Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 6–9 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 29.1% 27.0–31.4% 26.5–32.0% 25.9–32.6% 25.0–33.7%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 18.4% 16.6–20.3% 16.1–20.9% 15.7–21.4% 14.9–22.3%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 13.5% 12.0–15.3% 11.6–15.8% 11.2–16.2% 10.5–17.1%
Levica 9.3% 10.4% 9.0–11.9% 8.7–12.4% 8.3–12.8% 7.7–13.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.1% 5.1–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.6–8.1% 4.1–8.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.4% 3.5–6.7% 3.1–7.3%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.0% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.4% 2.8–5.7% 2.5–6.3%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.7% 1.2–4.2%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 1.2% 0.9–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.7–2.3% 0.5–2.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 28 25–30 25–31 25–32 24–33
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 17 16–19 15–20 15–20 14–22
Socialni demokrati 10 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–16
Levica 9 10 8–11 8–11 7–12 7–13
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 4 3–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–3
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.5%  
25 12% 98% Last Result
26 19% 86%  
27 15% 67%  
28 15% 52% Median
29 18% 37%  
30 11% 19%  
31 3% 8%  
32 3% 4%  
33 1.0% 1.2%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100% Last Result
14 0.7% 99.6%  
15 5% 98.9%  
16 27% 94%  
17 22% 67% Median
18 17% 45%  
19 20% 28%  
20 6% 8%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.8% 0.8%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.5% 99.8% Last Result
11 20% 98%  
12 17% 78%  
13 36% 61% Median
14 13% 25%  
15 9% 12%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 3% 99.9%  
8 8% 97%  
9 23% 89% Last Result
10 46% 67% Median
11 17% 21%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0.1% 99.6%  
4 12% 99.6%  
5 42% 87% Median
6 29% 45%  
7 15% 16% Last Result
8 1.2% 1.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 1.3% 91%  
4 47% 89% Last Result, Median
5 32% 43%  
6 10% 11%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 0% 89%  
2 0% 89%  
3 3% 89%  
4 50% 86% Median
5 26% 35% Last Result
6 9% 10%  
7 0.5% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 3% 55%  
4 46% 52% Median
5 5% 6% Last Result
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0.1% 0.5%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 49 95% 46–52 45–53 45–54 44–56
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 45 37% 42–48 42–49 41–50 40–52
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 42 5% 39–45 38–46 37–46 36–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 40 2% 36–43 36–44 35–45 34–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 40 2% 36–43 36–44 35–45 34–46
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 36 0% 34–40 33–40 32–40 30–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 36 0% 33–38 32–39 32–40 31–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 36 0% 33–38 32–39 32–40 31–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 34 0% 31–37 31–38 30–39 29–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 34 0% 31–37 31–38 30–39 29–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 30 0% 28–32 27–33 27–34 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 30 0% 28–32 27–33 27–34 26–36
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 17 0% 15–20 13–20 13–20 11–21

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
44 1.2% 99.6%  
45 4% 98%  
46 7% 95% Majority
47 5% 87%  
48 24% 82%  
49 23% 58% Median
50 9% 35%  
51 11% 26%  
52 6% 15%  
53 4% 9%  
54 3% 5%  
55 0.3% 2%  
56 1.3% 2%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.6% 99.8%  
41 2% 99.2%  
42 8% 97%  
43 7% 89%  
44 27% 82%  
45 18% 55% Median
46 10% 37% Majority
47 11% 26%  
48 6% 15%  
49 5% 9%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.9% 1.2%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.8%  
37 3% 99.3%  
38 4% 96%  
39 6% 92%  
40 16% 86%  
41 11% 70%  
42 16% 59%  
43 18% 43% Median
44 8% 25%  
45 12% 17%  
46 3% 5% Majority
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.3% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1% Last Result
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.6% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.2% Last Result
36 8% 97%  
37 6% 89%  
38 15% 83%  
39 15% 68% Median
40 15% 52%  
41 18% 37%  
42 6% 20%  
43 8% 13%  
44 2% 5%  
45 1.4% 3%  
46 2% 2% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.6% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.2%  
36 8% 97%  
37 6% 89%  
38 15% 83%  
39 15% 68% Median
40 15% 52%  
41 18% 37%  
42 6% 20%  
43 8% 13%  
44 2% 5%  
45 1.4% 3% Last Result
46 2% 2% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 0.4% 99.4%  
32 3% 99.0%  
33 6% 96%  
34 13% 90%  
35 12% 77%  
36 20% 65%  
37 12% 46%  
38 12% 34% Median
39 8% 22%  
40 12% 14%  
41 1.3% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
31 0.9% 99.7%  
32 8% 98.9%  
33 10% 91%  
34 16% 81%  
35 10% 65% Median
36 13% 55%  
37 21% 42%  
38 12% 21%  
39 4% 9%  
40 2% 4%  
41 0.4% 2%  
42 1.2% 2%  
43 0.4% 0.5%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.9% 99.7%  
32 8% 98.9%  
33 10% 91%  
34 16% 81%  
35 10% 65% Median
36 13% 55%  
37 21% 42%  
38 12% 21%  
39 4% 9%  
40 2% 4% Last Result
41 0.4% 2%  
42 1.2% 2%  
43 0.4% 0.5%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
29 1.0% 99.6%  
30 2% 98.6%  
31 9% 97%  
32 13% 88%  
33 11% 75%  
34 22% 64% Median
35 7% 41%  
36 21% 34%  
37 7% 13%  
38 2% 6%  
39 4% 4%  
40 0.5% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 1.0% 99.6%  
30 2% 98.6%  
31 9% 97%  
32 13% 88%  
33 11% 75%  
34 22% 64% Median
35 7% 41%  
36 21% 34%  
37 7% 13%  
38 2% 6% Last Result
39 4% 4%  
40 0.5% 0.7%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 1.3% 99.7%  
27 7% 98%  
28 15% 91%  
29 15% 76%  
30 17% 61% Median
31 10% 44%  
32 24% 34%  
33 5% 10%  
34 2% 5%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.7% 0.8%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 1.3% 99.7%  
27 7% 98%  
28 15% 91%  
29 15% 76%  
30 17% 61% Median
31 10% 44%  
32 24% 34%  
33 5% 10% Last Result
34 2% 5%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.7% 0.8%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 0.8% 99.0%  
13 6% 98%  
14 1.4% 92%  
15 13% 91%  
16 19% 78%  
17 26% 59% Median
18 17% 32%  
19 4% 15%  
20 10% 11%  
21 0.8% 0.9%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations