Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 15–17 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 33.6% 31.3–35.9% 30.7–36.6% 30.2–37.2% 29.1–38.3%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 20.7% 18.9–22.8% 18.3–23.4% 17.9–23.9% 17.0–24.9%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 13.7% 12.2–15.5% 11.7–16.0% 11.4–16.5% 10.7–17.4%
Levica 9.3% 10.9% 9.5–12.5% 9.1–13.0% 8.8–13.4% 8.1–14.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 7.9% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.7% 6.1–10.1% 5.6–10.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 2.9% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1% 1.9–4.4% 1.6–4.9%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.0% 1.4–4.5%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.4% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–3.9% 1.3–4.4%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.8%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.6% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5% 0.2–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 34 31–36 31–37 31–38 29–39
Socialni demokrati 10 21 19–23 18–23 18–24 17–25
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 14 12–16 12–16 11–16 11–17
Levica 9 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0–4
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 2% 99.4%  
31 8% 98%  
32 10% 90%  
33 16% 80%  
34 29% 64% Median
35 16% 35%  
36 10% 19%  
37 6% 9%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.9% 1.0%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.8%  
18 5% 99.2%  
19 12% 95%  
20 17% 82%  
21 19% 65% Median
22 28% 47%  
23 14% 18%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.8% 1.1%  
26 0.3% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 4% 99.5%  
12 17% 95%  
13 24% 79% Last Result
14 27% 55% Median
15 18% 28%  
16 8% 10%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 9% 98% Last Result
10 36% 89%  
11 28% 54% Median
12 14% 25%  
13 10% 12%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.1% 100%  
6 11% 98.8%  
7 24% 88% Last Result
8 44% 64% Median
9 16% 20%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.8% 0.8%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 5% 5%  
5 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Median
1 0% 1.5%  
2 0% 1.5%  
3 0% 1.5%  
4 1.4% 1.4% Last Result
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 48 85% 45–50 45–51 44–51 43–53
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 48 85% 45–50 44–51 44–51 43–53
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 50 43 9% 40–45 39–46 39–46 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 43 7% 40–45 39–46 38–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 43 7% 40–45 39–46 38–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 43 6% 40–45 39–46 38–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 43 6% 40–45 39–46 38–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 43 35 0% 32–37 32–38 31–39 30–40
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 35 0% 32–37 32–38 31–38 30–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 35 0% 32–37 32–38 31–38 30–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 35 0% 32–37 32–38 31–38 30–39
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 35 0% 32–37 32–38 31–38 30–39
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 21 0% 19–23 18–23 18–24 17–25

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.5% Last Result
44 3% 98%  
45 10% 95%  
46 16% 85% Majority
47 11% 69%  
48 22% 59% Median
49 20% 37%  
50 11% 17%  
51 4% 6%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.3% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 2% 99.5%  
44 3% 98%  
45 10% 95%  
46 16% 85% Majority
47 11% 69%  
48 22% 59% Median
49 20% 37%  
50 11% 17%  
51 4% 6%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.3% 0.5%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.9%  
38 2% 99.5%  
39 3% 98%  
40 8% 94%  
41 11% 86%  
42 14% 75%  
43 22% 61% Median
44 23% 39%  
45 7% 16%  
46 7% 9% Majority
47 1.0% 2%  
48 0.4% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.7%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 5% 97%  
40 9% 93%  
41 11% 84%  
42 16% 73%  
43 21% 57% Median
44 23% 36%  
45 6% 13%  
46 5% 7% Majority
47 0.7% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.7%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 5% 97%  
40 9% 93%  
41 11% 84%  
42 16% 73%  
43 21% 57% Median
44 23% 36%  
45 6% 13% Last Result
46 5% 7% Majority
47 0.7% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.7%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 5% 97%  
40 9% 93%  
41 11% 84%  
42 16% 72%  
43 21% 57% Median
44 23% 35%  
45 6% 13%  
46 5% 6% Majority
47 0.7% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.4% 99.7%  
38 2% 99.3%  
39 5% 97%  
40 9% 93% Last Result
41 11% 84%  
42 16% 72%  
43 21% 57% Median
44 23% 35%  
45 6% 13%  
46 5% 6% Majority
47 0.7% 1.1%  
48 0.3% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.9% 99.8%  
31 3% 98.9%  
32 7% 96%  
33 11% 89%  
34 11% 78%  
35 21% 67% Median
36 28% 45%  
37 10% 17%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.7% 1.1%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100% Last Result
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 1.0% 99.7%  
31 3% 98.7%  
32 8% 95%  
33 13% 88%  
34 12% 75%  
35 22% 63% Median
36 28% 41%  
37 8% 14%  
38 4% 5%  
39 0.8% 1.2%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 1.0% 99.7%  
31 3% 98.7%  
32 8% 95%  
33 13% 88%  
34 12% 75%  
35 22% 63% Median
36 28% 41%  
37 8% 14%  
38 4% 5% Last Result
39 0.8% 1.2%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 1.0% 99.7%  
31 3% 98.6%  
32 8% 95%  
33 13% 88%  
34 12% 75%  
35 22% 63% Median
36 28% 41%  
37 8% 14%  
38 4% 5%  
39 0.7% 1.1%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 1.0% 99.7%  
31 3% 98.6%  
32 8% 95%  
33 13% 88% Last Result
34 12% 75%  
35 22% 63% Median
36 28% 41%  
37 8% 14%  
38 4% 5%  
39 0.7% 1.1%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.8%  
18 5% 99.2%  
19 12% 95%  
20 17% 83%  
21 19% 66% Median
22 28% 47%  
23 15% 19%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.9% 1.2% Last Result
26 0.3% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations