Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 14–16 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 37.3% 35.0–39.7% 34.3–40.3% 33.8–40.9% 32.7–42.1%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 16.1% 14.5–18.0% 14.0–18.6% 13.6–19.1% 12.8–20.0%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 14.7% 13.1–16.6% 12.7–17.1% 12.3–17.5% 11.6–18.5%
Levica 9.3% 10.1% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 7.9% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.7% 6.1–10.1% 5.6–10.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 5.9% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–7.9% 3.9–8.5%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 4.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8% 3.0–6.1% 2.7–6.7%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.0% 0.8–3.4%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1% 0.4–2.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1% 0.4–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 35 32–37 32–38 31–38 31–40
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 15 14–17 13–18 13–18 12–18
Socialni demokrati 10 13 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Levica 9 9 7–11 7–12 7–12 6–13
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 6 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–11
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 5 4–6 4–7 3–7 0–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 4% 99.7%  
32 6% 96%  
33 10% 90%  
34 23% 80%  
35 13% 58% Median
36 18% 45%  
37 20% 27%  
38 4% 6%  
39 1.1% 2%  
40 0.8% 1.1%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 6% 98% Last Result
14 28% 92%  
15 26% 64% Median
16 13% 37%  
17 19% 24%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100% Last Result
11 3% 99.6%  
12 18% 97%  
13 33% 79% Median
14 26% 46%  
15 10% 20%  
16 7% 10%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.7% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 12% 99.5%  
8 8% 87%  
9 29% 79% Last Result, Median
10 32% 50%  
11 11% 18%  
12 6% 7%  
13 1.4% 1.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 9% 99.8%  
6 42% 90% Median
7 20% 49% Last Result
8 11% 29%  
9 15% 17%  
10 1.2% 2%  
11 0.6% 0.6%  
12 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0.9% 98%  
4 18% 97% Last Result
5 45% 79% Median
6 25% 34%  
7 9% 10%  
8 1.1% 1.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100%  
1 0% 67%  
2 0% 67%  
3 13% 67%  
4 36% 54% Median
5 17% 18% Last Result
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 53 100% 50–56 49–57 48–57 47–58
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 50 98% 48–54 47–54 46–54 45–55
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 39 0.1% 35–41 35–42 34–43 34–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 50 39 0.1% 35–41 35–42 34–43 34–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 39 0.1% 35–41 35–42 34–43 34–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 36 0% 33–38 33–40 32–40 31–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 36 0% 33–38 33–40 32–40 31–41
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 32 0% 29–34 28–34 27–35 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek 43 32 0% 29–34 28–35 27–35 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 32 0% 29–34 28–35 27–35 26–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 29 0% 27–31 27–32 26–33 24–34
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 29 0% 27–31 27–32 26–33 24–34
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 17 0% 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–22

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100% Last Result
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 100% Majority
47 1.1% 99.9%  
48 2% 98.9%  
49 3% 97%  
50 6% 93%  
51 13% 87%  
52 20% 74%  
53 15% 54%  
54 13% 39% Median
55 5% 26%  
56 11% 20%  
57 9% 9%  
58 0.4% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 100%  
45 2% 99.8%  
46 2% 98% Majority
47 5% 96%  
48 20% 91%  
49 7% 71%  
50 16% 63% Median
51 22% 48%  
52 7% 25%  
53 6% 18%  
54 10% 12%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.3% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.8%  
34 3% 99.6%  
35 9% 97% Last Result
36 11% 88%  
37 10% 77%  
38 17% 67% Median
39 15% 50%  
40 24% 36%  
41 6% 12%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.8% 1.0%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.8%  
34 3% 99.6%  
35 9% 97%  
36 11% 88%  
37 10% 77%  
38 17% 67% Median
39 15% 50%  
40 24% 36%  
41 6% 12%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.8% 1.0%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.8%  
34 3% 99.6%  
35 9% 97%  
36 11% 88%  
37 10% 77%  
38 17% 67% Median
39 15% 50%  
40 24% 36%  
41 6% 12%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.8% 1.0%  
45 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
46 0.1% 0.1% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.4% 100% Last Result
31 0.7% 99.6%  
32 2% 98.9%  
33 16% 97%  
34 9% 81% Median
35 18% 72%  
36 31% 54%  
37 8% 24%  
38 6% 16%  
39 2% 9%  
40 5% 7%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.4% 100%  
31 0.6% 99.6%  
32 2% 99.0%  
33 16% 97%  
34 9% 82% Median
35 18% 72%  
36 31% 54%  
37 8% 24%  
38 6% 16%  
39 2% 9%  
40 5% 7% Last Result
41 2% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.7%  
27 3% 99.4%  
28 3% 97% Last Result
29 11% 93%  
30 10% 82%  
31 20% 72%  
32 18% 52% Median
33 21% 34%  
34 8% 13%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra – Stranka Alenke Bratušek

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.7%  
27 3% 99.4%  
28 3% 97%  
29 11% 93%  
30 10% 82%  
31 20% 72%  
32 18% 52% Median
33 21% 34%  
34 8% 13%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.7%  
27 3% 99.4%  
28 3% 97%  
29 11% 93%  
30 10% 82%  
31 20% 72%  
32 18% 52% Median
33 21% 34%  
34 8% 13%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
39 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100% Last Result
24 0.4% 99.6%  
25 2% 99.2%  
26 2% 98%  
27 27% 95%  
28 12% 68% Median
29 24% 56%  
30 18% 32%  
31 8% 15%  
32 3% 7%  
33 3% 4%  
34 0.8% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 0.4% 99.6%  
25 2% 99.2%  
26 2% 98%  
27 27% 95%  
28 12% 69% Median
29 24% 56%  
30 18% 32%  
31 8% 15%  
32 3% 7%  
33 3% 4% Last Result
34 0.8% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.2%  
13 7% 96%  
14 9% 89%  
15 11% 81%  
16 18% 70%  
17 26% 52% Median
18 17% 26%  
19 5% 9%  
20 2% 4%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations