Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24, 25–27 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 25.9% 24.2–27.7% 23.7–28.2% 23.3–28.7% 22.6–29.5%
Lista Roberta Goloba 0.0% 22.8% 21.2–24.5% 20.7–25.0% 20.3–25.4% 19.6–26.2%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.3–15.8% 11.9–16.1% 11.3–16.9%
Levica 9.3% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.6–11.0%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.5%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.4%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Naša dežela 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.1%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 26 23–27 23–28 23–28 22–29
Lista Roberta Goloba 0 22 21–24 21–25 20–25 19–26
Socialni demokrati 10 14 12–17 12–17 11–17 11–17
Levica 9 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 6 5–8 4–8 4–8 4–9
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 6 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.3% 100%  
22 0.6% 99.7%  
23 9% 99.1%  
24 12% 90%  
25 13% 78% Last Result
26 30% 65% Median
27 27% 35%  
28 6% 8%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Lista Roberta Goloba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Roberta Goloba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.3% 100%  
19 0.8% 99.7%  
20 3% 98.9%  
21 10% 96%  
22 43% 85% Median
23 11% 42%  
24 23% 31%  
25 6% 8%  
26 1.5% 2%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 4% 99.9%  
12 7% 96%  
13 16% 89%  
14 44% 74% Median
15 4% 29%  
16 8% 25%  
17 17% 17%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.8% 100%  
7 10% 99.2%  
8 47% 89% Median
9 36% 42% Last Result
10 5% 6%  
11 0.2% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 6% 100%  
5 27% 94%  
6 47% 67% Median
7 6% 20% Last Result
8 13% 14%  
9 1.0% 1.0%  
10 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 29% 99.8%  
5 15% 71%  
6 54% 56% Median
7 1.3% 1.5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100%  
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 0% 64%  
4 36% 64% Median
5 23% 28% Last Result
6 4% 4%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0.6% 55%  
4 50% 54% Median
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.4% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 30 0% 29–33 29–34 28–34 27–35
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 30 0% 29–33 29–34 28–34 27–35
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 25 0% 23–28 23–30 22–30 21–30
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 25 0% 23–28 23–30 22–30 21–30
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 19 0% 18–23 17–23 17–23 16–24
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 19 0% 18–23 17–23 17–23 16–24

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.6%  
28 3% 99.4%  
29 8% 97%  
30 39% 89%  
31 14% 50%  
32 10% 36% Median
33 17% 26%  
34 8% 9%  
35 0.4% 0.7%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.6%  
28 3% 99.4%  
29 8% 97%  
30 39% 89%  
31 14% 50%  
32 10% 36% Median
33 17% 26%  
34 8% 9%  
35 0.4% 0.7%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.7%  
22 4% 99.5%  
23 6% 96%  
24 35% 90%  
25 10% 55%  
26 15% 45% Median
27 3% 30%  
28 18% 26%  
29 1.3% 8%  
30 6% 7%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.7%  
22 4% 99.5%  
23 6% 96%  
24 35% 90%  
25 10% 55%  
26 15% 45% Median
27 3% 30%  
28 18% 26%  
29 1.3% 8%  
30 6% 7% Last Result
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.3% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.7%  
17 8% 98.8%  
18 35% 90%  
19 10% 56%  
20 19% 46% Median
21 2% 26%  
22 7% 24%  
23 17% 17%  
24 0.8% 0.8%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.3% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.7%  
17 8% 98.8%  
18 35% 90%  
19 10% 56%  
20 19% 46% Median
21 2% 26%  
22 7% 24%  
23 17% 17% Last Result
24 0.8% 0.8%  
25 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations