Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
29.9% |
27.7–32.1% |
27.1–32.8% |
26.6–33.4% |
25.6–34.5% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
25.1% |
23.1–27.3% |
22.6–28.0% |
22.1–28.5% |
21.1–29.6% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
14.1% |
12.6–16.0% |
12.1–16.5% |
11.8–16.9% |
11.0–17.8% |
Levica |
9.3% |
8.7% |
7.5–10.2% |
7.1–10.7% |
6.8–11.1% |
6.3–11.8% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
7.7% |
6.6–9.2% |
6.2–9.6% |
6.0–9.9% |
5.4–10.7% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
4.9% |
4.0–6.1% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.5–6.7% |
3.1–7.3% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.2% |
1.5–4.7% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka |
2.6% |
2.3% |
1.7–3.2% |
1.5–3.5% |
1.4–3.7% |
1.2–4.2% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
1.6% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.8% |
0.7–3.2% |
Stranka modernega centra |
9.7% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.2% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.8–2.6% |
0.6–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
27 |
10% |
96% |
|
28 |
14% |
86% |
|
29 |
17% |
71% |
|
30 |
28% |
55% |
Median |
31 |
12% |
26% |
|
32 |
6% |
15% |
|
33 |
6% |
9% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
21 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
7% |
97% |
|
23 |
14% |
91% |
|
24 |
20% |
76% |
|
25 |
24% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
26 |
19% |
32% |
|
27 |
4% |
13% |
|
28 |
8% |
9% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
11 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
19% |
96% |
|
13 |
19% |
78% |
|
14 |
31% |
59% |
Median |
15 |
22% |
28% |
|
16 |
5% |
6% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
13% |
96% |
|
8 |
32% |
84% |
|
9 |
25% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
23% |
27% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
22% |
94% |
|
7 |
32% |
72% |
Last Result, Median |
8 |
24% |
39% |
|
9 |
11% |
15% |
|
10 |
3% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
83% |
|
2 |
0% |
83% |
|
3 |
4% |
83% |
|
4 |
33% |
79% |
Median |
5 |
35% |
45% |
Last Result |
6 |
10% |
11% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
6% |
|
2 |
0% |
6% |
|
3 |
2% |
6% |
|
4 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
58 |
100% |
56–60 |
55–61 |
54–62 |
53–63 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
54 |
100% |
52–57 |
51–58 |
51–58 |
49–59 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra |
50 |
54 |
100% |
52–57 |
51–58 |
51–58 |
49–59 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
45 |
54 |
100% |
52–57 |
51–58 |
51–58 |
49–59 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka |
38 |
54 |
100% |
52–57 |
51–58 |
50–58 |
49–60 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
30 |
50 |
99.5% |
48–53 |
48–54 |
47–55 |
45–57 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
40 |
50 |
99.5% |
48–53 |
48–54 |
47–55 |
45–57 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
48 |
76% |
44–50 |
43–50 |
43–51 |
42–53 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra |
43 |
48 |
76% |
44–50 |
43–50 |
43–51 |
42–53 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
38 |
48 |
76% |
44–50 |
43–50 |
43–51 |
42–53 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati |
23 |
43 |
11% |
41–46 |
40–48 |
39–48 |
38–48 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
33 |
43 |
11% |
41–46 |
40–48 |
39–48 |
38–48 |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
25 |
18 |
0% |
15–20 |
14–20 |
13–21 |
12–22 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
5% |
97% |
|
56 |
9% |
92% |
|
57 |
15% |
83% |
|
58 |
25% |
68% |
|
59 |
17% |
43% |
Median |
60 |
19% |
27% |
|
61 |
4% |
8% |
|
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
5% |
98% |
|
52 |
9% |
93% |
|
53 |
12% |
83% |
|
54 |
23% |
71% |
|
55 |
24% |
48% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
24% |
|
57 |
8% |
13% |
|
58 |
4% |
6% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
51 |
5% |
98% |
|
52 |
9% |
93% |
|
53 |
12% |
83% |
|
54 |
23% |
71% |
|
55 |
24% |
48% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
24% |
|
57 |
8% |
13% |
|
58 |
4% |
6% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
5% |
98% |
|
52 |
9% |
93% |
|
53 |
12% |
83% |
|
54 |
23% |
71% |
|
55 |
24% |
48% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
24% |
|
57 |
8% |
13% |
|
58 |
4% |
6% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
51 |
5% |
97% |
|
52 |
7% |
92% |
|
53 |
21% |
85% |
|
54 |
23% |
64% |
|
55 |
13% |
42% |
Median |
56 |
9% |
29% |
|
57 |
13% |
20% |
|
58 |
5% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
98% |
|
48 |
9% |
96% |
|
49 |
18% |
87% |
|
50 |
23% |
69% |
|
51 |
20% |
46% |
Median |
52 |
12% |
27% |
|
53 |
6% |
15% |
|
54 |
6% |
9% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
98% |
|
48 |
9% |
96% |
|
49 |
18% |
87% |
|
50 |
23% |
69% |
|
51 |
20% |
46% |
Median |
52 |
12% |
27% |
|
53 |
6% |
15% |
|
54 |
6% |
9% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
44 |
8% |
95% |
|
45 |
11% |
87% |
|
46 |
15% |
76% |
Majority |
47 |
9% |
61% |
|
48 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
49 |
17% |
27% |
|
50 |
8% |
11% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
4% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
44 |
8% |
95% |
|
45 |
11% |
87% |
|
46 |
15% |
76% |
Majority |
47 |
9% |
61% |
|
48 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
49 |
17% |
27% |
|
50 |
8% |
11% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
44 |
8% |
95% |
|
45 |
11% |
87% |
|
46 |
15% |
76% |
Majority |
47 |
9% |
61% |
|
48 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
49 |
17% |
27% |
|
50 |
8% |
11% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
5% |
97% |
|
41 |
12% |
92% |
|
42 |
15% |
80% |
|
43 |
20% |
65% |
|
44 |
19% |
45% |
Median |
45 |
16% |
26% |
|
46 |
4% |
11% |
Majority |
47 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
48 |
5% |
5% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
5% |
97% |
|
41 |
12% |
92% |
|
42 |
15% |
80% |
|
43 |
20% |
65% |
|
44 |
19% |
45% |
Median |
45 |
16% |
26% |
|
46 |
4% |
11% |
Majority |
47 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
48 |
5% |
5% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
2% |
98% |
|
14 |
5% |
97% |
|
15 |
9% |
92% |
|
16 |
13% |
83% |
|
17 |
19% |
70% |
|
18 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
19 |
19% |
38% |
|
20 |
14% |
19% |
|
21 |
3% |
5% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): RTV SLO and Dnevnik
- Fieldwork period: 11–13 July 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 700
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%