Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Gibanje Svoboda |
0.0% |
25.6% |
23.6–27.8% |
23.0–28.4% |
22.6–29.0% |
21.6–30.0% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
19.2% |
17.4–21.2% |
16.9–21.7% |
16.4–22.2% |
15.6–23.2% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
9.3% |
8.0–10.8% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.4–11.7% |
6.8–12.4% |
Levica |
9.3% |
7.0% |
5.9–8.4% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.4–9.2% |
4.9–9.9% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
6.8% |
5.7–8.1% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.1–8.9% |
4.7–9.6% |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
4.8% |
3.9–6.0% |
3.7–6.3% |
3.4–6.6% |
3.1–7.2% |
Povežimo Slovenijo |
0.0% |
4.8% |
3.9–6.0% |
3.7–6.3% |
3.4–6.6% |
3.1–7.2% |
Naša dežela |
0.0% |
4.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.2–6.3% |
2.8–6.9% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.4–5.2% |
2.1–5.7% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije |
2.2% |
3.1% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.2–4.4% |
2.1–4.6% |
1.8–5.2% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.3% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.5–3.8% |
1.3–4.3% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
1.3% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.4% |
0.5–2.8% |
Dobra država |
1.5% |
1.3% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.7–2.4% |
0.5–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Gibanje Svoboda
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
23 |
17% |
97% |
|
24 |
3% |
80% |
|
25 |
28% |
78% |
Median |
26 |
14% |
50% |
|
27 |
7% |
36% |
|
28 |
7% |
29% |
|
29 |
12% |
22% |
|
30 |
3% |
10% |
|
31 |
6% |
7% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
19% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
11% |
81% |
|
18 |
14% |
70% |
|
19 |
9% |
56% |
Median |
20 |
15% |
47% |
|
21 |
9% |
32% |
|
22 |
12% |
24% |
|
23 |
9% |
11% |
|
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
11% |
98% |
|
8 |
15% |
87% |
|
9 |
25% |
72% |
Median |
10 |
34% |
47% |
Last Result |
11 |
7% |
14% |
|
12 |
6% |
7% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
14% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
17% |
86% |
|
7 |
46% |
69% |
Median |
8 |
14% |
23% |
|
9 |
8% |
9% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
5% |
100% |
|
5 |
31% |
95% |
|
6 |
20% |
64% |
Median |
7 |
19% |
44% |
Last Result |
8 |
15% |
25% |
|
9 |
6% |
11% |
|
10 |
4% |
4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
86% |
|
2 |
0% |
86% |
|
3 |
0% |
86% |
|
4 |
24% |
86% |
|
5 |
42% |
62% |
Median |
6 |
15% |
20% |
|
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Povežimo Slovenijo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
84% |
|
2 |
0% |
84% |
|
3 |
0% |
84% |
|
4 |
47% |
84% |
Median |
5 |
21% |
38% |
|
6 |
15% |
17% |
|
7 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Naša dežela
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
66% |
|
2 |
0% |
66% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
66% |
|
4 |
29% |
66% |
Median |
5 |
25% |
37% |
|
6 |
11% |
12% |
|
7 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
59% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
41% |
|
2 |
0% |
41% |
|
3 |
0% |
41% |
|
4 |
21% |
41% |
|
5 |
20% |
21% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Piratska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
11% |
|
4 |
9% |
11% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Dobra država
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
23 |
0% |
20–28 |
19–28 |
18–28 |
17–29 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca |
38 |
23 |
0% |
20–28 |
19–28 |
18–28 |
17–29 |
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
20 |
0% |
17–23 |
15–25 |
14–25 |
13–25 |
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca |
30 |
20 |
0% |
17–23 |
15–25 |
14–25 |
13–25 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
14 |
0% |
10–16 |
10–17 |
9–18 |
7–18 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca |
23 |
14 |
0% |
10–16 |
10–17 |
9–18 |
7–18 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
20 |
8% |
95% |
|
21 |
19% |
87% |
|
22 |
12% |
68% |
|
23 |
9% |
56% |
|
24 |
9% |
47% |
Median |
25 |
3% |
37% |
|
26 |
13% |
34% |
|
27 |
11% |
21% |
|
28 |
10% |
11% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
20 |
8% |
95% |
|
21 |
19% |
87% |
|
22 |
12% |
68% |
|
23 |
9% |
56% |
|
24 |
9% |
47% |
Median |
25 |
3% |
37% |
|
26 |
13% |
34% |
|
27 |
11% |
21% |
|
28 |
10% |
11% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
3% |
96% |
|
16 |
3% |
94% |
|
17 |
4% |
91% |
|
18 |
10% |
87% |
|
19 |
12% |
78% |
|
20 |
30% |
66% |
Median |
21 |
15% |
36% |
|
22 |
3% |
21% |
|
23 |
11% |
17% |
|
24 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
25 |
5% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
3% |
96% |
|
16 |
3% |
94% |
|
17 |
4% |
91% |
|
18 |
10% |
87% |
|
19 |
12% |
78% |
|
20 |
30% |
66% |
Median |
21 |
15% |
36% |
|
22 |
3% |
21% |
|
23 |
11% |
17% |
|
24 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
25 |
5% |
5% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
10 |
9% |
95% |
|
11 |
3% |
86% |
|
12 |
9% |
84% |
|
13 |
22% |
75% |
|
14 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
39% |
|
16 |
8% |
15% |
|
17 |
2% |
6% |
|
18 |
5% |
5% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
9 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
10 |
9% |
95% |
|
11 |
3% |
86% |
|
12 |
9% |
84% |
|
13 |
22% |
75% |
|
14 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
39% |
|
16 |
8% |
15% |
|
17 |
2% |
6% |
|
18 |
5% |
5% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Mediana
- Commissioner(s): Delo
- Fieldwork period: 7–10 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 710
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.08%