Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Planet TV, 24–26 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 30.2% 28.1–32.4% 27.5–33.0% 27.0–33.6% 26.0–34.6%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 15.7% 14.1–17.5% 13.6–18.0% 13.3–18.5% 12.5–19.4%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 14.9% 13.3–16.7% 12.9–17.2% 12.5–17.6% 11.8–18.5%
Levica 9.3% 8.0% 6.8–9.4% 6.5–9.8% 6.2–10.2% 5.7–10.9%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 7.8% 6.7–9.3% 6.4–9.6% 6.1–10.0% 5.6–10.7%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 3.9% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.2% 2.7–5.5% 2.4–6.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 3.1% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.6% 1.8–5.1%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 2.5% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–3.9% 1.4–4.4%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 2.5% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–3.9% 1.4–4.4%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.4%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.3% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 30 29–32 29–33 28–34 25–34
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 15 14–16 13–16 13–17 13–19
Socialni demokrati 10 15 14–17 13–17 12–17 12–18
Levica 9 8 6–9 6–10 6–10 6–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–10
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0–3
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.5% 100% Last Result
26 0.4% 99.5%  
27 0.7% 99.0%  
28 1.1% 98%  
29 15% 97%  
30 43% 82% Median
31 18% 39%  
32 12% 22%  
33 6% 9%  
34 3% 3%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 7% 99.6% Last Result
14 9% 93%  
15 39% 84% Median
16 41% 45%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.6%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.2% 100%  
12 4% 99.7%  
13 6% 96%  
14 35% 90%  
15 31% 56% Median
16 14% 25%  
17 10% 11%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.3% 100%  
6 14% 99.7%  
7 33% 86%  
8 25% 52% Median
9 17% 27% Last Result
10 9% 10%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.9% 100%  
6 25% 99.1%  
7 41% 74% Last Result, Median
8 29% 33%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 0% 65%  
2 0% 65%  
3 0.3% 65%  
4 62% 64% Median
5 2% 2% Last Result
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0.4% 17%  
4 17% 17% Last Result
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0.2% 0.6%  
4 0.4% 0.5%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0.9% 0.9%  
5 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 48 96% 46–50 46–50 45–51 42–53
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 46 70% 44–48 43–49 43–50 40–51
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 40 0.2% 37–42 36–42 35–42 34–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 50 40 0.2% 37–42 36–42 35–42 34–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 40 0.2% 37–42 36–42 35–42 34–45
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 38 0% 35–39 35–39 35–40 33–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 38 0% 35–39 35–39 35–40 33–42
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 33 0% 30–35 29–35 28–35 27–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra 43 33 0% 30–35 29–35 28–35 27–37
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 33 0% 30–35 29–35 28–35 27–36
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati 23 31 0% 28–32 28–32 27–32 26–34
Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 33 31 0% 28–32 28–32 27–32 26–34
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 18 0% 15–19 13–19 12–21 12–21

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
44 2% 99.2%  
45 2% 98%  
46 13% 96% Majority
47 13% 82%  
48 22% 69%  
49 5% 47% Median
50 39% 42%  
51 1.5% 3%  
52 0.7% 1.2%  
53 0.4% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0% 100%  
40 0.6% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.3%  
42 1.3% 99.0%  
43 6% 98%  
44 20% 92%  
45 2% 72% Median
46 50% 70% Majority
47 8% 21%  
48 4% 13%  
49 4% 9%  
50 3% 4%  
51 0.9% 1.0%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.5% 100%  
35 2% 99.5% Last Result
36 5% 97%  
37 7% 93%  
38 8% 85%  
39 27% 77%  
40 12% 50%  
41 4% 38% Median
42 32% 34%  
43 0.5% 2%  
44 0.6% 1.2%  
45 0.5% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.5% 100%  
35 2% 99.5%  
36 4% 97%  
37 7% 93%  
38 8% 86%  
39 27% 77%  
40 12% 50%  
41 4% 38% Median
42 32% 34%  
43 0.5% 2%  
44 0.8% 1.5%  
45 0.5% 0.7%  
46 0.1% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.5% 100%  
35 2% 99.5%  
36 5% 97%  
37 7% 93%  
38 8% 85%  
39 27% 77%  
40 12% 50%  
41 4% 38% Median
42 32% 34%  
43 0.5% 2%  
44 0.6% 1.2%  
45 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
46 0.1% 0.2% Majority
47 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.4%  
35 18% 98%  
36 15% 80%  
37 11% 65% Median
38 39% 54%  
39 11% 14%  
40 2% 4%  
41 0.7% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 1.1% 99.4%  
35 18% 98%  
36 15% 80%  
37 11% 65% Median
38 39% 54%  
39 11% 14%  
40 2% 4% Last Result
41 0.7% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.5% 100%  
27 0.7% 99.5%  
28 4% 98.9% Last Result
29 3% 95%  
30 4% 92%  
31 18% 88%  
32 15% 71%  
33 18% 55%  
34 11% 37% Median
35 25% 27%  
36 1.0% 1.3%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.5% 100%  
27 0.6% 99.5%  
28 4% 98.9%  
29 3% 95%  
30 4% 93%  
31 18% 88%  
32 15% 71%  
33 18% 56%  
34 11% 38% Median
35 25% 27%  
36 1.1% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.5%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.5% 100%  
27 0.7% 99.5%  
28 4% 98.9%  
29 3% 95%  
30 4% 92%  
31 18% 88%  
32 15% 71%  
33 18% 55%  
34 11% 37% Median
35 25% 27%  
36 1.0% 1.3%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
39 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 1.1% 99.9%  
27 4% 98.9%  
28 11% 95%  
29 20% 84%  
30 14% 64% Median
31 40% 50%  
32 8% 10%  
33 0.8% 2%  
34 0.7% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca – Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 1.1% 99.9%  
27 4% 98.9%  
28 11% 95%  
29 20% 84%  
30 14% 64% Median
31 40% 50%  
32 8% 10%  
33 0.8% 2% Last Result
34 0.7% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9%  
13 2% 97%  
14 4% 95%  
15 6% 91%  
16 14% 85%  
17 10% 71%  
18 31% 61%  
19 25% 30% Median
20 1.0% 5%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations