Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik and Večer, 11–13 June 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 29.6% 27.4–31.9% 26.8–32.5% 26.3–33.1% 25.3–34.2%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 22.3% 20.4–24.4% 19.8–25.0% 19.4–25.5% 18.5–26.6%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 12.1% 10.7–13.9% 10.3–14.4% 9.9–14.8% 9.3–15.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 8.0% 6.8–9.5% 6.5–9.9% 6.2–10.3% 5.7–11.0%
Levica 9.3% 7.6% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4% 5.8–9.8% 5.3–10.5%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.1% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–4.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 1.6% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.2%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 28 26–31 25–32 25–32 24–33
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 21 19–24 19–24 18–25 17–26
Socialni demokrati 10 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 9–15
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 8 6–9 6–9 5–10 5–11
Levica 9 7 6–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0–3
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.9%  
25 5% 99.3%  
26 6% 95%  
27 22% 89%  
28 19% 67% Median
29 20% 48%  
30 14% 28%  
31 7% 14%  
32 6% 6%  
33 0.6% 0.9%  
34 0.2% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.6% 100%  
18 4% 99.3%  
19 12% 96%  
20 20% 84%  
21 14% 64% Median
22 23% 50%  
23 13% 27%  
24 9% 14%  
25 4% 5% Last Result
26 0.4% 0.7%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 5% 99.7%  
10 18% 94% Last Result
11 26% 76%  
12 22% 50% Median
13 22% 28%  
14 5% 6%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 4% 99.9%  
6 7% 96%  
7 35% 89% Last Result
8 41% 54% Median
9 10% 13%  
10 2% 3%  
11 1.0% 1.0%  
12 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 6% 99.7%  
6 19% 94%  
7 39% 75% Median
8 31% 37%  
9 5% 6% Last Result
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100%  
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 5% 60%  
4 34% 55% Median
5 20% 21% Last Result
6 1.1% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0.3% 0.6%  
4 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 53 100% 49–55 49–56 49–56 47–58
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 50 99.2% 47–53 46–54 46–55 45–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 50 99.2% 47–53 46–54 46–55 45–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 50 99.2% 47–53 46–54 46–55 45–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 38 49 98.7% 47–52 46–53 46–54 45–56
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 48 83% 45–50 44–51 44–52 43–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 48 83% 45–50 44–51 44–52 43–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 43 11% 40–46 39–46 38–47 37–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 43 11% 40–46 39–46 38–47 37–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 43 11% 40–46 39–46 38–47 37–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 40 0.7% 38–42 37–43 36–44 35–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 40 0.7% 38–42 37–43 36–44 35–46
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 15 0% 11–17 10–17 10–18 9–19

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100% Last Result
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0.3% 100% Majority
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 0.4% 99.2%  
49 12% 98.8%  
50 7% 87%  
51 9% 80%  
52 21% 71%  
53 21% 50% Median
54 14% 29%  
55 7% 16%  
56 6% 9%  
57 1.5% 2%  
58 0.9% 1.0%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.7%  
46 7% 99.2% Majority
47 3% 92%  
48 16% 89%  
49 11% 73%  
50 19% 62%  
51 9% 43%  
52 19% 34% Median
53 9% 15%  
54 4% 7%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.7%  
46 7% 99.2% Majority
47 3% 92%  
48 16% 89%  
49 11% 73%  
50 19% 62% Last Result
51 9% 43%  
52 19% 34% Median
53 9% 15%  
54 4% 7%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
46 7% 99.2% Majority
47 3% 92%  
48 16% 89%  
49 11% 73%  
50 19% 62%  
51 9% 43%  
52 19% 34% Median
53 9% 15%  
54 4% 7%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 100%  
45 1.1% 99.8%  
46 4% 98.7% Majority
47 6% 95%  
48 9% 88%  
49 31% 79% Median
50 12% 48%  
51 12% 36%  
52 16% 24%  
53 4% 8%  
54 2% 4%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.6%  
44 4% 98%  
45 11% 94%  
46 14% 83% Majority
47 15% 69%  
48 25% 55% Median
49 12% 29%  
50 9% 17%  
51 5% 8%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.7% 0.9%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.6%  
44 4% 98%  
45 11% 94%  
46 14% 83% Majority
47 15% 69%  
48 25% 55% Median
49 12% 29%  
50 9% 17%  
51 5% 8%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.7% 0.9%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 4% 99.5%  
39 6% 96%  
40 14% 90%  
41 11% 76%  
42 13% 65%  
43 14% 51%  
44 8% 38% Median
45 19% 30%  
46 7% 11% Majority
47 3% 4%  
48 0.3% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 4% 99.5%  
39 6% 96%  
40 14% 90%  
41 11% 76%  
42 13% 65%  
43 14% 51% Last Result
44 8% 38% Median
45 19% 30%  
46 7% 11% Majority
47 3% 4%  
48 0.3% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 4% 99.5% Last Result
39 6% 96%  
40 14% 90%  
41 11% 76%  
42 13% 65%  
43 14% 51%  
44 8% 38% Median
45 19% 30%  
46 7% 11% Majority
47 3% 4%  
48 0.3% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.3% 100%  
35 0.6% 99.7%  
36 3% 99.1%  
37 4% 96%  
38 14% 92%  
39 14% 78%  
40 24% 64% Median
41 21% 40%  
42 11% 19%  
43 5% 8%  
44 1.1% 3%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.7% Majority
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0.3% 100%  
35 0.6% 99.7%  
36 3% 99.1%  
37 4% 96%  
38 14% 92%  
39 14% 78%  
40 24% 64% Median
41 21% 40%  
42 11% 19%  
43 5% 8%  
44 1.1% 3%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.7% Majority
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.0% 100%  
10 4% 99.0%  
11 12% 95%  
12 5% 83%  
13 18% 78%  
14 8% 60%  
15 21% 52%  
16 18% 31% Median
17 10% 13%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations