Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 21–24 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 22.9% 20.9–25.1% 20.4–25.8% 19.9–26.3% 19.0–27.4%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 21.6% 19.6–23.7% 19.1–24.4% 18.6–24.9% 17.7–26.0%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 11.2% 9.8–13.0% 9.4–13.5% 9.1–13.9% 8.4–14.8%
Levica 9.3% 8.1% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–10.0% 6.2–10.4% 5.7–11.2%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 6.2% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.0% 4.6–8.4% 4.2–9.1%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 5.9% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7% 4.4–8.0% 3.9–8.7%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 5.8% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.5% 4.2–7.8% 3.8–8.5%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 4.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8% 3.0–6.1% 2.6–6.7%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.3% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.0% 1.9–5.6%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 2.7% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.3% 1.5–4.8%
Resni.ca 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.3% 1.5–4.8%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.4% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.4% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8% 0.2–2.1%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.7%
Liberalni demokrati 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 25 22–28 21–28 21–28 20–28
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 22 20–25 19–25 19–26 17–27
Socialni demokrati 10 11 9–13 8–13 8–13 8–16
Levica 9 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–11
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 7 6–8 5–8 4–8 0–8
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 6 5–8 5–8 4–8 4–9
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 6 4–8 4–9 4–9 4–9
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Naša dežela 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberalni demokrati 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.3% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.7%  
20 2% 99.6%  
21 4% 98%  
22 19% 94%  
23 8% 75%  
24 17% 67%  
25 11% 50% Median
26 11% 39%  
27 9% 28%  
28 18% 19%  
29 0% 0.3%  
30 0% 0.2%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.7% 99.7%  
18 0.3% 99.0%  
19 6% 98.8%  
20 4% 93%  
21 26% 89%  
22 16% 63% Median
23 27% 47%  
24 7% 21%  
25 11% 14% Last Result
26 0.7% 3%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 10% 99.9%  
9 24% 90%  
10 1.5% 66% Last Result
11 21% 65% Median
12 19% 44%  
13 23% 25%  
14 0.4% 1.3%  
15 0.2% 0.9%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 2% 99.6%  
6 14% 98%  
7 32% 84%  
8 39% 52% Median
9 9% 13% Last Result
10 2% 4%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0.2% 98%  
5 4% 97%  
6 37% 93%  
7 42% 57% Median
8 14% 15%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 4% 99.7%  
5 5% 95%  
6 59% 90% Median
7 19% 31% Last Result
8 11% 12%  
9 0.4% 0.6%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 11% 99.9%  
5 31% 89%  
6 36% 58% Median
7 6% 22%  
8 6% 16%  
9 10% 10%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 12% 47%  
5 20% 34% Last Result
6 14% 14%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 9% 14%  
5 4% 5%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 15% 16%  
5 0.4% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 4% 6%  
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberalni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 28 0% 26–30 25–31 25–32 23–32
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 28 0% 26–30 25–31 25–32 23–32
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 22 0% 20–28 20–28 19–28 19–28
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 22 0% 20–28 20–28 19–28 19–28
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 16 0% 14–21 14–22 13–22 13–22
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 16 0% 14–21 14–22 13–22 13–22

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.4% 99.8%  
24 0.9% 99.3%  
25 6% 98%  
26 4% 92%  
27 23% 88%  
28 29% 65% Median
29 2% 36%  
30 28% 34%  
31 2% 6%  
32 4% 4%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.4% 99.8%  
24 0.9% 99.3%  
25 6% 98%  
26 4% 92%  
27 23% 88%  
28 29% 65% Median
29 2% 36%  
30 27% 34%  
31 2% 6%  
32 4% 4%  
33 0.3% 0.4%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 3% 99.8%  
20 6% 96%  
21 15% 90%  
22 26% 75%  
23 14% 49% Median
24 4% 35%  
25 17% 31%  
26 0.9% 14%  
27 2% 13%  
28 11% 11%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 3% 99.8%  
20 6% 96%  
21 15% 90%  
22 26% 75%  
23 14% 49% Median
24 4% 35%  
25 17% 31%  
26 0.9% 14%  
27 2% 13%  
28 11% 11%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0.1% Last Result
31 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 4% 99.9%  
14 15% 96%  
15 14% 81%  
16 17% 67%  
17 11% 49% Median
18 20% 38%  
19 3% 18%  
20 2% 15%  
21 3% 13%  
22 10% 10%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 4% 99.9%  
14 15% 96%  
15 14% 81%  
16 17% 67%  
17 11% 49% Median
18 20% 38%  
19 3% 18%  
20 2% 15%  
21 3% 13%  
22 10% 10%  
23 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
24 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations