Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 1–28 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 28.3% 26.2–30.5% 25.6–31.1% 25.1–31.7% 24.1–32.8%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 14.2% 12.6–16.0% 12.2–16.5% 11.8–17.0% 11.1–17.9%
Levica 9.3% 14.1% 12.5–15.9% 12.1–16.4% 11.7–16.8% 11.0–17.7%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 12.7% 11.2–14.4% 10.8–14.9% 10.4–15.3% 9.7–16.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 7.3% 6.2–8.7% 5.9–9.1% 5.6–9.5% 5.1–10.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.4–6.6% 3.1–7.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 3.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.6% 2.4–6.2%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.2%
Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije 1.1% 2.5% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.0% 1.4–4.5%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.4% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6% 1.5–3.8% 1.2–4.3%
Dobra država 1.5% 2.1% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–3.9%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.0% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.7%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 29 27–32 27–33 27–34 26–36
Socialni demokrati 10 14 14–17 13–17 13–18 11–18
Levica 9 15 13–17 13–17 12–17 11–18
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 13 12–14 11–16 11–16 11–17
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 5 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.3% 100% Last Result
26 0.5% 99.7%  
27 16% 99.2%  
28 32% 83%  
29 4% 51% Median
30 13% 46%  
31 4% 34%  
32 24% 30%  
33 3% 6%  
34 2% 3%  
35 0.8% 1.3%  
36 0.4% 0.5%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.6% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.4%  
13 4% 98%  
14 58% 95% Median
15 9% 36%  
16 11% 27%  
17 12% 16%  
18 4% 4%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.3%  
13 6% 95%  
14 22% 89%  
15 28% 67% Median
16 28% 39%  
17 9% 11%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.6%  
12 6% 93%  
13 57% 87% Last Result, Median
14 20% 30%  
15 4% 10%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.9% 1.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100%  
6 13% 99.3%  
7 22% 87% Last Result
8 54% 65% Median
9 6% 11%  
10 4% 5%  
11 0.7% 0.7%  
12 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 21% 74%  
5 39% 53% Last Result, Median
6 11% 13%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 14% 77%  
5 60% 63% Median
6 3% 4%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 1.0% 1.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 43 13% 41–46 41–47 40–48 39–49
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 42 10% 41–45 41–46 39–48 38–48
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 50 40 2% 35–42 35–44 35–45 35–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 35 0.1% 34–38 34–39 34–41 31–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 35 0.1% 34–38 34–39 34–41 31–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 35 0% 34–38 34–39 33–41 31–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 35 0% 34–38 34–39 33–41 31–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 43 32 0% 27–35 27–37 27–37 27–38
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 27 0% 27–31 27–31 26–32 24–34
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 27 0% 27–31 27–31 26–32 24–34
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 27 0% 27–31 26–31 26–32 24–34
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 27 0% 27–31 26–31 26–32 24–34
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 14 0% 14–17 14–18 13–18 11–20

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.3% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.6%  
40 1.2% 98%  
41 41% 97%  
42 6% 56% Median
43 11% 50% Last Result
44 8% 40%  
45 19% 32%  
46 7% 13% Majority
47 2% 6%  
48 3% 4%  
49 0.4% 0.6%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
39 2% 99.4%  
40 1.3% 97%  
41 42% 96%  
42 6% 55% Median
43 12% 49%  
44 8% 37%  
45 19% 29%  
46 6% 10% Majority
47 0.4% 4%  
48 3% 3%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 17% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 82%  
37 4% 82%  
38 8% 78%  
39 7% 70%  
40 31% 62% Median
41 12% 31%  
42 10% 19%  
43 2% 9%  
44 3% 7%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.4% 2% Majority
47 0.8% 0.9%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.9%  
32 0.8% 99.4%  
33 0.9% 98.6%  
34 10% 98%  
35 51% 88% Last Result, Median
36 8% 37%  
37 8% 29%  
38 14% 21%  
39 3% 7%  
40 0.8% 4%  
41 1.4% 3%  
42 1.3% 2%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1% Majority
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.9%  
32 0.8% 99.4%  
33 0.9% 98.6%  
34 10% 98%  
35 51% 88% Median
36 8% 37%  
37 8% 29%  
38 14% 21%  
39 3% 7%  
40 0.8% 4%  
41 1.4% 3%  
42 1.3% 2%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1% Last Result
46 0% 0.1% Majority
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
31 0.6% 99.8%  
32 0.9% 99.1%  
33 2% 98%  
34 11% 96%  
35 51% 85% Median
36 8% 34%  
37 6% 26%  
38 14% 19%  
39 2% 6%  
40 0.6% 3%  
41 1.3% 3%  
42 1.2% 1.3%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.8%  
32 0.9% 99.1%  
33 2% 98%  
34 11% 96%  
35 51% 85% Median
36 8% 34%  
37 6% 26%  
38 14% 19%  
39 2% 6%  
40 0.6% 3% Last Result
41 1.3% 3%  
42 1.2% 1.3%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 17% 99.9%  
28 0.6% 83%  
29 2% 82%  
30 3% 80%  
31 14% 77%  
32 28% 63% Median
33 9% 34%  
34 2% 25%  
35 15% 23%  
36 2% 8%  
37 5% 6%  
38 0.5% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 1.3% 99.6%  
25 0.4% 98%  
26 3% 98%  
27 57% 95% Median
28 6% 38% Last Result
29 7% 33%  
30 3% 26%  
31 18% 23%  
32 3% 4%  
33 0.8% 2%  
34 0.6% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 1.3% 99.6%  
25 0.4% 98%  
26 3% 98%  
27 57% 95% Median
28 6% 38%  
29 7% 33%  
30 3% 26%  
31 18% 23%  
32 3% 4%  
33 0.8% 2%  
34 0.6% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
24 1.4% 99.6%  
25 0.5% 98%  
26 3% 98%  
27 59% 95% Median
28 6% 36%  
29 7% 30%  
30 3% 22%  
31 16% 20%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.3% 0.9%  
34 0.5% 0.6%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.4% 99.6%  
25 0.5% 98%  
26 3% 98%  
27 59% 95% Median
28 6% 36%  
29 7% 30%  
30 3% 22%  
31 16% 20%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.3% 0.9% Last Result
34 0.5% 0.6%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.4%  
13 3% 98.6%  
14 56% 95% Median
15 9% 39%  
16 11% 30%  
17 12% 19%  
18 5% 7%  
19 0.7% 2%  
20 0.5% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations