Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24, 21–24 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 25.7% 24.0–27.5% 23.6–28.0% 23.2–28.5% 22.4–29.3%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 24.3% 22.6–26.0% 22.2–26.6% 21.8–27.0% 21.0–27.8%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 10.7% 9.5–12.0% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.7% 8.4–13.3%
Levica 9.3% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.2–11.8% 7.7–12.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–7.9% 4.6–8.5%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.9%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 24 22–26 22–26 21–27 20–28
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 23 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–26
Socialni demokrati 10 10 9–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
Levica 9 9 8–10 7–10 7–11 7–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 5–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 4–7
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 3 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.9%  
21 4% 99.3%  
22 11% 96%  
23 26% 84%  
24 23% 59% Median
25 22% 35%  
26 9% 13%  
27 3% 4%  
28 0.6% 0.7%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.9% 99.9%  
20 5% 99.0%  
21 16% 94%  
22 24% 79%  
23 29% 55% Median
24 18% 26%  
25 6% 8% Last Result
26 2% 2%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.7% 100%  
8 8% 99.3%  
9 34% 91%  
10 40% 58% Last Result, Median
11 13% 17%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 6% 99.8%  
8 34% 94%  
9 40% 60% Last Result, Median
10 15% 20%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 8% 99.9%  
5 47% 92% Median
6 34% 45%  
7 10% 11% Last Result
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 14% 99.8%  
5 37% 86% Median
6 43% 49%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 0% 64%  
2 0% 64%  
3 19% 64% Median
4 39% 45%  
5 6% 6%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 65% 100% Median
1 0% 35%  
2 0% 35%  
3 12% 35%  
4 22% 23%  
5 0.9% 0.9% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 28 0% 26–30 25–30 25–31 24–32
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 21 0% 19–22 18–23 18–23 17–24
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 15 0% 14–16 13–17 13–18 12–18

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.8% 99.9%  
25 7% 99.1%  
26 11% 92%  
27 18% 82%  
28 21% 64% Median
29 24% 43%  
30 15% 19%  
31 3% 4%  
32 1.2% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.2% 99.8%  
18 5% 98.6%  
19 14% 94%  
20 27% 80% Median
21 30% 53%  
22 14% 22%  
23 6% 8%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 9% 99.0%  
14 20% 90%  
15 31% 70% Median
16 29% 39%  
17 7% 10%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations