Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 11–14 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 20.6% 19.0–22.2% 18.6–22.7% 18.2–23.1% 17.5–23.9%
Lista Roberta Goloba 0.0% 20.3% 18.8–21.9% 18.3–22.4% 18.0–22.8% 17.3–23.6%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.1–15.6% 11.8–15.9% 11.2–16.7%
Levica 9.3% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.9%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Konkretno 0.0% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije 1.1% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Dobra država 1.5% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Slovenska ljudska stranka 2.6% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 23 23 23 21–23 18–23
Lista Roberta Goloba 0 23 23 23 21–23 19–23
Socialni demokrati 10 13 13 13 13 12–14
Levica 9 9 9 9 8–9 7–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 5 5 5–6 5–7
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 5 5 5 5 5–6
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Konkretno 0 4 4 4 4 0–4
Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.5% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.5%  
19 1.4% 99.3%  
20 0.4% 98%  
21 0.2% 98%  
22 0.1% 97%  
23 97% 97% Median
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
26 0% 0%  

Lista Roberta Goloba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Roberta Goloba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 2% 99.9%  
20 0.6% 98%  
21 0.3% 98%  
22 0% 97%  
23 97% 97% Median
24 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 2% 100%  
13 97% 98% Median
14 0.6% 0.9%  
15 0.1% 0.3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 1.2% 98%  
9 97% 97% Last Result, Median
10 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 97% 99.8% Median
6 0.8% 3%  
7 2% 2% Last Result
8 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 98% 99.8% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 1.2% 3%  
5 1.4% 1.4% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Konkretno

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 99.0% 99.1% Median
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Andrej Čuš in Zeleni Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 28 0% 28 28 27–28 23–28
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 28 0% 28 28 27–28 23–28
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 23 0% 23 23 23 23–27
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 23 0% 23 23 23 23–27
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 18 0% 18 18 18 17–20
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 18 0% 18 18 18 17–20

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.5% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.5%  
24 0% 99.1%  
25 1.2% 99.1%  
26 0.4% 98%  
27 0.3% 98%  
28 97% 97% Median
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.5% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.5%  
24 0% 99.1%  
25 1.2% 99.1%  
26 0.4% 98%  
27 0.3% 98%  
28 97% 97% Median
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 98% 100% Median
24 0.2% 2%  
25 1.4% 2%  
26 0.2% 0.7%  
27 0.4% 0.5%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 98% 100% Median
24 0.2% 2%  
25 1.4% 2%  
26 0.2% 0.7%  
27 0.4% 0.5%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.5% 100%  
18 98.7% 99.5% Median
19 0% 0.8%  
20 0.4% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.3%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.5% 100%  
18 98.7% 99.5% Median
19 0% 0.8%  
20 0.4% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.3%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations