Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnvnk, Včr, PrmNvc, Svt24, 4–7 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 26.9% 25.1–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.6% 23.5–30.5%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 22.8% 21.2–24.5% 20.7–25.0% 20.3–25.4% 19.6–26.2%
Levica 9.3% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.3–13.6% 10.0–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.3%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.1–6.4%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 3.7% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Resni.ca 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Naša dežela 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Dobra država 1.5% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 29 23–30 23–30 23–30 23–33
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 25 22–25 22–25 22–26 21–26
Levica 9 12 12–13 12–14 12–14 11–16
Socialni demokrati 10 11 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 5 5–6 5–7 5–7 4–8
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 5 4–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobra država 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 30% 100%  
24 0.1% 70%  
25 0.6% 70%  
26 0.7% 69%  
27 10% 68%  
28 5% 58%  
29 12% 54% Median
30 40% 42%  
31 0.4% 2%  
32 0.4% 1.2%  
33 0.6% 0.8%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 1.5% 100%  
22 10% 98.5%  
23 4% 88%  
24 33% 84%  
25 49% 52% Last Result, Median
26 3% 3%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0.4% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.5%  
12 57% 98% Median
13 34% 41%  
14 6% 7%  
15 0.4% 1.0%  
16 0.3% 0.6%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 11% 99.7%  
10 21% 89% Last Result
11 67% 68% Median
12 0.6% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0.6% 99.9%  
5 69% 99.4% Median
6 25% 30%  
7 3% 5%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 36% 95%  
5 58% 59% Median
6 1.1% 1.2%  
7 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
8 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Median
1 0% 44%  
2 0% 44%  
3 0% 44%  
4 43% 44%  
5 0.9% 1.2% Last Result
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0% 45%  
4 44% 45%  
5 0.6% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobra država

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobra država page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 30 0% 28–31 28–31 28–32 26–33
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 30 0% 28–31 28–31 28–32 26–33
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 21 0% 20–21 18–21 17–22 15–22
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 30 21 0% 20–21 18–21 17–22 15–22
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 16 0% 15–16 15–17 15–18 14–18
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 16 0% 15–16 15–17 15–18 14–18

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.9% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.1%  
28 12% 98.8%  
29 32% 87%  
30 37% 55% Median
31 15% 18%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.3% 0.3%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.9% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.1%  
28 12% 98.8%  
29 32% 87%  
30 37% 55% Median
31 15% 18%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.3% 0.3%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 2% 99.8%  
16 0.3% 98%  
17 3% 98%  
18 1.0% 95%  
19 1.2% 94%  
20 41% 93%  
21 48% 52% Median
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0% 99.8%  
15 2% 99.8%  
16 0.3% 98%  
17 3% 98%  
18 1.0% 95%  
19 1.2% 94%  
20 41% 93%  
21 48% 52% Median
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 99.6%  
15 12% 98.5%  
16 81% 87% Median
17 3% 6%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 1.1% 99.6%  
15 12% 98.5%  
16 81% 87% Median
17 3% 6%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations