Opinion Poll by Parsifal for Nova24TV, 1–5 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 28.3% 26.4–30.3% 25.8–30.8% 25.4–31.3% 24.5–32.3%
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 22.7% 21.0–24.6% 20.5–25.1% 20.1–25.6% 19.2–26.5%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 10.7% 9.4–12.1% 9.1–12.5% 8.8–12.9% 8.2–13.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.1% 5.2–7.3% 4.9–7.6% 4.7–7.9% 4.3–8.5%
Levica 9.3% 5.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.2–6.8% 4.0–7.0% 3.7–7.6%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.7–6.6% 3.4–7.2%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.9% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.9%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.6% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.8% 2.6–5.1% 2.3–5.6%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.6%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.3–4.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.3–4.1%
Resni.ca 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.2–3.1% 1.0–3.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.6–2.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 30 29–33 29–35 29–35 27–36
Gibanje Svoboda 0 24 23–25 23–27 23–27 21–30
Socialni demokrati 10 12 11–13 9–13 9–14 9–14
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 6–8 5–8 5–8 4–8
Levica 9 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 0–7
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–7 0–8
Naša dežela 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 0 0 0 0 0–4
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.8%  
28 0.4% 99.5%  
29 39% 99.1%  
30 42% 60% Median
31 3% 18%  
32 2% 14%  
33 3% 12%  
34 0.7% 9%  
35 6% 8%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 1.5% 99.9%  
22 0.5% 98%  
23 38% 98%  
24 17% 60% Median
25 36% 43%  
26 2% 7%  
27 3% 5%  
28 0.4% 2%  
29 0.4% 2%  
30 1.2% 1.3%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 8% 99.9%  
10 2% 92% Last Result
11 9% 91%  
12 43% 81% Median
13 36% 38%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.0% 100%  
5 8% 99.0%  
6 39% 91%  
7 7% 53% Last Result, Median
8 45% 46%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0.6% 98%  
5 13% 98%  
6 78% 85% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 2% 99.1%  
5 86% 97% Median
6 8% 11%  
7 2% 3%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 47%  
2 0% 47%  
3 0% 47%  
4 45% 47%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Median
1 0% 43%  
2 0% 43%  
3 0% 43%  
4 36% 43%  
5 7% 7% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.5% 0.8%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 30 0% 29–33 29–35 29–36 28–36
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 30 0% 29–33 29–35 29–36 28–36
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 19 0% 17–20 15–20 14–21 14–22
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 19 0% 17–20 15–20 14–21 14–22
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 12 0% 11–13 9–13 9–14 9–16
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 12 0% 11–13 9–13 9–14 9–16

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.7%  
29 39% 99.4%  
30 42% 60% Median
31 3% 18%  
32 2% 15%  
33 3% 13%  
34 0.7% 10%  
35 6% 9%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 99.7%  
29 39% 99.4%  
30 42% 60% Median
31 3% 18%  
32 2% 15%  
33 3% 13%  
34 0.7% 10%  
35 6% 9%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 5% 100%  
15 0.2% 95%  
16 5% 95%  
17 5% 90%  
18 0.8% 86%  
19 42% 85% Median
20 39% 43%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.5% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.4%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 5% 100%  
15 0.2% 95%  
16 5% 95%  
17 5% 90%  
18 0.8% 86%  
19 42% 85% Median
20 39% 43%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.5% 0.7%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 8% 100%  
10 2% 92%  
11 8% 91%  
12 43% 82% Median
13 36% 39%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.4% 1.1%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 8% 100%  
10 2% 92%  
11 8% 91%  
12 43% 82% Median
13 36% 39%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.4% 1.0%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations