Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 11–13 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 35.9% 33.6–38.2% 32.9–38.9% 32.4–39.5% 31.3–40.6%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 21.4% 19.5–23.5% 19.0–24.1% 18.5–24.6% 17.7–25.7%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 14.6% 13.0–16.4% 12.5–16.9% 12.1–17.4% 11.4–18.3%
Levica 9.3% 10.1% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 8.9% 7.6–10.4% 7.3–10.8% 7.0–11.2% 6.4–12.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 3.3% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6% 2.2–4.9% 1.9–5.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 2.9% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1% 1.9–4.4% 1.6–4.9%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 0.4% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.6%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.1% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 35 33–37 32–38 31–38 30–39
Socialni demokrati 10 20 19–22 18–23 18–24 17–25
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 14 13–15 12–16 12–17 10–17
Levica 9 10 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–13
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 8 7–10 7–10 6–11 6–12
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.9% 99.8%  
31 4% 98.9%  
32 4% 95%  
33 20% 91%  
34 11% 71%  
35 28% 60% Median
36 10% 32%  
37 16% 23%  
38 5% 6%  
39 0.6% 1.0%  
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 2% 99.8%  
18 6% 98%  
19 29% 92%  
20 30% 63% Median
21 14% 33%  
22 10% 20%  
23 6% 10%  
24 2% 4%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 2% 99.5%  
12 8% 98%  
13 27% 90% Last Result
14 33% 63% Median
15 25% 30%  
16 3% 5%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 5% 99.8%  
8 10% 95%  
9 27% 85% Last Result
10 28% 58% Median
11 25% 30%  
12 4% 5%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 4% 99.8%  
7 16% 96% Last Result
8 43% 80% Median
9 25% 36%  
10 7% 11%  
11 3% 4%  
12 1.3% 1.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 78% 100% Median
1 0% 22%  
2 0% 22%  
3 2% 22%  
4 18% 19% Last Result
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 1.5% 6%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 49 96% 47–51 46–52 45–53 43–53
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 49 95% 47–50 46–52 44–53 43–53
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 42 9% 41–45 39–47 38–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 42 9% 41–45 39–47 38–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 42 9% 41–45 39–47 38–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 42 7% 41–45 39–46 38–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 42 7% 41–45 39–46 38–47 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 34 0% 32–37 31–38 31–39 30–40
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 34 0% 32–37 31–38 31–39 30–40
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 34 0% 32–37 31–38 31–39 30–40
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 34 0% 32–37 31–38 31–38 29–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 34 0% 32–37 31–38 31–38 29–39
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 20 0% 19–23 18–24 18–25 17–26

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
44 2% 99.4%  
45 2% 98%  
46 4% 96% Majority
47 9% 92%  
48 20% 83%  
49 32% 64% Median
50 17% 31%  
51 6% 14%  
52 3% 7%  
53 5% 5%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.6% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.3%  
45 2% 97%  
46 5% 95% Majority
47 11% 90%  
48 20% 79%  
49 32% 59% Median
50 17% 27%  
51 3% 10%  
52 2% 7%  
53 4% 4%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 3% 99.7%  
39 2% 96%  
40 2% 94%  
41 16% 93%  
42 35% 76% Median
43 13% 41%  
44 10% 28%  
45 8% 17%  
46 4% 9% Majority
47 4% 5%  
48 1.3% 2%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 3% 99.7%  
39 2% 96%  
40 2% 94%  
41 16% 93%  
42 35% 76% Median
43 13% 41%  
44 10% 28%  
45 9% 17%  
46 4% 9% Majority
47 4% 5%  
48 1.3% 2%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 3% 99.7%  
39 2% 96%  
40 2% 94%  
41 16% 93%  
42 35% 76% Median
43 13% 41%  
44 10% 28%  
45 8% 17% Last Result
46 4% 9% Majority
47 4% 5%  
48 1.3% 2%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 4% 99.6%  
39 3% 95%  
40 3% 93%  
41 17% 90%  
42 35% 73% Median
43 13% 38%  
44 11% 25%  
45 7% 14%  
46 3% 7% Majority
47 3% 4%  
48 0.4% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 4% 99.6%  
39 3% 95%  
40 3% 93% Last Result
41 17% 90%  
42 35% 73% Median
43 13% 38%  
44 11% 25%  
45 7% 14%  
46 3% 7% Majority
47 3% 4%  
48 0.4% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0.4% 100%  
30 0.8% 99.5%  
31 4% 98.7%  
32 15% 95%  
33 7% 79%  
34 34% 72% Median
35 15% 38%  
36 9% 24%  
37 7% 15%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.9% 1.0%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.4% 100%  
30 0.8% 99.5%  
31 4% 98.7%  
32 15% 95%  
33 7% 79%  
34 34% 72% Median
35 15% 38%  
36 9% 24%  
37 7% 15%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.9% 1.0%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.4% 100%  
30 0.8% 99.5%  
31 4% 98.7%  
32 15% 95%  
33 7% 79%  
34 34% 72% Median
35 15% 38%  
36 9% 24%  
37 7% 15%  
38 5% 8% Last Result
39 2% 3%  
40 0.9% 1.0%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.5% 100%  
30 1.2% 99.5%  
31 4% 98%  
32 17% 94%  
33 9% 77%  
34 34% 69% Median
35 14% 35%  
36 9% 20%  
37 6% 12%  
38 4% 6%  
39 1.0% 1.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.5% 100%  
30 1.2% 99.5%  
31 4% 98%  
32 17% 94%  
33 9% 77% Last Result
34 34% 69% Median
35 14% 35%  
36 9% 20%  
37 6% 12%  
38 4% 6%  
39 1.0% 1.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 2% 99.8%  
18 5% 98%  
19 28% 94%  
20 28% 65% Median
21 13% 37%  
22 10% 24%  
23 6% 14%  
24 4% 8%  
25 3% 4% Last Result
26 0.8% 0.9%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations