Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 15–17 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 32.0% 29.8–34.3% 29.2–35.0% 28.6–35.6% 27.6–36.7%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 15.6% 13.9–17.5% 13.5–18.0% 13.1–18.5% 12.3–19.4%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 14.7% 13.1–16.6% 12.7–17.1% 12.3–17.5% 11.6–18.5%
Levica 9.3% 11.6% 10.2–13.3% 9.7–13.7% 9.4–14.2% 8.8–15.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 10.9% 9.5–12.5% 9.1–13.0% 8.8–13.4% 8.1–14.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 5.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.7% 3.8–8.4%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.7–5.6% 2.3–6.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.9% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.2% 0.9–3.6%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1% 0.4–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 31 29–34 29–34 28–34 27–36
Socialni demokrati 10 15 13–16 13–17 12–17 12–18
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–17
Levica 9 11 9–13 9–13 9–14 8–14
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–13
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 0–8
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0.1% 100%  
27 1.1% 99.8%  
28 2% 98.7%  
29 12% 96%  
30 18% 84%  
31 21% 66% Median
32 18% 45%  
33 12% 26%  
34 12% 14%  
35 0.7% 2%  
36 1.5% 1.5%  
37 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.4% 100%  
12 3% 99.6%  
13 18% 96%  
14 27% 78%  
15 30% 52% Median
16 17% 22%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0.5% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 7% 99.5%  
12 15% 92%  
13 22% 77% Last Result
14 16% 55% Median
15 24% 39%  
16 11% 15%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 11% 98% Last Result
10 27% 87%  
11 28% 59% Median
12 18% 31%  
13 8% 13%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100% Last Result
8 4% 99.6%  
9 23% 96%  
10 31% 73% Median
11 28% 42%  
12 11% 14%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100%  
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0.2% 98.7%  
4 25% 98.6%  
5 33% 73% Last Result, Median
6 29% 40%  
7 10% 11%  
8 0.9% 1.0%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 52% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 48%  
2 0% 48%  
3 6% 48%  
4 37% 41%  
5 4% 5%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 45 46% 43–48 42–48 41–49 40–50
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 45 46% 43–48 42–48 41–49 40–50
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 50 44 15% 42–46 41–47 41–47 39–49
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 39 0% 37–40 36–41 36–41 35–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 39 0% 37–40 36–41 36–41 35–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 39 0% 37–40 36–41 36–41 35–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 39 0% 37–40 36–41 36–41 35–43
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 43 34 0% 31–36 31–36 30–38 29–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 28 0% 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 28 0% 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 28 0% 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 28 0% 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 15 0% 13–16 13–17 12–17 12–18

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.4% 100%  
40 0.6% 99.6%  
41 3% 99.0%  
42 4% 96%  
43 16% 92% Last Result
44 13% 76%  
45 18% 63% Median
46 17% 46% Majority
47 18% 29%  
48 6% 10%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.9% 1.2%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100% Last Result
39 0.4% 100%  
40 0.6% 99.6%  
41 3% 99.0%  
42 4% 96%  
43 16% 92%  
44 13% 76%  
45 18% 63% Median
46 17% 46% Majority
47 18% 29%  
48 6% 10%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.9% 1.2%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.8%  
40 1.1% 99.5%  
41 4% 98%  
42 20% 95%  
43 11% 75%  
44 31% 63% Median
45 17% 32%  
46 9% 15% Majority
47 4% 5%  
48 0.8% 1.3%  
49 0.3% 0.5%  
50 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
51 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.7% 99.8% Last Result
36 6% 99.0%  
37 14% 93%  
38 26% 79%  
39 24% 52% Median
40 19% 28%  
41 8% 10%  
42 1.1% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.7% 99.8%  
36 6% 99.0%  
37 14% 93%  
38 26% 79%  
39 24% 52% Median
40 19% 28%  
41 8% 10%  
42 1.1% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
46 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.7% 99.8%  
36 6% 99.0%  
37 14% 93%  
38 26% 79%  
39 24% 52% Median
40 19% 28%  
41 8% 10%  
42 1.1% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.2% 100%  
35 0.7% 99.8%  
36 6% 99.0%  
37 14% 93%  
38 26% 79%  
39 24% 52% Median
40 19% 28% Last Result
41 8% 10%  
42 1.1% 2%  
43 0.5% 0.9%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 0.7% 99.8%  
30 4% 99.1%  
31 9% 95%  
32 13% 87%  
33 23% 73%  
34 21% 50% Median
35 14% 29%  
36 11% 16%  
37 2% 5%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.2% 0.4%  
40 0.2% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.6% 100%  
25 4% 99.4%  
26 8% 95%  
27 22% 87%  
28 18% 65% Last Result
29 22% 47% Median
30 10% 25%  
31 12% 15%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.6% 100%  
25 4% 99.4%  
26 8% 95%  
27 22% 87%  
28 18% 65%  
29 22% 47% Median
30 10% 25%  
31 12% 15%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0.6% 100%  
25 4% 99.4%  
26 8% 95%  
27 22% 87%  
28 18% 65%  
29 22% 47% Median
30 10% 25%  
31 12% 15%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.6% 100%  
25 4% 99.4%  
26 8% 95%  
27 22% 87%  
28 18% 65%  
29 22% 47% Median
30 10% 25%  
31 12% 15%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 3% 99.6%  
13 18% 96%  
14 27% 78%  
15 30% 52% Median
16 17% 22%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0.5% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations