
4 17% 17%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 1.3% 13%  
4 11% 12%  
5 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0.2% 3%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 54 100% 51–56 50–56 49–57 48–59
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 52 99.6% 48–54 48–54 48–55 47–57
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 38 51 98.8% 48–53 47–55 46–55 45–56
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 52 99.0% 48–54 48–54 47–54 45–57
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 51 98.7% 48–53 47–54 46–54 45–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 48 81% 45–51 45–52 43–53 42–54
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 48 77% 45–50 44–52 43–52 42–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 44 20% 40–46 40–47 39–48 38–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 45 42% 41–48 40–48 39–48 38–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 45 32% 41–48 40–48 39–48 38–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 41 2% 38–44 38–44 37–45 36–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 41 1.4% 38–43 37–44 36–44 35–46
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 15 0% 12–19 12–20 12–20 10–22

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100% Last Result
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0.6% 99.8%  
49 2% 99.2%  
50 4% 97%  
51 7% 93%  
52 11% 86%  
53 24% 76%  
54 11% 52%  
55 11% 41% Median
56 25% 29%  
57 2% 4%  
58 0.9% 2%  
59 0.6% 1.0%  
60 0.3% 0.4%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.3% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.6% Majority
47 2% 99.5%  
48 10% 98%  
49 5% 88%  
50 6% 83% Last Result
51 8% 77%  
52 26% 70% Median
53 24% 43%  
54 16% 19%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.4% 1.2%  
57 0.7% 0.8%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0.9% 99.7%  
46 2% 98.8% Majority
47 3% 97%  
48 5% 94%  
49 20% 89%  
50 17% 69%  
51 10% 52% Median
52 29% 42%  
53 6% 12%  
54 0.8% 7%  
55 5% 6%  
56 0.2% 0.7%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.8% 99.8% Last Result
46 0.2% 99.0% Majority
47 3% 98.8%  
48 10% 96%  
49 14% 86%  
50 6% 72%  
51 7% 66%  
52 27% 59% Median
53 14% 32%  
54 16% 18%  
55 1.4% 2%  
56 0.2% 0.9%  
57 0.6% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 1.0% 99.7%  
46 2% 98.7% Majority
47 5% 97%  
48 11% 92%  
49 16% 81%  
50 14% 65%  
51 7% 51%  
52 26% 45% Median
53 12% 19%  
54 5% 7%  
55 1.2% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.5%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0.1% 100%  
42 1.2% 99.9%  
43 2% 98.7%  
44 2% 97%  
45 15% 96%  
46 3% 81% Majority
47 5% 78%  
48 30% 73% Median
49 18% 44%  
50 15% 26%  
51 3% 11%  
52 5% 7%  
53 1.5% 3%  
54 0.8% 1.1%  
55 0.1% 0.3%  
56 0% 0.2%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 2% 99.6%  
43 2% 98%  
44 2% 96%  
45 16% 94%  
46 13% 77% Majority
47 6% 64%  
48 29% 58% Median
49 16% 28%  
50 5% 13%  
51 1.4% 8%  
52 5% 6%  
53 1.1% 2%  
54 0.4% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.8%  
38 1.0% 99.5%  
39 3% 98.5%  
40 8% 95%  
41 7% 87%  
42 14% 80%  
43 11% 66%  
44 12% 56%  
45 24% 44% Median
46 14% 20% Majority
47 2% 6%  
48 4% 4%  
49 0.2% 0.5%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.6% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.3%  
40 5% 97%  
41 4% 92%  
42 6% 89%  
43 8% 82% Last Result
44 5% 74%  
45 27% 69% Median
46 21% 42% Majority
47 7% 21%  
48 13% 15%  
49 0.7% 1.3%  
50 0.3% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
39 2% 98.7%  
40 6% 96%  
41 5% 91%  
42 12% 86%  
43 10% 73%  
44 5% 63%  
45 26% 58% Median
46 15% 32% Majority
47 3% 17%  
48 13% 14%  
49 0.6% 1.1%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 2% 99.7%  
37 2% 98%  
38 10% 95%  
39 9% 86%  
40 9% 76%  
41 23% 67% Median
42 19% 44%  
43 6% 25%  
44 14% 18%  
45 2% 4%  
46 1.0% 2% Majority
47 0.5% 0.8%  
48 0.3% 0.3%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.7% 99.8%  
36 3% 99.0%  
37 4% 97%  
38 11% 93%  
39 11% 82%  
40 20% 71%  
41 23% 52% Median
42 18% 29%  
43 5% 11%  
44 4% 6%  
45 0.7% 2%  
46 0.9% 1.4% Majority
47 0.5% 0.5%  
48 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.9%  
11 0.8% 99.1%  
12 12% 98%  
13 5% 86%  
14 9% 81%  
15 25% 72%  
16 5% 47% Median
17 18% 42%  
18 9% 24%  
19 10% 15%  
20 3% 5%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.8% 0.9%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations