Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for RTV SLO, 12–14 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 33.1% 30.9–35.5% 30.3–36.2% 29.8–36.7% 28.7–37.9%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 21.0% 19.1–23.1% 18.6–23.7% 18.1–24.2% 17.3–25.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 11.6% 10.2–13.3% 9.7–13.7% 9.4–14.2% 8.8–15.0%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 11.0% 9.6–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.9–13.5% 8.3–14.4%
Levica 9.3% 10.1% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.6% 3.6–6.9% 3.2–7.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.0% 1.4–4.5%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.0% 0.8–3.4%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.9% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.3–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 32 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–37
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 20 18–22 18–23 17–23 17–24
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Socialni demokrati 10 11 9–12 9–13 8–13 8–14
Levica 9 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 100%  
28 1.1% 99.8%  
29 3% 98.7%  
30 13% 96%  
31 20% 83%  
32 30% 63% Median
33 12% 33%  
34 8% 21%  
35 10% 14%  
36 2% 4%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.3% 100%  
17 3% 99.7%  
18 8% 96%  
19 26% 88%  
20 20% 62% Median
21 26% 42%  
22 9% 17%  
23 6% 7%  
24 1.0% 1.4%  
25 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100% Last Result
8 1.5% 100%  
9 14% 98%  
10 29% 84%  
11 20% 55% Median
12 22% 35%  
13 11% 13%  
14 1.5% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 4% 99.7%  
9 11% 96%  
10 34% 85% Last Result
11 30% 51% Median
12 16% 21%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.8% 0.9%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 6% 98%  
9 19% 92% Last Result
10 36% 72% Median
11 31% 36%  
12 3% 5%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0.4% 90%  
4 48% 89% Median
5 32% 42% Last Result
6 9% 10%  
7 0.9% 1.0%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0.3% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 58 100% 56–60 55–61 54–61 53–62
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 58 100% 56–60 55–61 54–61 53–62
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 58 100% 56–60 55–61 54–61 53–62
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 56 100% 54–59 53–59 53–60 52–61
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati 30 54 100% 52–56 50–58 50–58 49–59
Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 54 100% 52–56 50–58 50–58 49–59
Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka 38 52 100% 50–55 49–56 49–57 48–58
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 47 78% 45–49 43–50 43–51 41–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 47 78% 45–49 43–50 43–51 41–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 47 78% 45–49 43–50 43–51 41–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 42 7% 41–45 40–46 39–47 38–48
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 42 7% 41–45 40–46 39–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 15 0% 12–17 11–17 10–18 9–19

Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.9%  
54 4% 99.3%  
55 5% 96%  
56 19% 90%  
57 14% 71%  
58 21% 57% Median
59 21% 36%  
60 9% 15%  
61 4% 6%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100% Last Result
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.9%  
54 4% 99.3%  
55 5% 96%  
56 19% 90%  
57 14% 71%  
58 21% 57% Median
59 21% 36%  
60 9% 15%  
61 4% 6%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100% Last Result
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.9%  
54 4% 99.3%  
55 5% 96%  
56 19% 90%  
57 14% 71%  
58 21% 57% Median
59 21% 36%  
60 9% 15%  
61 4% 6%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100% Last Result
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.6% 99.7%  
53 7% 99.1%  
54 5% 93%  
55 25% 88%  
56 16% 63% Median
57 18% 47%  
58 12% 29%  
59 12% 17%  
60 4% 5%  
61 0.6% 0.9%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.6% 99.8%  
50 5% 99.2%  
51 4% 94%  
52 21% 91%  
53 17% 70%  
54 27% 52% Median
55 11% 26%  
56 5% 15%  
57 5% 10%  
58 4% 5%  
59 0.6% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.6% 99.8%  
50 5% 99.2%  
51 4% 94%  
52 21% 91%  
53 17% 70%  
54 27% 52% Median
55 11% 26%  
56 5% 15%  
57 5% 10%  
58 4% 5%  
59 0.6% 0.8%  
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Slovenska demokratska stranka

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 100% Majority
47 0.3% 99.9%  
48 0.9% 99.6%  
49 6% 98.7%  
50 16% 93%  
51 18% 76%  
52 10% 59% Median
53 21% 48%  
54 9% 28%  
55 13% 18%  
56 3% 5%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.5% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.5% 99.9%  
42 0.7% 98%  
43 4% 98%  
44 2% 94%  
45 14% 92%  
46 21% 78% Majority
47 25% 57% Median
48 7% 32%  
49 18% 25%  
50 3% 7%  
51 3% 4%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.5% 99.9%  
42 0.7% 98%  
43 4% 98% Last Result
44 2% 94%  
45 14% 92%  
46 21% 78% Majority
47 25% 57% Median
48 7% 32%  
49 18% 25%  
50 3% 7%  
51 3% 4%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.5% 99.9%  
42 0.7% 98%  
43 4% 98%  
44 2% 94%  
45 14% 92%  
46 21% 78% Majority
47 25% 57% Median
48 7% 32%  
49 18% 25%  
50 3% 7%  
51 3% 4%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.3% 100%  
38 0.6% 99.7%  
39 3% 99.1%  
40 6% 96%  
41 10% 90%  
42 34% 80%  
43 15% 46% Median
44 11% 31%  
45 14% 21%  
46 4% 7% Majority
47 3% 3%  
48 0.4% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0% 100% Last Result
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.3% 100%  
38 0.6% 99.7%  
39 3% 99.1%  
40 6% 96%  
41 10% 90%  
42 34% 80%  
43 15% 46% Median
44 11% 31%  
45 14% 21%  
46 4% 7% Majority
47 3% 3%  
48 0.4% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 4% 99.2%  
11 1.4% 95%  
12 4% 94%  
13 6% 90%  
14 29% 83%  
15 18% 54% Median
16 23% 36%  
17 9% 13%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.8% 0.9%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations