Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Planet TV, 23–25 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 31.1% 28.8–33.4% 28.2–34.1% 27.6–34.7% 26.6–35.9%
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 17.7% 15.9–19.7% 15.4–20.3% 14.9–20.8% 14.1–21.8%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 9.3% 8.0–10.9% 7.6–11.4% 7.3–11.8% 6.7–12.6%
Levica 9.3% 7.8% 6.6–9.3% 6.2–9.7% 5.9–10.1% 5.4–10.8%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 7.2% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–9.0% 5.4–9.4% 4.9–10.1%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 5.9% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7% 4.4–8.0% 3.9–8.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 5.2% 4.2–6.5% 3.9–6.8% 3.7–7.1% 3.3–7.8%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.4% 2.0–4.7% 1.7–5.2%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 2.9% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2% 1.9–4.5% 1.6–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 30 27–32 26–32 26–33 25–34
Gibanje Svoboda 0 17 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
Socialni demokrati 10 8 7–10 7–10 7–11 6–12
Levica 9 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 6 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 0–8
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Naša dežela 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–4
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–4

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 1.2% 99.7% Last Result
26 4% 98.5%  
27 9% 94%  
28 17% 85%  
29 18% 68%  
30 20% 50% Median
31 15% 31%  
32 11% 15%  
33 3% 5%  
34 1.3% 2%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 2% 99.8%  
14 6% 98%  
15 14% 93%  
16 27% 79%  
17 22% 52% Median
18 18% 30%  
19 9% 12%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9%  
7 16% 98%  
8 35% 82% Median
9 28% 47%  
10 15% 19% Last Result
11 3% 4%  
12 0.6% 0.6%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 5% 99.7%  
6 22% 95%  
7 38% 73% Median
8 25% 35%  
9 8% 10% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 18% 98%  
6 33% 80% Median
7 31% 47%  
8 12% 16%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98.5%  
2 0% 98.5%  
3 0.9% 98.5%  
4 20% 98%  
5 41% 78% Median
6 21% 37%  
7 14% 16%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 1.2% 94%  
4 35% 92%  
5 37% 57% Median
6 18% 20%  
7 2% 2% Last Result
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 6% 13%  
4 6% 7%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0.8% 5%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 36 0% 34–38 33–39 32–40 31–41
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 20 0% 17–22 17–22 16–23 14–24
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 15 0% 13–17 13–17 12–18 11–19

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.3% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.7%  
32 4% 99.1%  
33 4% 95%  
34 14% 91%  
35 24% 77%  
36 13% 53% Median
37 20% 40%  
38 11% 20% Last Result
39 5% 9%  
40 2% 5%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.2% 99.8%  
14 0.6% 99.6%  
15 1.5% 99.0%  
16 2% 98%  
17 12% 95%  
18 10% 84%  
19 23% 73% Median
20 21% 50%  
21 15% 29%  
22 9% 14%  
23 4% 5%  
24 0.9% 1.1%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 15% 97%  
14 25% 82% Median
15 23% 57%  
16 16% 35%  
17 14% 19%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.1% 1.3%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations