Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 10–12 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 34.1% 31.9–36.5% 31.3–37.2% 30.7–37.7% 29.7–38.9%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 21.9% 20.0–24.0% 19.4–24.6% 18.9–25.1% 18.1–26.1%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 13.6% 12.0–15.4% 11.6–15.9% 11.2–16.3% 10.5–17.2%
Levica 9.3% 9.3% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.3% 7.3–11.7% 6.8–12.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 9.1% 7.9–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.2–11.5% 6.7–12.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.3–6.1%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 1.6% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1% 0.4–2.4%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 32 30–35 30–37 29–37 28–38
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 20 19–23 18–23 18–24 17–25
Socialni demokrati 10 12 12–14 11–15 11–15 10–17
Levica 9 8 8–10 7–10 7–11 6–12
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 8 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–11
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.3% 99.9%  
29 1.4% 98.6%  
30 11% 97%  
31 5% 86%  
32 52% 81% Median
33 16% 30%  
34 3% 14%  
35 2% 11%  
36 3% 9%  
37 5% 6%  
38 0.8% 0.9%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.8%  
18 4% 99.2%  
19 8% 95%  
20 46% 87% Median
21 16% 41%  
22 9% 25%  
23 11% 15%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.7% 0.9%  
26 0.1% 0.3%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 2% 99.5% Last Result
11 4% 98%  
12 53% 94% Median
13 11% 40%  
14 21% 29%  
15 6% 8%  
16 0.6% 2%  
17 1.0% 1.0%  
18 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.3% 100%  
7 8% 98.6%  
8 54% 91% Median
9 17% 37% Last Result
10 17% 20%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 10% 98% Last Result
8 58% 88% Median
9 17% 30%  
10 11% 13%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 8% 74%  
4 52% 65% Last Result, Median
5 13% 13%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100%  
1 0% 63%  
2 0% 63%  
3 6% 63%  
4 54% 57% Median
5 2% 2% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 56 100% 53–58 52–59 51–59 50–61
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 52 100% 51–56 50–57 50–58 48–59
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 44 21% 41–47 41–47 40–49 39–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 44 21% 41–47 41–47 40–49 39–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 44 21% 41–47 41–47 40–49 39–49
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 41 4% 40–45 40–45 38–46 37–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 41 4% 40–45 40–45 38–46 37–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 36 0% 33–39 32–39 31–40 30–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 36 0% 33–39 32–39 31–40 30–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 36 0% 33–39 32–39 31–40 30–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 33 0% 32–36 31–37 30–38 29–39
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 33 0% 32–36 31–37 30–38 29–39
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 16 0% 12–18 12–18 11–19 11–19

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100% Last Result
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 100%  
50 1.0% 99.7%  
51 1.5% 98.7%  
52 4% 97%  
53 12% 94%  
54 6% 81%  
55 12% 75%  
56 46% 63% Median
57 6% 17%  
58 4% 11%  
59 5% 7%  
60 1.5% 2%  
61 0.4% 0.6%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.8% 99.9%  
49 1.0% 99.1%  
50 5% 98%  
51 11% 94%  
52 39% 82% Median
53 13% 43%  
54 5% 30%  
55 7% 25%  
56 10% 17%  
57 4% 7%  
58 2% 3%  
59 1.1% 2%  
60 0.4% 0.5%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 1.0% 99.7%  
40 2% 98.7%  
41 7% 96%  
42 5% 90%  
43 10% 84%  
44 43% 74% Median
45 10% 31%  
46 6% 21% Majority
47 10% 15%  
48 1.4% 4%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 1.0% 99.7%  
40 2% 98.7%  
41 7% 96%  
42 5% 90%  
43 10% 84%  
44 43% 74% Median
45 10% 31%  
46 6% 21% Majority
47 10% 15%  
48 1.4% 4%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 1.0% 99.7%  
40 2% 98.7%  
41 7% 96%  
42 5% 90%  
43 10% 84%  
44 43% 74% Median
45 10% 31% Last Result
46 6% 21% Majority
47 10% 15%  
48 1.4% 4%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 3% 99.4%  
39 2% 97%  
40 39% 95% Median
41 10% 56%  
42 7% 45%  
43 19% 38%  
44 6% 19%  
45 10% 14%  
46 2% 4% Majority
47 1.5% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.8%  
38 3% 99.4%  
39 2% 97%  
40 39% 95% Last Result, Median
41 10% 56%  
42 7% 45%  
43 19% 38%  
44 6% 19%  
45 10% 14%  
46 2% 4% Majority
47 1.5% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100% Last Result
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.4%  
32 5% 97%  
33 3% 93%  
34 10% 89%  
35 14% 80%  
36 41% 65% Median
37 6% 24%  
38 6% 18%  
39 8% 12%  
40 2% 4%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.4%  
32 5% 97%  
33 3% 93%  
34 10% 89%  
35 14% 80%  
36 41% 65% Median
37 6% 24%  
38 6% 18%  
39 8% 12%  
40 2% 4%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.4%  
32 5% 97%  
33 3% 93%  
34 10% 89%  
35 14% 80%  
36 41% 65% Median
37 6% 24%  
38 6% 18% Last Result
39 8% 12%  
40 2% 4%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.3% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.7%  
30 3% 99.3%  
31 5% 97%  
32 40% 91% Median
33 8% 52%  
34 12% 44%  
35 19% 31%  
36 5% 12%  
37 4% 7%  
38 1.4% 3%  
39 1.2% 1.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.3% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.7%  
30 3% 99.3%  
31 5% 97%  
32 40% 91% Median
33 8% 52% Last Result
34 12% 44%  
35 19% 31%  
36 5% 12%  
37 4% 7%  
38 1.4% 3%  
39 1.2% 1.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 3% 99.5%  
12 12% 97%  
13 9% 85%  
14 12% 76%  
15 2% 64%  
16 43% 61% Median
17 7% 19%  
18 9% 12%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations