Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Planet TV, 1–30 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 28.3% 26.2–30.6% 25.7–31.2% 25.2–31.7% 24.2–32.8%
Lista Roberta Goloba 0.0% 20.3% 18.5–22.3% 17.9–22.9% 17.5–23.4% 16.7–24.4%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 10.1% 8.8–11.7% 8.5–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%
Levica 9.3% 7.2% 6.1–8.6% 5.8–9.0% 5.5–9.4% 5.1–10.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.8% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.6% 5.2–8.9% 4.7–9.6%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 6.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.5–8.0% 4.0–8.6%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 4.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.5–6.7% 3.1–7.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 3.5% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.6% 1.7–5.1%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%
Dobra država 1.5% 1.5% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.7–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 29 27–33 26–33 26–33 25–36
Lista Roberta Goloba 0 20 19–23 18–24 18–24 18–25
Socialni demokrati 10 10 9–12 8–12 7–13 7–13
Levica 9 7 6–9 5–9 5–10 5–10
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–10
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 6 5–7 4–9 0–9 0–9
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Naša dežela 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.2% 99.9%  
25 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
26 9% 98.7%  
27 14% 90%  
28 15% 76%  
29 11% 61% Median
30 5% 50%  
31 6% 45%  
32 8% 38%  
33 29% 31%  
34 0.5% 2%  
35 0.6% 1.1%  
36 0.1% 0.5%  
37 0.4% 0.4%  
38 0% 0%  

Lista Roberta Goloba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Roberta Goloba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.2% 100%  
18 7% 99.8%  
19 15% 93%  
20 38% 78% Median
21 22% 40%  
22 6% 18%  
23 4% 12%  
24 7% 8%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 4% 100%  
8 3% 96%  
9 42% 92%  
10 14% 51% Last Result, Median
11 20% 37%  
12 13% 17%  
13 4% 4%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100%  
5 5% 99.5%  
6 12% 94%  
7 50% 82% Median
8 21% 33%  
9 7% 12% Last Result
10 4% 4%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 12% 99.4%  
6 25% 88%  
7 30% 63% Last Result, Median
8 27% 32%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 3% 97%  
5 38% 95%  
6 14% 57% Median
7 34% 43%  
8 3% 9%  
9 6% 6%  
10 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 10% 78%  
5 35% 68% Median
6 32% 33%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Median
1 0% 39%  
2 0% 39%  
3 0% 39%  
4 31% 39% Last Result
5 8% 8%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 25%  
2 0% 25%  
3 0% 25%  
4 18% 25%  
5 7% 7%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 14% 14%  
5 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 33 0% 31–39 29–39 29–39 28–39
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 33 0% 31–39 29–39 29–39 28–39
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 22 0% 16–23 16–24 16–25 16–26
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 22 0% 16–23 16–24 16–25 16–26
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 15 0% 10–16 9–17 9–17 9–18
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 15 0% 10–16 9–17 9–17 9–18

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.7%  
29 6% 99.4%  
30 0.8% 94%  
31 8% 93%  
32 19% 85%  
33 24% 66%  
34 9% 42% Median
35 3% 34%  
36 2% 31%  
37 11% 29%  
38 0.5% 18%  
39 17% 18%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.3% 99.7%  
29 6% 99.4%  
30 0.8% 94%  
31 8% 93%  
32 19% 85%  
33 24% 66%  
34 9% 42% Median
35 3% 34%  
36 2% 31%  
37 11% 29%  
38 0.5% 18% Last Result
39 17% 18%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.8%  
16 10% 99.5%  
17 5% 90%  
18 3% 84%  
19 7% 81%  
20 8% 74%  
21 7% 66%  
22 26% 59% Median
23 24% 33%  
24 5% 9%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.2% 0.5%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.8%  
16 10% 99.5%  
17 5% 90%  
18 3% 84%  
19 7% 81%  
20 8% 74%  
21 7% 66%  
22 26% 59% Median
23 24% 33%  
24 5% 9%  
25 3% 4%  
26 0.2% 0.5%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 10% 99.9%  
10 2% 90%  
11 2% 88%  
12 11% 86%  
13 6% 75%  
14 8% 69%  
15 26% 61% Median
16 28% 35%  
17 6% 7%  
18 1.1% 1.4%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 10% 99.9%  
10 2% 90%  
11 2% 88%  
12 11% 86%  
13 6% 75%  
14 8% 69%  
15 26% 61% Median
16 28% 35%  
17 6% 7%  
18 1.1% 1.4%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations