Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, POP TV, 4–7 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 24.5% 22.9–26.3% 22.4–26.8% 22.0–27.3% 21.2–28.1%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 23.0% 21.4–24.7% 20.9–25.2% 20.5–25.7% 19.8–26.5%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.2–11.8% 7.7–12.5%
Levica 9.3% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.3–5.3%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Naša dežela 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Resni.ca 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 26 24–30 24–30 24–32 23–32
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 26 23–28 23–28 22–28 22–29
Socialni demokrati 10 10 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–13
Levica 9 7 7–9 6–9 5–10 5–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–9
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 6 5–7 5–7 0–7 0–8
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0–4
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.3% 100%  
23 0.8% 99.7%  
24 43% 98.9%  
25 3% 56%  
26 8% 53% Median
27 11% 45%  
28 11% 34%  
29 10% 22%  
30 9% 12%  
31 0.6% 3%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 4% 99.7%  
23 6% 96%  
24 14% 90%  
25 6% 76% Last Result
26 49% 70% Median
27 4% 21%  
28 17% 18%  
29 0.8% 0.9%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.2% 100%  
9 15% 98.7%  
10 45% 84% Last Result, Median
11 22% 39%  
12 14% 17%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 4% 100%  
6 3% 96%  
7 57% 93% Median
8 10% 36%  
9 22% 27% Last Result
10 3% 5%  
11 1.4% 1.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.1% 100%  
6 49% 98.8%  
7 19% 50% Last Result, Median
8 18% 31%  
9 12% 13%  
10 0.2% 0.3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0.6% 97%  
5 23% 96%  
6 58% 73% Median
7 14% 16%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 9% 51% Median
5 42% 42% Last Result
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 51% 55% Median
5 2% 5%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 7% 7%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 0.7% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0.5% 0.9% Last Result
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 32 0% 29–33 28–34 28–35 25–35
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 32 0% 29–33 28–34 28–35 25–35
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 22 0% 21–26 21–26 20–27 18–28
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 22 0% 21–26 21–26 20–27 18–28
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 16 0% 14–18 14–18 12–20 11–20
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 16 0% 14–18 14–18 12–20 11–20

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 1.4% 100%  
26 0.2% 98.6%  
27 0.3% 98%  
28 5% 98%  
29 10% 93%  
30 8% 83%  
31 6% 75%  
32 48% 69% Median
33 15% 21%  
34 2% 6%  
35 4% 4%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 1.4% 100%  
26 0.2% 98.6%  
27 0.3% 98%  
28 5% 98%  
29 10% 93%  
30 8% 83%  
31 6% 75%  
32 48% 69% Median
33 15% 21%  
34 2% 6%  
35 4% 4%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 1.5% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 98%  
20 2% 98%  
21 6% 96%  
22 42% 90%  
23 5% 48% Median
24 20% 43%  
25 11% 22%  
26 7% 11%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.1% 1.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 1.5% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 98%  
20 2% 98%  
21 6% 96%  
22 42% 90%  
23 5% 48% Median
24 20% 43%  
25 11% 22%  
26 7% 11%  
27 2% 4%  
28 1.1% 1.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 1.5% 99.9%  
12 1.4% 98%  
13 0.2% 97%  
14 8% 97%  
15 7% 89%  
16 51% 81% Median
17 12% 31%  
18 15% 19%  
19 0.8% 4%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 1.5% 99.9%  
12 1.4% 98%  
13 0.2% 97%  
14 8% 97%  
15 7% 89%  
16 51% 81% Median
17 12% 31%  
18 15% 19%  
19 0.8% 4%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations