Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Gibanje Svoboda |
0.0% |
24.4% |
22.7–26.1% |
22.3–26.6% |
21.9–27.1% |
21.1–27.9% |
Slovenska demokratska stranka |
24.9% |
23.4% |
21.8–25.2% |
21.4–25.7% |
21.0–26.1% |
20.2–26.9% |
Socialni demokrati |
9.9% |
11.7% |
10.5–13.1% |
10.2–13.5% |
9.9–13.8% |
9.4–14.5% |
Levica |
9.3% |
8.7% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.1–10.5% |
6.6–11.1% |
Lista Marjana Šarca |
12.6% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.4% |
5.2–7.7% |
5.0–7.9% |
4.6–8.5% |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
7.2% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.0% |
4.5–7.3% |
4.1–7.8% |
Stranka Alenke Bratušek |
5.1% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.7% |
Stranka modernega centra |
9.7% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
3.0–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Povežimo Slovenijo |
0.0% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
3.0–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Naša dežela |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.9% |
Resni.ca |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.9% |
VESNA–Zelena stranka |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.6% |
0.9–2.9% |
Piratska stranka Slovenije |
2.2% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.7% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka |
4.2% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.6% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.0% |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
4.9% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.3% |
Dobra država |
1.5% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.1–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Gibanje Svoboda
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
2% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
98% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
24 |
0% |
98% |
|
25 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
26 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenska demokratska stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
25 |
98.6% |
99.3% |
Last Result, Median |
26 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialni demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
10 |
0.4% |
3% |
Last Result |
11 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Levica
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
9 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lista Marjana Šarca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
6 |
97% |
99.5% |
Median |
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
98.7% |
99.3% |
Median |
7 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka Alenke Bratušek
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
4 |
97% |
99.1% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Stranka modernega centra
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.7% |
|
4 |
98.7% |
98.7% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Povežimo Slovenijo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.5% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Naša dežela
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Resni.ca
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
VESNA–Zelena stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Piratska stranka Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenska nacionalna stranka
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Dobra država
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
31 |
0% |
31 |
31 |
31 |
30–32 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca |
38 |
31 |
0% |
31 |
31 |
31 |
30–32 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
50 |
29 |
0% |
29 |
29 |
29 |
25–35 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
45 |
25 |
0% |
25 |
25 |
25 |
24–30 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra |
40 |
25 |
0% |
25 |
25 |
25 |
24–30 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
35 |
21 |
0% |
21 |
21 |
21–24 |
21–26 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati |
30 |
21 |
0% |
21 |
21 |
21–24 |
21–26 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
43 |
23 |
0% |
23 |
23 |
23 |
17–29 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
38 |
19 |
0% |
19 |
19 |
19 |
17–24 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra |
33 |
19 |
0% |
19 |
19 |
19 |
17–24 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
28 |
15 |
0% |
15 |
15 |
15–17 |
15–20 |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca |
23 |
15 |
0% |
15 |
15 |
15–17 |
15–20 |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije |
25 |
13 |
0% |
13 |
13 |
13 |
11–17 |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
97% |
99.4% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
97% |
99.4% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
29 |
97% |
98.8% |
Median |
30 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
31 |
0% |
2% |
|
32 |
0% |
2% |
|
33 |
0% |
2% |
|
34 |
0% |
2% |
|
35 |
2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
97% |
99.3% |
Median |
26 |
0% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
28 |
0% |
2% |
|
29 |
0% |
2% |
|
30 |
2% |
2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
97% |
99.3% |
Median |
26 |
0% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
28 |
0% |
2% |
|
29 |
0% |
2% |
|
30 |
2% |
2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
22 |
0% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
22 |
0% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
23 |
97% |
98.8% |
Median |
24 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
26 |
0% |
2% |
|
27 |
0% |
2% |
|
28 |
0% |
2% |
|
29 |
2% |
2% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
19 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
20 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
2% |
|
24 |
2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
19 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
20 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
2% |
|
24 |
2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
16 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
16 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
14 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ninamedia
- Commissioner(s): Dnevnik, Večer
- Fieldwork period: 7–10 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1050
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.44%