Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
33.1% |
30.9–35.5% |
30.3–36.2% |
29.8–36.7% |
28.7–37.9% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
22.3% |
20.4–24.4% |
19.8–25.0% |
19.4–25.5% |
18.5–26.6% |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
15.9% |
14.2–17.8% |
13.7–18.3% |
13.3–18.8% |
12.6–19.7% |
Levica |
9.3% |
12.0% |
10.5–13.7% |
10.1–14.2% |
9.8–14.6% |
9.1–15.5% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
5.7% |
4.7–7.0% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.2–7.7% |
3.8–8.4% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.9–5.9% |
2.5–6.5% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.2–3.3% |
1.0–3.8% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
1.9% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–2.9% |
1.1–3.2% |
0.9–3.6% |
Slovenska ljudska stranka |
2.6% |
1.6% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.8% |
0.7–3.2% |
Stranka modernega centra |
9.7% |
0.4% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.1–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
29 |
4% |
97% |
|
30 |
7% |
93% |
|
31 |
25% |
85% |
|
32 |
18% |
60% |
Median |
33 |
21% |
42% |
|
34 |
12% |
21% |
|
35 |
5% |
9% |
|
36 |
4% |
5% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
19 |
10% |
97% |
|
20 |
16% |
87% |
|
21 |
14% |
71% |
|
22 |
15% |
57% |
Median |
23 |
30% |
42% |
|
24 |
5% |
11% |
|
25 |
5% |
6% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
6% |
97% |
Last Result |
14 |
11% |
91% |
|
15 |
31% |
80% |
Median |
16 |
35% |
49% |
|
17 |
9% |
14% |
|
18 |
3% |
5% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
9 |
8% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
10 |
28% |
92% |
|
11 |
19% |
64% |
Median |
12 |
18% |
45% |
|
13 |
17% |
27% |
|
14 |
8% |
9% |
|
15 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98% |
|
2 |
0% |
98% |
|
3 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
4 |
38% |
97% |
|
5 |
23% |
60% |
Median |
6 |
32% |
37% |
|
7 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
42% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
58% |
|
2 |
0% |
58% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
58% |
|
4 |
45% |
56% |
Median |
5 |
10% |
11% |
Last Result |
6 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska ljudska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
50 |
98.7% |
47–53 |
47–53 |
46–54 |
45–55 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca |
38 |
47 |
86% |
45–50 |
44–51 |
43–52 |
42–53 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
44 |
38% |
42–47 |
41–48 |
40–49 |
38–50 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra |
50 |
44 |
38% |
42–47 |
41–48 |
40–49 |
38–50 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
45 |
44 |
38% |
42–47 |
41–48 |
40–49 |
38–50 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
30 |
42 |
5% |
39–45 |
38–45 |
38–46 |
37–47 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
40 |
42 |
5% |
39–45 |
38–45 |
38–46 |
37–47 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
39 |
0.2% |
36–43 |
35–43 |
35–44 |
33–45 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra |
43 |
39 |
0.2% |
36–43 |
35–43 |
35–44 |
33–45 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
38 |
39 |
0.2% |
36–43 |
35–43 |
35–44 |
33–45 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca |
23 |
37 |
0% |
34–40 |
34–40 |
33–41 |
32–42 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra |
33 |
37 |
0% |
34–40 |
34–40 |
33–41 |
32–42 |
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra |
25 |
24 |
0% |
20–27 |
20–28 |
20–29 |
19–30 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
3% |
98.7% |
Majority |
47 |
10% |
96% |
|
48 |
10% |
86% |
|
49 |
17% |
76% |
|
50 |
15% |
59% |
|
51 |
26% |
45% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
18% |
|
53 |
9% |
12% |
|
54 |
2% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
4% |
97% |
|
45 |
7% |
93% |
|
46 |
13% |
86% |
Majority |
47 |
29% |
74% |
Median |
48 |
12% |
45% |
|
49 |
19% |
33% |
|
50 |
7% |
14% |
|
51 |
4% |
7% |
|
52 |
2% |
3% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
99.4% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
95% |
|
42 |
18% |
92% |
|
43 |
9% |
74% |
|
44 |
18% |
65% |
|
45 |
9% |
47% |
|
46 |
10% |
38% |
Median, Majority |
47 |
22% |
28% |
|
48 |
3% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
99.4% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
95% |
|
42 |
18% |
92% |
|
43 |
9% |
74% |
|
44 |
18% |
65% |
|
45 |
9% |
48% |
|
46 |
10% |
38% |
Median, Majority |
47 |
22% |
28% |
|
48 |
3% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
99.4% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
95% |
|
42 |
18% |
92% |
|
43 |
9% |
74% |
|
44 |
18% |
65% |
|
45 |
9% |
47% |
Last Result |
46 |
10% |
38% |
Median, Majority |
47 |
22% |
28% |
|
48 |
3% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
8% |
92% |
|
40 |
10% |
85% |
|
41 |
8% |
75% |
|
42 |
19% |
67% |
Median |
43 |
24% |
48% |
|
44 |
12% |
24% |
|
45 |
7% |
12% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
Majority |
47 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
6% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
8% |
92% |
|
40 |
10% |
85% |
Last Result |
41 |
8% |
75% |
|
42 |
19% |
67% |
Median |
43 |
24% |
48% |
|
44 |
12% |
24% |
|
45 |
7% |
12% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
Majority |
47 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
5% |
98% |
|
36 |
9% |
94% |
|
37 |
9% |
84% |
|
38 |
17% |
75% |
|
39 |
9% |
58% |
|
40 |
14% |
50% |
|
41 |
5% |
36% |
Median |
42 |
8% |
31% |
|
43 |
19% |
23% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
5% |
98% |
|
36 |
9% |
94% |
|
37 |
9% |
84% |
|
38 |
17% |
75% |
|
39 |
9% |
58% |
|
40 |
14% |
50% |
|
41 |
5% |
36% |
Median |
42 |
8% |
31% |
|
43 |
19% |
23% |
Last Result |
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
5% |
98% |
|
36 |
9% |
94% |
|
37 |
9% |
84% |
|
38 |
17% |
75% |
Last Result |
39 |
9% |
58% |
|
40 |
14% |
50% |
|
41 |
5% |
36% |
Median |
42 |
8% |
31% |
|
43 |
19% |
23% |
|
44 |
3% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
98% |
|
34 |
12% |
96% |
|
35 |
8% |
85% |
|
36 |
16% |
76% |
|
37 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
38 |
14% |
47% |
|
39 |
22% |
33% |
|
40 |
8% |
11% |
|
41 |
2% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
34 |
12% |
96% |
|
35 |
8% |
85% |
|
36 |
16% |
76% |
|
37 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
38 |
14% |
47% |
|
39 |
22% |
33% |
|
40 |
8% |
11% |
|
41 |
2% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
10% |
98% |
|
21 |
7% |
87% |
|
22 |
9% |
80% |
|
23 |
16% |
71% |
|
24 |
7% |
55% |
|
25 |
10% |
47% |
Last Result |
26 |
9% |
37% |
Median |
27 |
22% |
29% |
|
28 |
3% |
6% |
|
29 |
2% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik, Večer
- Fieldwork period: 9–11 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 700
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.78%