Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 9–11 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 33.1% 30.9–35.5% 30.3–36.2% 29.8–36.7% 28.7–37.9%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 22.3% 20.4–24.4% 19.8–25.0% 19.4–25.5% 18.5–26.6%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 15.9% 14.2–17.8% 13.7–18.3% 13.3–18.8% 12.6–19.7%
Levica 9.3% 12.0% 10.5–13.7% 10.1–14.2% 9.8–14.6% 9.1–15.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 5.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.7% 3.8–8.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 1.9% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.2% 0.9–3.6%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 1.6% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.8% 0.7–3.2%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 32 30–34 29–35 28–36 28–37
Socialni demokrati 10 22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–26
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 15 14–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
Levica 9 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 4–6 4–6 3–7 0–8
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 2% 99.5%  
29 4% 97%  
30 7% 93%  
31 25% 85%  
32 18% 60% Median
33 21% 42%  
34 12% 21%  
35 5% 9%  
36 4% 5%  
37 0.7% 1.1%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.8% 99.8%  
18 2% 99.0%  
19 10% 97%  
20 16% 87%  
21 14% 71%  
22 15% 57% Median
23 30% 42%  
24 5% 11%  
25 5% 6%  
26 0.8% 1.2%  
27 0.4% 0.4%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 6% 97% Last Result
14 11% 91%  
15 31% 80% Median
16 35% 49%  
17 9% 14%  
18 3% 5%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.6% 100%  
9 8% 99.4% Last Result
10 28% 92%  
11 19% 64% Median
12 18% 45%  
13 17% 27%  
14 8% 9%  
15 1.1% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0.8% 98%  
4 38% 97%  
5 23% 60% Median
6 32% 37%  
7 4% 5% Last Result
8 0.9% 1.0%  
9 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100%  
1 0% 58%  
2 0% 58%  
3 1.4% 58%  
4 45% 56% Median
5 10% 11% Last Result
6 1.1% 1.2%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 50 98.7% 47–53 47–53 46–54 45–55
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 47 86% 45–50 44–51 43–52 42–53
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 44 38% 42–47 41–48 40–49 38–50
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 44 38% 42–47 41–48 40–49 38–50
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 44 38% 42–47 41–48 40–49 38–50
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 42 5% 39–45 38–45 38–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 42 5% 39–45 38–45 38–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 39 0.2% 36–43 35–43 35–44 33–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 39 0.2% 36–43 35–43 35–44 33–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 39 0.2% 36–43 35–43 35–44 33–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 37 0% 34–40 34–40 33–41 32–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 37 0% 34–40 34–40 33–41 32–42
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 24 0% 20–27 20–28 20–29 19–30

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100% Last Result
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 1.0% 99.7%  
46 3% 98.7% Majority
47 10% 96%  
48 10% 86%  
49 17% 76%  
50 15% 59%  
51 26% 45% Median
52 6% 18%  
53 9% 12%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.6% 0.9%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.2% 100%  
42 1.0% 99.8%  
43 2% 98.7%  
44 4% 97%  
45 7% 93%  
46 13% 86% Majority
47 29% 74% Median
48 12% 45%  
49 19% 33%  
50 7% 14%  
51 4% 7%  
52 2% 3%  
53 1.0% 1.3%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0.6% 100%  
39 1.5% 99.4%  
40 2% 98%  
41 3% 95%  
42 18% 92%  
43 9% 74%  
44 18% 65%  
45 9% 47%  
46 10% 38% Median, Majority
47 22% 28%  
48 3% 6%  
49 2% 3%  
50 1.0% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.5% 100%  
39 1.5% 99.4%  
40 2% 98%  
41 3% 95%  
42 18% 92%  
43 9% 74%  
44 18% 65%  
45 9% 48%  
46 10% 38% Median, Majority
47 22% 28%  
48 3% 6%  
49 2% 3%  
50 1.0% 1.1% Last Result
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.6% 100%  
39 1.5% 99.4%  
40 2% 98%  
41 3% 95%  
42 18% 92%  
43 9% 74%  
44 18% 65%  
45 9% 47% Last Result
46 10% 38% Median, Majority
47 22% 28%  
48 3% 6%  
49 2% 3%  
50 1.0% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.5%  
38 6% 98.7%  
39 8% 92%  
40 10% 85%  
41 8% 75%  
42 19% 67% Median
43 24% 48%  
44 12% 24%  
45 7% 12%  
46 3% 5% Majority
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.8% 99.5%  
38 6% 98.7%  
39 8% 92%  
40 10% 85% Last Result
41 8% 75%  
42 19% 67% Median
43 24% 48%  
44 12% 24%  
45 7% 12%  
46 3% 5% Majority
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.5%  
35 5% 98%  
36 9% 94%  
37 9% 84%  
38 17% 75%  
39 9% 58%  
40 14% 50%  
41 5% 36% Median
42 8% 31%  
43 19% 23%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.8% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.5%  
35 5% 98%  
36 9% 94%  
37 9% 84%  
38 17% 75%  
39 9% 58%  
40 14% 50%  
41 5% 36% Median
42 8% 31%  
43 19% 23% Last Result
44 3% 4%  
45 0.8% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.5%  
35 5% 98%  
36 9% 94%  
37 9% 84%  
38 17% 75% Last Result
39 9% 58%  
40 14% 50%  
41 5% 36% Median
42 8% 31%  
43 19% 23%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.8% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.9%  
32 1.1% 99.6%  
33 2% 98%  
34 12% 96%  
35 8% 85%  
36 16% 76%  
37 13% 60% Median
38 14% 47%  
39 22% 33%  
40 8% 11%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.8% 1.3%  
43 0.4% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.9%  
32 1.1% 99.6%  
33 2% 98% Last Result
34 12% 96%  
35 8% 85%  
36 16% 76%  
37 13% 60% Median
38 14% 47%  
39 22% 33%  
40 8% 11%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.8% 1.3%  
43 0.4% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.6%  
20 10% 98%  
21 7% 87%  
22 9% 80%  
23 16% 71%  
24 7% 55%  
25 10% 47% Last Result
26 9% 37% Median
27 22% 29%  
28 3% 6%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.7% 0.8%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations