Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 7–10 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 24.4% 22.7–26.1% 22.3–26.6% 21.9–27.1% 21.1–27.9%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 23.4% 21.8–25.2% 21.4–25.7% 21.0–26.1% 20.2–26.9%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.2–13.5% 9.9–13.8% 9.4–14.5%
Levica 9.3% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
Stranka modernega centra 9.7% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Naša dežela 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.9%
Resni.ca 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.9%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–2.9%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 25 25 25 25 21–27
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 25 25 25 25 23–27
Socialni demokrati 10 9 9 9 9–11 9–13
Levica 9 9 9 9 8–9 7–9
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 6 6 6 6 6–7
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 6 6 6 6 5–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 4 4 4 4 0–5
Stranka modernega centra 10 4 4 4 4 0–4
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 2% 100%  
22 0% 98%  
23 0.1% 98%  
24 0% 98%  
25 97% 98% Median
26 0.2% 1.1%  
27 0.5% 0.9%  
28 0.4% 0.4%  
29 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.5%  
24 0.1% 99.4%  
25 98.6% 99.3% Last Result, Median
26 0% 0.7%  
27 0.5% 0.7%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 97% 100% Median
10 0.4% 3% Last Result
11 0.3% 3%  
12 0.5% 2%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 0.8% 98%  
9 97% 97% Last Result, Median
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 97% 99.5% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.6% 99.9%  
6 98.7% 99.3% Median
7 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 97% 99.1% Median
5 2% 2% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Stranka modernega centra

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka modernega centra page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100%  
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0% 98.7%  
4 98.7% 98.7% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 31 0% 31 31 31 30–32
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 31 0% 31 31 31 30–32
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 50 29 0% 29 29 29 25–35
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 45 25 0% 25 25 25 24–30
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra 40 25 0% 25 25 25 24–30
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 21 0% 21 21 21–24 21–26
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 21 0% 21 21 21–24 21–26
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 23 0% 23 23 23 17–29
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 38 19 0% 19 19 19 17–24
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra 33 19 0% 19 19 19 17–24
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 15 0% 15 15 15–17 15–20
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 15 0% 15 15 15–17 15–20
Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 25 13 0% 13 13 13 11–17

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 97% 99.4% Median
32 2% 2%  
33 0% 0.3%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.8%  
31 97% 99.4% Median
32 2% 2%  
33 0% 0.3%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.3% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.7%  
26 0% 99.3%  
27 0.5% 99.3%  
28 0% 98.8%  
29 97% 98.8% Median
30 0.1% 2%  
31 0% 2%  
32 0% 2%  
33 0% 2%  
34 0% 2%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0% Majority
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.4% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.6%  
25 97% 99.3% Median
26 0% 2%  
27 0.1% 2%  
28 0% 2%  
29 0% 2%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.4% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.6%  
25 97% 99.3% Median
26 0% 2%  
27 0.1% 2%  
28 0% 2%  
29 0% 2%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 97% 100% Median
22 0% 3%  
23 0.4% 3%  
24 0.3% 3%  
25 0.4% 2%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 97% 100% Median
22 0% 3%  
23 0.4% 3%  
24 0.3% 3%  
25 0.4% 2%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka Alenke Bratušek – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.6% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.4%  
19 0% 99.4%  
20 0% 99.3%  
21 0.1% 99.3%  
22 0.5% 99.3%  
23 97% 98.8% Median
24 0.1% 2%  
25 0.1% 2%  
26 0% 2%  
27 0% 2%  
28 0% 2%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.6% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.4%  
19 97% 98.9% Median
20 0.1% 2%  
21 0.1% 2%  
22 0.1% 2%  
23 0% 2%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Stranka modernega centra

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.6% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.4%  
19 97% 98.9% Median
20 0.1% 2%  
21 0.1% 2%  
22 0.1% 2%  
23 0% 2%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 97% 100% Median
16 0.1% 3%  
17 0.6% 3%  
18 0.4% 2%  
19 0.1% 2%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 97% 100% Median
16 0.1% 3%  
17 0.6% 3%  
18 0.4% 2%  
19 0.1% 2%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Stranka modernega centra – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.7%  
12 0.5% 99.4%  
13 97% 98.9% Median
14 0.1% 2%  
15 0% 2%  
16 0.1% 2%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations