Opinion Poll by Mediana for POPTV, 26 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 30.5% 28.4–32.7% 27.8–33.4% 27.3–33.9% 26.3–35.0%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 18.8% 17.0–20.7% 16.5–21.2% 16.1–21.7% 15.3–22.7%
Levica 9.3% 12.3% 10.9–14.0% 10.5–14.4% 10.1–14.8% 9.5–15.7%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 10.7% 9.3–12.3% 8.9–12.7% 8.6–13.1% 8.0–13.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 8.2% 7.1–9.7% 6.7–10.1% 6.5–10.4% 5.9–11.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.3% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.8–8.3% 4.4–9.0%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.9% 4.0–6.0% 3.7–6.4% 3.5–6.7% 3.2–7.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 4.5% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.2–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 1.6% 1.2–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.2%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.6% 0.7–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 29 27–31 26–31 26–33 25–34
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 18 16–19 15–20 15–21 14–21
Levica 9 12 10–13 10–13 9–14 9–14
Socialni demokrati 10 10 9–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 5–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.3% 100%  
25 2% 99.7% Last Result
26 4% 98%  
27 16% 94%  
28 20% 78%  
29 23% 57% Median
30 19% 34%  
31 11% 15%  
32 2% 4%  
33 1.0% 3%  
34 1.3% 2%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100% Last Result
14 2% 99.8%  
15 5% 98%  
16 12% 93%  
17 16% 80%  
18 31% 65% Median
19 26% 34%  
20 5% 8%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 4% 99.6% Last Result
10 18% 96%  
11 23% 77%  
12 36% 54% Median
13 13% 18%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.8% 100%  
8 9% 99.2%  
9 27% 91%  
10 39% 64% Last Result, Median
11 19% 25%  
12 5% 6%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100% Last Result
6 20% 98%  
7 29% 78% Median
8 35% 49%  
9 12% 14%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 99.9%  
4 7% 99.8%  
5 51% 93% Median
6 28% 42%  
7 11% 15% Last Result
8 3% 3%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 1.2% 84%  
4 51% 82% Median
5 26% 31% Last Result
6 5% 5%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100%  
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 3% 79%  
4 57% 77% Last Result, Median
5 18% 20%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 54 100% 51–57 50–57 50–58 49–61
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 47 69% 44–49 43–49 42–50 41–53
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 44 28% 41–47 41–49 41–49 39–50
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 35 41 2% 38–44 37–45 37–45 36–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 45 41 2% 38–44 37–45 37–45 36–47
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 39 0% 36–41 36–42 35–44 33–44
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 35 0% 32–38 32–38 31–40 31–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 35 0% 32–38 32–38 31–40 31–40
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 33 0% 30–37 30–37 30–37 29–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 33 0% 30–37 30–37 30–37 29–38
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 28 0% 25–30 25–31 24–32 23–32
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 28 0% 25–30 25–31 24–32 23–32
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 17 0% 15–19 15–19 15–20 14–21

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100% Last Result
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100% Majority
47 0% 100%  
48 0.3% 100%  
49 1.0% 99.6%  
50 4% 98.6%  
51 5% 94%  
52 11% 89%  
53 16% 79%  
54 26% 62% Median
55 12% 36%  
56 10% 24%  
57 11% 14%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.9% 2%  
60 0.5% 1.3%  
61 0.8% 0.8%  
62 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.5% 99.9%  
42 3% 99.3%  
43 3% 96%  
44 7% 93%  
45 17% 86%  
46 13% 69% Majority
47 17% 55% Median
48 20% 39%  
49 14% 18%  
50 3% 5%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.4% 1.4%  
53 0.9% 0.9%  
54 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.4% 99.8%  
40 1.0% 99.4%  
41 12% 98%  
42 5% 86%  
43 20% 82%  
44 16% 62% Median
45 19% 47%  
46 16% 28% Majority
47 4% 12%  
48 2% 7%  
49 4% 5%  
50 0.8% 1.2% Last Result
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100% Last Result
36 1.4% 99.8%  
37 6% 98%  
38 9% 92%  
39 14% 83%  
40 11% 69% Median
41 33% 57%  
42 9% 25%  
43 3% 15%  
44 7% 12%  
45 4% 6%  
46 1.0% 2% Majority
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.2% 100%  
36 1.4% 99.8%  
37 6% 98%  
38 9% 92%  
39 14% 83%  
40 11% 69% Median
41 33% 57%  
42 9% 25%  
43 3% 15%  
44 7% 12%  
45 4% 6% Last Result
46 1.0% 2% Majority
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.7%  
34 0.4% 99.4%  
35 2% 99.0%  
36 14% 97%  
37 9% 83%  
38 24% 74%  
39 13% 50% Median
40 15% 37%  
41 13% 22%  
42 5% 9%  
43 1.4% 4% Last Result
44 2% 3%  
45 0.3% 0.3%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.7%  
32 9% 97%  
33 11% 89%  
34 19% 78%  
35 12% 59% Median
36 30% 47%  
37 5% 17%  
38 7% 12%  
39 2% 5%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.7%  
32 9% 97%  
33 11% 89%  
34 19% 78%  
35 12% 59% Median
36 30% 47%  
37 5% 17%  
38 7% 12% Last Result
39 2% 5%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 9% 98% Last Result
31 10% 89%  
32 11% 79%  
33 31% 68% Median
34 16% 37%  
35 8% 22%  
36 3% 13%  
37 8% 10%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.3% 0.4%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 9% 98%  
31 10% 89%  
32 11% 79%  
33 31% 68% Median
34 16% 37%  
35 8% 22%  
36 3% 13%  
37 8% 10%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.3% 0.4%  
40 0% 0.1% Last Result
41 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
24 4% 99.4%  
25 10% 96%  
26 9% 85%  
27 15% 76%  
28 39% 61% Median
29 6% 22%  
30 9% 16%  
31 4% 7%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.9%  
24 4% 99.4%  
25 10% 96%  
26 9% 85%  
27 15% 76%  
28 39% 61% Median
29 6% 22%  
30 9% 16%  
31 4% 7%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.7%  
15 14% 99.1%  
16 17% 86%  
17 24% 69% Median
18 24% 45%  
19 16% 21%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.3% 2%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations