Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24, 21–23 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 24.9% 23.2–26.6% 22.7–27.1% 22.3–27.6% 21.6–28.4%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 22.4% 20.8–24.1% 20.3–24.6% 20.0–25.0% 19.2–25.8%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 11.6% 10.4–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.7% 9.3–14.4%
Levica 9.3% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.4–6.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.9%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.4–5.4%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Resni.ca 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Liberalni demokrati 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 28 28 28 27–30 23–30
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 24 24 23–24 23–24 22–26
Socialni demokrati 10 13 13 12–13 11–13 11–15
Levica 9 10 10 10 9–11 9–11
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 8 8 6–8 5–8 5–8
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 5 5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberalni demokrati 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.9% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.0%  
25 0.4% 98.8%  
26 0.8% 98%  
27 1.1% 98%  
28 92% 96% Median
29 0.2% 4%  
30 4% 4%  
31 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0.5% 99.9%  
23 5% 99.4%  
24 92% 94% Median
25 1.2% 2% Last Result
26 0.4% 0.8%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 4% 99.8%  
12 0.8% 96%  
13 93% 95% Median
14 0.5% 2%  
15 1.0% 1.1%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.9% Last Result
10 93% 97% Median
11 4% 4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 4% 100%  
6 3% 96%  
7 0.8% 93%  
8 92% 92% Median
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 4% 8%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0.1% Last Result
8 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0.4% 93%  
5 92% 93% Last Result, Median
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 5% 7%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberalni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 32 0% 32 29–32 28–32 28–32
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 32 0% 32 29–32 28–32 28–32
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 21 0% 21 21 20–24 20–26
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 21 0% 21 21 20–24 20–26
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 21 0% 21 19–21 16–21 16–21
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 21 0% 21 19–21 16–21 16–21

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 4% 99.9%  
29 1.3% 96%  
30 0.4% 94%  
31 0.9% 94%  
32 93% 93% Median
33 0.1% 0.4%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 4% 99.9%  
29 1.3% 96%  
30 0.4% 94%  
31 0.9% 94%  
32 93% 93% Median
33 0.1% 0.4%  
34 0.3% 0.4%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 4% 99.9%  
21 92% 96% Median
22 0.5% 4%  
23 0.2% 3%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0% 1.3%  
26 1.2% 1.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 4% 99.9%  
21 92% 96% Median
22 0.5% 4%  
23 0.2% 3%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0% 1.3%  
26 1.2% 1.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 4% 100%  
17 0.3% 96%  
18 0.5% 96%  
19 2% 95%  
20 0.1% 94%  
21 93% 94% Median
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 4% 100%  
17 0.3% 96%  
18 0.5% 96%  
19 2% 95%  
20 0.1% 94%  
21 93% 94% Median
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1% Last Result
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations