Opinion Poll by Parsifal for TS media, 14–19 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 29.2% 27.4–31.2% 26.9–31.7% 26.4–32.2% 25.6–33.1%
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 28.4% 26.6–30.3% 26.1–30.9% 25.6–31.4% 24.8–32.3%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.1–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.6% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.7–8.9%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.4–7.1%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.4–7.1%
Levica 9.3% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.8% 2.6–5.0% 2.3–5.5%
Naša dežela 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.4%
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5.1% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Resni.ca 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.2%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4.2% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 4.9% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 31 29–34 28–34 28–35 28–35
Gibanje Svoboda 0 30 28–32 28–34 28–35 27–35
Socialni demokrati 10 8 7–9 6–9 6–9 6–11
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 7 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–10
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 5 5–6 0–6 0–7 0–8
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 6 4–7 0–7 0–7 0–7
Levica 9 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Naša dežela 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stranka Alenke Bratušek 5 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka 4 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 5 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 8% 99.7%  
29 4% 92%  
30 10% 88%  
31 29% 77% Median
32 31% 48%  
33 7% 17%  
34 7% 10%  
35 3% 3%  
36 0.2% 0.4%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.4% 100%  
27 1.1% 99.6%  
28 9% 98%  
29 9% 90%  
30 33% 80% Median
31 22% 47%  
32 16% 26%  
33 2% 10%  
34 4% 8%  
35 4% 4%  
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 8% 99.8%  
7 34% 92%  
8 45% 57% Median
9 10% 12%  
10 1.2% 2% Last Result
11 1.1% 1.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 7% 99.6%  
6 34% 92%  
7 33% 59% Last Result, Median
8 7% 26%  
9 18% 19%  
10 1.3% 1.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 3% 94%  
5 81% 91% Median
6 7% 10%  
7 0.9% 3%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 13% 90%  
5 21% 77%  
6 12% 56% Median
7 44% 44%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 0% 27%  
4 23% 27%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Naša dežela

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.4% 0.7%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Stranka Alenke Bratušek

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stranka Alenke Bratušek page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Resni.ca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 43 36 0% 33–39 32–39 32–40 29–41
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 36 0% 33–39 32–39 32–40 29–41
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 35 19 0% 18–22 15–22 15–23 14–24
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 19 0% 18–22 15–22 15–23 14–24
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije 28 13 0% 11–14 8–14 7–16 7–16
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 13 0% 11–14 8–14 7–16 7–16

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.6% 100%  
30 0.7% 99.4%  
31 0.3% 98.7%  
32 4% 98%  
33 7% 95%  
34 3% 88%  
35 9% 85%  
36 29% 75% Median
37 30% 47%  
38 7% 17%  
39 7% 10%  
40 2% 3%  
41 1.3% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.6% 100%  
30 0.7% 99.4%  
31 0.3% 98.7%  
32 4% 98%  
33 7% 95%  
34 3% 88%  
35 9% 85%  
36 29% 75% Median
37 30% 47%  
38 7% 17% Last Result
39 7% 10%  
40 2% 3%  
41 1.3% 2%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0.2% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 0.6% 99.6%  
15 4% 99.0%  
16 0.2% 95%  
17 2% 94%  
18 9% 92%  
19 49% 83%  
20 3% 34% Median
21 20% 31%  
22 6% 11%  
23 4% 5%  
24 0.9% 1.0%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 0.6% 99.6%  
15 4% 99.0%  
16 0.2% 95%  
17 2% 94%  
18 9% 92%  
19 49% 83%  
20 3% 34% Median
21 20% 31%  
22 6% 11%  
23 4% 5%  
24 0.9% 1.0%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca – Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 0.4% 95%  
9 0.7% 95%  
10 1.2% 94%  
11 4% 93%  
12 30% 89%  
13 44% 59% Median
14 9% 14%  
15 1.1% 5%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 0.4% 95%  
9 0.7% 95%  
10 1.2% 94%  
11 4% 93%  
12 30% 89%  
13 44% 59% Median
14 9% 14%  
15 1.1% 5%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations