Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 7–10 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 30.8% 28.7–33.1% 28.1–33.7% 27.5–34.3% 26.5–35.4%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 16.0% 14.4–17.9% 13.9–18.4% 13.5–18.9% 12.8–19.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 13.0% 11.5–14.7% 11.1–15.2% 10.7–15.6% 10.1–16.5%
Levica 9.3% 9.9% 8.6–11.5% 8.3–12.0% 8.0–12.3% 7.4–13.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 5.2% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.8–7.1% 3.4–7.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 5.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 3.2% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–4.7% 1.8–5.3%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 2.6% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.7–4.1% 1.4–4.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.7% 1.2–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 31 28–32 27–33 27–34 25–36
Socialni demokrati 10 15 14–17 13–18 13–18 12–19
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Levica 9 10 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–13
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 4 4–6 4–6 0–6 0–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0–4
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0–4

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
26 2% 99.5%  
27 5% 98%  
28 9% 93%  
29 12% 84%  
30 11% 72%  
31 47% 61% Median
32 7% 14%  
33 3% 8%  
34 3% 4%  
35 0.7% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.8%  
37 0.4% 0.4%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.7%  
13 5% 99.1%  
14 14% 94%  
15 45% 81% Median
16 15% 35%  
17 12% 20%  
18 6% 8%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 4% 99.4%  
11 23% 95%  
12 36% 72% Median
13 18% 36% Last Result
14 12% 18%  
15 4% 6%  
16 1.0% 1.1%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 12% 96%  
9 22% 84% Last Result
10 50% 62% Median
11 7% 12%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0.5% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0.4% 96%  
4 52% 95% Median
5 26% 43%  
6 15% 17%  
7 2% 2% Last Result
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0.2% 91%  
4 37% 91%  
5 44% 55% Last Result, Median
6 9% 11%  
7 1.3% 1.4%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0.2% 92%  
4 46% 92% Median
5 37% 46% Last Result
6 7% 9%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 1.1% 10%  
4 8% 9%  
5 0.6% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0.2% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0.1% 0.9%  
4 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 47 79% 44–50 43–51 42–52 41–53
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 42 8% 41–45 40–46 39–47 37–50
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 40 3% 39–44 38–45 37–46 34–46
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 35 0% 34–40 34–40 32–42 31–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 35 0% 35–40 34–40 32–42 31–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 36 0% 34–39 33–40 32–41 30–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 31 0% 30–36 30–36 29–37 27–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 31 0% 30–36 30–36 29–37 27–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 31 0% 30–35 29–36 28–36 26–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 31 0% 30–35 29–36 28–36 26–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 27 0% 26–30 25–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 27 0% 26–31 25–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 20 0% 18–22 17–23 16–23 14–25

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.9% 99.8%  
42 2% 99.0%  
43 3% 97% Last Result
44 4% 93%  
45 10% 89%  
46 8% 79% Majority
47 47% 71% Median
48 6% 25%  
49 8% 19%  
50 5% 11%  
51 2% 5%  
52 3% 3%  
53 0.4% 0.5%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.8% 99.9%  
38 1.3% 99.1% Last Result
39 2% 98%  
40 4% 96%  
41 13% 91%  
42 30% 79%  
43 27% 49% Median
44 6% 22%  
45 7% 15%  
46 4% 8% Majority
47 2% 4%  
48 1.3% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.0%  
50 0.1% 0.5%  
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.4%  
36 1.3% 99.0%  
37 1.4% 98%  
38 4% 96%  
39 24% 93%  
40 28% 69% Median
41 5% 40%  
42 12% 35%  
43 9% 24%  
44 4% 14%  
45 6% 10%  
46 3% 3% Majority
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 1.2% 99.6%  
32 1.3% 98%  
33 2% 97%  
34 6% 95%  
35 43% 90% Last Result, Median
36 7% 47%  
37 9% 40%  
38 8% 31%  
39 11% 23%  
40 10% 13%  
41 0.8% 3%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.4% 0.5%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 1.1% 99.6%  
32 1.1% 98%  
33 2% 97%  
34 6% 96%  
35 42% 90% Median
36 7% 48%  
37 9% 41%  
38 8% 33%  
39 11% 25%  
40 10% 14%  
41 1.0% 4%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.5% 0.6%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.3%  
32 2% 98%  
33 2% 97%  
34 7% 95%  
35 26% 88%  
36 26% 62% Median
37 8% 36%  
38 10% 28%  
39 11% 19%  
40 4% 8%  
41 2% 4%  
42 0.8% 1.1%  
43 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.6%  
28 1.4% 99.2%  
29 2% 98%  
30 22% 95% Last Result
31 28% 73% Median
32 8% 45%  
33 8% 37%  
34 10% 29%  
35 7% 19%  
36 8% 12%  
37 2% 4%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 1.3% 99.3%  
29 2% 98%  
30 22% 96%  
31 27% 74% Median
32 7% 46%  
33 8% 39%  
34 10% 31%  
35 8% 21%  
36 8% 13%  
37 2% 4%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.6% 99.9%  
27 1.2% 99.3%  
28 2% 98% Last Result
29 4% 96%  
30 8% 93%  
31 40% 84% Median
32 10% 44%  
33 10% 34%  
34 13% 25%  
35 7% 12%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.1% 2%  
38 0.8% 0.9%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.5% 99.9%  
27 1.1% 99.4%  
28 2% 98%  
29 3% 96%  
30 8% 93%  
31 40% 85% Median
32 10% 46%  
33 10% 36%  
34 13% 26%  
35 7% 13%  
36 4% 6%  
37 1.3% 2%  
38 0.9% 1.1% Last Result
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
24 1.3% 99.5%  
25 5% 98%  
26 24% 93%  
27 28% 69% Median
28 10% 41%  
29 8% 31%  
30 13% 22%  
31 5% 9%  
32 3% 4%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.2% 99.6%  
25 5% 98%  
26 24% 93%  
27 27% 70% Median
28 10% 42%  
29 8% 33%  
30 14% 24%  
31 6% 10%  
32 4% 5%  
33 0.6% 0.9% Last Result
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.7%  
15 1.0% 99.1%  
16 2% 98%  
17 2% 96%  
18 11% 93%  
19 26% 82% Median
20 28% 56%  
21 11% 27%  
22 11% 16%  
23 3% 5%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.6% 0.8% Last Result
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations