Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, Večer, 10–12 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0.0% 44.3% 41.9–46.7% 41.2–47.4% 40.6–48.0% 39.5–49.2%
Slovenska demokratska stranka 24.9% 23.0% 21.0–25.1% 20.5–25.7% 20.0–26.3% 19.1–27.3%
Socialni demokrati 9.9% 6.9% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.6% 5.2–9.0% 4.7–9.7%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7.2% 6.7% 5.6–8.1% 5.3–8.5% 5.1–8.8% 4.6–9.5%
Levica 9.3% 6.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–8.0% 4.7–8.3% 4.3–9.0%
Lista Marjana Šarca 12.6% 2.9% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1% 1.9–4.4% 1.6–4.9%
Povežimo Slovenijo 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.3% 1.0–3.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije 2.2% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.2% 0.4–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Gibanje Svoboda 0 43 40–45 40–46 39–46 38–48
Slovenska demokratska stranka 25 22 20–24 19–25 19–25 18–26
Socialni demokrati 10 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati 7 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–9
Levica 9 6 5–7 4–7 4–8 4–8
Lista Marjana Šarca 13 0 0 0–3 0–4 0–4
Povežimo Slovenijo 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka 0 0 0 0 0 0

Gibanje Svoboda

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.2% 100%  
38 1.1% 99.8%  
39 3% 98.7%  
40 6% 95%  
41 18% 90%  
42 14% 72%  
43 25% 58% Median
44 16% 33%  
45 10% 17%  
46 4% 7% Majority
47 1.2% 2%  
48 0.9% 1.0%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Slovenska demokratska stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.8% 99.9%  
19 5% 99.1%  
20 10% 94%  
21 26% 84%  
22 21% 58% Median
23 20% 37%  
24 12% 18%  
25 3% 5% Last Result
26 1.4% 2%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 14% 98%  
6 44% 84% Median
7 30% 40%  
8 8% 10%  
9 1.4% 1.5%  
10 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100%  
5 21% 97%  
6 45% 76% Median
7 23% 31% Last Result
8 7% 8%  
9 0.7% 0.8%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Levica

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0.1% 99.8%  
4 7% 99.8%  
5 33% 93%  
6 37% 60% Median
7 20% 23%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Lista Marjana Šarca

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lista Marjana Šarca page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 1.3% 6%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0% Last Result

Povežimo Slovenijo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Povežimo Slovenijo page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca 38 22 0% 20–24 20–25 19–26 18–27
Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 30 12 0% 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–17
Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca 23 6 0% 5–8 5–9 5–10 4–11

Slovenska demokratska stranka – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.9%  
19 4% 99.3%  
20 9% 95%  
21 25% 86%  
22 20% 61% Median
23 19% 41%  
24 13% 22%  
25 5% 8%  
26 2% 4%  
27 1.2% 1.5%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.9%  
10 3% 98.9%  
11 15% 96%  
12 32% 81% Median
13 23% 49%  
14 16% 26%  
15 6% 10%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.3% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0% Last Result

Socialni demokrati – Lista Marjana Šarca

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 13% 98%  
6 41% 85% Median
7 29% 44%  
8 8% 15%  
9 3% 7%  
10 2% 4%  
11 1.1% 1.4%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations