Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Planet TV, 22–24 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 30.8% 29.0–32.7% 28.5–33.3% 28.0–33.7% 27.2–34.7%
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 20.6% 19.1–22.3% 18.6–22.8% 18.2–23.2% 17.5–24.1%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.4%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Levica 9.3% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Naša dežela 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Resni.ca 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 32 30–36 29–36 29–36 28–38
Gibanje Svoboda 0 21 19–22 19–23 17–25 17–26
Socialni demokrati 10 11 10–13 10–13 9–14 8–15
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 9 8–12 8–12 8–12 7–13
Levica 9 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 0–7
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 4 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 2% 100%  
29 4% 98%  
30 7% 94%  
31 26% 88%  
32 16% 62% Median
33 14% 46%  
34 9% 32%  
35 8% 23%  
36 13% 15%  
37 0.6% 2%  
38 1.0% 1.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 3% 100%  
18 2% 97%  
19 18% 96%  
20 22% 78%  
21 7% 55% Median
22 43% 48%  
23 2% 6%  
24 0.9% 4%  
25 1.4% 3%  
26 1.1% 1.3%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.2% 100%  
9 4% 98.8%  
10 39% 95% Last Result
11 14% 56% Median
12 32% 42%  
13 6% 10%  
14 3% 4%  
15 1.2% 1.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.1% 100%  
8 13% 98.9%  
9 39% 86% Median
10 24% 47%  
11 9% 23%  
12 12% 15%  
13 2% 2% Last Result
14 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 0% 98.5%  
2 0% 98.5%  
3 0% 98.5%  
4 17% 98.5%  
5 61% 81% Median
6 13% 20%  
7 7% 8%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 31% 75% Median
5 25% 44%  
6 18% 19%  
7 1.2% 1.5%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 35% 83% Median
5 25% 49%  
6 19% 23%  
7 5% 5% Last Result
8 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 18% 18%  
5 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 43 17% 40–46 39–46 37–46 37–47
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 42 13% 40–46 39–46 37–46 37–47
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 24 0% 21–30 21–30 21–30 18–31
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 24 0% 21–30 21–30 21–30 18–31
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 20 0% 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–25
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 20 0% 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–25

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 2% 99.9%  
38 0.9% 97%  
39 2% 97%  
40 15% 94%  
41 17% 79% Median
42 12% 62%  
43 19% 50% Last Result
44 10% 31%  
45 4% 21%  
46 16% 17% Majority
47 0.4% 0.8%  
48 0.3% 0.5%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 2% 99.9%  
38 0.9% 97% Last Result
39 2% 96%  
40 15% 94%  
41 17% 79% Median
42 16% 62%  
43 19% 46%  
44 10% 27%  
45 4% 17%  
46 12% 13% Majority
47 0.4% 0.8%  
48 0.3% 0.5%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 1.2% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 98.7%  
20 0.3% 98.6%  
21 9% 98%  
22 3% 89%  
23 12% 86%  
24 30% 75% Median
25 10% 44%  
26 7% 35%  
27 3% 28%  
28 7% 25%  
29 7% 18%  
30 10% 11%  
31 0.7% 0.7%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 1.2% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 98.7%  
20 0.3% 98.6%  
21 9% 98%  
22 3% 89%  
23 12% 86%  
24 34% 75% Median
25 10% 40%  
26 7% 31%  
27 3% 24%  
28 3% 21%  
29 7% 18%  
30 10% 11% Last Result
31 0.7% 0.7%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 1.0% 100%  
18 5% 99.0%  
19 22% 94%  
20 29% 72% Median
21 10% 43%  
22 4% 33%  
23 8% 29%  
24 17% 22%  
25 5% 5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 1.0% 100%  
18 5% 98.9%  
19 22% 94%  
20 33% 72% Median
21 10% 39%  
22 4% 29%  
23 8% 25% Last Result
24 13% 18%  
25 5% 5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations