Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 10–12 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 28.9% 26.7–31.1% 26.1–31.8% 25.6–32.3% 24.6–33.4%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 19.4% 17.6–21.5% 17.1–22.0% 16.7–22.5% 15.8–23.5%
Levica 9.3% 14.1% 12.6–16.0% 12.1–16.5% 11.8–16.9% 11.0–17.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 13.6% 12.0–15.4% 11.6–15.9% 11.2–16.3% 10.5–17.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 8.9% 7.6–10.4% 7.3–10.8% 7.0–11.2% 6.4–12.0%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 5.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.2–7.1% 4.0–7.4% 3.6–8.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.1% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–4.0%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 2.1% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3% 1.3–3.5% 1.1–4.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.5–2.8%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 1.1% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.2% 0.4–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 28 26–30 26–31 25–32 24–33
Socialni demokrati 10 19 17–21 17–22 16–22 15–23
Levica 9 14 12–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 13 11–15 11–16 11–16 10–17
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 8 7–10 7–10 6–11 6–11
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 5 4–6 4–7 3–7 0–8
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stranka modernega centra 10 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 1.2% 99.9%  
25 3% 98.7% Last Result
26 6% 95%  
27 24% 89%  
28 18% 65% Median
29 21% 47%  
30 17% 26%  
31 6% 9%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.9%  
16 3% 99.3%  
17 9% 96%  
18 18% 87%  
19 25% 69% Median
20 25% 44%  
21 13% 19%  
22 5% 6%  
23 0.8% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.4% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 14% 98%  
13 23% 84%  
14 28% 61% Median
15 23% 33%  
16 6% 10%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.9%  
11 9% 98.5%  
12 33% 89%  
13 34% 57% Last Result, Median
14 11% 22%  
15 5% 11%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.5% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9%  
7 16% 97% Last Result
8 35% 81% Median
9 30% 46%  
10 13% 16%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0.2% 98%  
4 22% 97%  
5 53% 76% Last Result, Median
6 18% 23%  
7 4% 5%  
8 0.9% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 50 46 52% 43–48 43–48 42–49 40–50
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 41 1.0% 39–43 38–44 38–44 37–47
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 41 1.0% 39–43 38–44 38–44 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 41 0.4% 38–43 38–43 37–44 36–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 45 41 0.4% 38–43 38–43 37–44 36–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 41 0.4% 38–43 38–43 37–44 36–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 41 0.4% 38–43 38–43 37–44 36–45
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 43 37 0% 35–39 34–40 33–41 32–42
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 32 0% 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–37
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 38 32 0% 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–37
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 32 0% 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–37
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 32 0% 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–37
Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra 25 19 0% 17–21 17–22 16–22 15–23

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.6% 99.8%  
41 1.3% 99.2%  
42 3% 98%  
43 10% 95%  
44 18% 85%  
45 16% 68% Median
46 23% 52% Majority
47 17% 29%  
48 8% 12%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.0% 1.3% Last Result
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 1.4% 99.5%  
38 6% 98%  
39 11% 92%  
40 21% 81%  
41 12% 60% Median
42 21% 48%  
43 19% 27% Last Result
44 5% 8%  
45 1.4% 2%  
46 0.5% 1.0% Majority
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 1.4% 99.5%  
38 6% 98% Last Result
39 11% 92%  
40 21% 81%  
41 12% 60% Median
42 21% 48%  
43 19% 27%  
44 5% 8%  
45 1.4% 2%  
46 0.5% 1.0% Majority
47 0.4% 0.5%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.3% 100% Last Result
36 1.1% 99.6%  
37 3% 98.6%  
38 15% 95%  
39 11% 80%  
40 15% 70% Median
41 23% 54%  
42 20% 31%  
43 7% 11%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.3% 100%  
36 1.1% 99.6%  
37 3% 98.6%  
38 15% 95%  
39 11% 80%  
40 15% 70% Median
41 23% 54%  
42 20% 31%  
43 7% 11%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.2% 2% Last Result
46 0.2% 0.4% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100% Last Result
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.3% 100%  
36 1.1% 99.6%  
37 3% 98.6%  
38 15% 95%  
39 11% 80%  
40 15% 70% Median
41 23% 54%  
42 20% 31%  
43 7% 11%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.3% 100%  
36 1.1% 99.6%  
37 3% 98.6%  
38 15% 95%  
39 11% 80%  
40 15% 70% Last Result, Median
41 23% 54%  
42 20% 31%  
43 7% 11%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.2% 2%  
46 0.2% 0.4% Majority
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.7% 99.7%  
33 2% 99.0%  
34 5% 96%  
35 11% 91%  
36 17% 80%  
37 18% 63% Median
38 31% 45%  
39 5% 14%  
40 6% 8%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.4% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.5% Last Result
29 4% 97%  
30 11% 92%  
31 21% 82%  
32 15% 61% Median
33 30% 45%  
34 6% 16%  
35 7% 10%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.6% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.5%  
29 4% 97%  
30 11% 92%  
31 21% 82%  
32 15% 61% Median
33 30% 45%  
34 6% 16%  
35 7% 10%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.6% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
39 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100% Last Result
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.5%  
29 4% 97%  
30 11% 92%  
31 21% 82%  
32 15% 61% Median
33 30% 45%  
34 6% 16%  
35 7% 10%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.6% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.5%  
29 4% 97%  
30 11% 92%  
31 21% 82%  
32 15% 61% Median
33 30% 45% Last Result
34 6% 16%  
35 7% 10%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.6% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.9%  
16 3% 99.3%  
17 9% 96%  
18 18% 87%  
19 25% 69% Median
20 25% 44%  
21 13% 19%  
22 5% 6%  
23 0.8% 1.2%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
26 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations