Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
30.9% |
28.7–33.2% |
28.1–33.8% |
27.5–34.4% |
26.5–35.5% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
22.6% |
20.6–24.7% |
20.1–25.3% |
19.6–25.8% |
18.7–26.9% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
16.0% |
14.3–17.9% |
13.9–18.4% |
13.5–18.9% |
12.7–19.8% |
Levica |
9.3% |
9.6% |
8.3–11.1% |
7.9–11.6% |
7.6–12.0% |
7.0–12.8% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
8.0% |
6.8–9.5% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.2–10.3% |
5.7–11.0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
5.1% |
4.2–6.4% |
3.9–6.7% |
3.7–7.0% |
3.3–7.7% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka |
2.6% |
2.9% |
2.2–3.8% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.9–4.4% |
1.6–4.9% |
Stranka modernega centra |
9.7% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.2–3.3% |
1.0–3.8% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
1.6% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.8% |
0.7–3.2% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.2% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.8–2.6% |
0.6–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
2% |
98% |
|
27 |
4% |
96% |
|
28 |
14% |
92% |
|
29 |
23% |
78% |
|
30 |
28% |
55% |
Median |
31 |
20% |
28% |
|
32 |
4% |
8% |
|
33 |
3% |
4% |
|
34 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
2% |
98% |
|
20 |
37% |
96% |
|
21 |
7% |
59% |
|
22 |
38% |
52% |
Median |
23 |
10% |
14% |
|
24 |
2% |
5% |
|
25 |
1.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
26 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
14% |
98% |
|
14 |
15% |
84% |
|
15 |
32% |
70% |
Median |
16 |
25% |
37% |
|
17 |
9% |
12% |
|
18 |
3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
8 |
11% |
97% |
|
9 |
39% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
9% |
47% |
|
11 |
37% |
38% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
46% |
98% |
|
7 |
16% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
8 |
22% |
37% |
|
9 |
11% |
15% |
|
10 |
4% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
96% |
|
2 |
0% |
96% |
|
3 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
4 |
47% |
96% |
Median |
5 |
22% |
49% |
Last Result |
6 |
25% |
27% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
81% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
19% |
|
2 |
0% |
19% |
|
3 |
9% |
19% |
|
4 |
10% |
10% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.5% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
56 |
100% |
54–59 |
53–59 |
53–60 |
51–61 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
50 |
56 |
100% |
54–59 |
53–59 |
53–60 |
51–61 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
45 |
56 |
100% |
54–59 |
53–59 |
53–60 |
51–61 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
56 |
100% |
53–57 |
53–58 |
52–59 |
51–60 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
40 |
51 |
100% |
49–54 |
49–55 |
49–56 |
47–59 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
30 |
51 |
100% |
49–54 |
49–55 |
48–56 |
47–59 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka |
38 |
51 |
99.9% |
49–53 |
48–54 |
48–55 |
47–56 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
49 |
96% |
46–53 |
46–53 |
45–53 |
43–54 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
43 |
49 |
96% |
46–53 |
46–53 |
45–53 |
43–54 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
38 |
49 |
96% |
46–53 |
46–53 |
45–53 |
43–54 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati |
23 |
45 |
33% |
42–47 |
42–47 |
41–48 |
39–51 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
33 |
45 |
33% |
42–47 |
42–48 |
41–48 |
39–51 |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
25 |
19 |
0% |
17–22 |
17–22 |
16–23 |
14–24 |
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
13% |
95% |
|
55 |
30% |
82% |
|
56 |
11% |
52% |
Median |
57 |
7% |
41% |
|
58 |
7% |
34% |
|
59 |
23% |
27% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
12% |
95% |
|
55 |
30% |
82% |
|
56 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
57 |
7% |
41% |
|
58 |
7% |
34% |
|
59 |
23% |
28% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
12% |
95% |
|
55 |
30% |
82% |
|
56 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
57 |
7% |
41% |
|
58 |
7% |
34% |
|
59 |
23% |
28% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
53 |
14% |
96% |
|
54 |
11% |
82% |
|
55 |
11% |
71% |
|
56 |
31% |
60% |
Median |
57 |
22% |
29% |
|
58 |
3% |
7% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
49 |
8% |
98% |
|
50 |
15% |
89% |
|
51 |
27% |
74% |
|
52 |
10% |
47% |
Median |
53 |
21% |
37% |
|
54 |
8% |
16% |
|
55 |
4% |
8% |
|
56 |
3% |
4% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
47 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
49 |
9% |
97% |
|
50 |
15% |
89% |
|
51 |
27% |
74% |
|
52 |
10% |
47% |
Median |
53 |
21% |
36% |
|
54 |
7% |
15% |
|
55 |
4% |
8% |
|
56 |
3% |
4% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Majority |
47 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
7% |
98% |
|
49 |
17% |
91% |
|
50 |
10% |
75% |
|
51 |
27% |
64% |
|
52 |
26% |
37% |
Median |
53 |
4% |
11% |
|
54 |
3% |
7% |
|
55 |
3% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
46 |
14% |
96% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
82% |
|
48 |
12% |
80% |
|
49 |
33% |
67% |
Median |
50 |
4% |
34% |
|
51 |
9% |
30% |
|
52 |
3% |
21% |
|
53 |
17% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
46 |
14% |
96% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
83% |
|
48 |
12% |
80% |
|
49 |
33% |
68% |
Median |
50 |
4% |
34% |
|
51 |
9% |
30% |
|
52 |
3% |
21% |
|
53 |
17% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
46 |
14% |
96% |
Majority |
47 |
3% |
83% |
|
48 |
12% |
80% |
|
49 |
33% |
68% |
Median |
50 |
4% |
34% |
|
51 |
9% |
30% |
|
52 |
3% |
21% |
|
53 |
17% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
2% |
98% |
|
42 |
17% |
96% |
|
43 |
9% |
78% |
|
44 |
7% |
69% |
|
45 |
30% |
62% |
Median |
46 |
10% |
33% |
Majority |
47 |
17% |
22% |
|
48 |
3% |
5% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
42 |
17% |
96% |
|
43 |
9% |
79% |
|
44 |
7% |
70% |
|
45 |
30% |
62% |
Median |
46 |
10% |
33% |
Majority |
47 |
17% |
22% |
|
48 |
3% |
5% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
98.5% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
17 |
13% |
97% |
|
18 |
7% |
85% |
|
19 |
30% |
77% |
Median |
20 |
12% |
47% |
|
21 |
10% |
35% |
|
22 |
21% |
25% |
|
23 |
3% |
4% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): RTV SLO
- Fieldwork period: 15–17 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 700
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.74%